Allianz Trade\u2019nin ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131na g\u00f6re, Almanya\u2019da t\u00fcketiciler taraf\u0131ndan alg\u0131lanan enflasyon ile resmi olarak belirlenen enflasyon aras\u0131nda belirgin bir fark var.<\/p>\n
Allianz Trade, Almanya’da alg\u0131lanan ve ger\u00e7ek enflasyona y\u00f6nelik ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n yay\u0131nlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Buna g\u00f6re, Almanya’da t\u00fcketiciler taraf\u0131ndan may\u0131s ay\u0131nda alg\u0131lanan enflasyon y\u00fczde 18 ile resmi olarak belirlenen y\u00fczde 6,1\u2019lik enflasyonun neredeyse \u00fc\u00e7 kat\u0131 d\u00fczeyinde.<\/p>\n
Alg\u0131lanan ve ger\u00e7ek enflasyon aras\u0131nda tutars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7e\u015fitli nedenlerinin ortaya konuldu\u011fu ara\u015ft\u0131rmada, t\u00fcketicilerin, i\u00e7ecek, yak\u0131t veya yayg\u0131n olarak al\u0131nan s\u00fcpermarket \u00fcr\u00fcnlerindeki fiyat de\u011fi\u015fikliklerine daha fazla dikkat etti\u011fi ve bu fiyatlar ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karsa enflasyonun \u00e7ok daha y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funu hissetmeye e\u011filimli oldu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Ancak psikolojik y\u00f6nler, demografik ve b\u00f6lgesel farkl\u0131l\u0131klar ile bireysel t\u00fcketici davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131 da t\u00fcketicilerin, fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 resmi enflasyon verisinden farkl\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmesine neden olabiliyor.<\/p>\n
Ara\u015ft\u0131rmada, \u201cBu da \u00e7arp\u0131k bir tablo ve alg\u0131lanan enflasyon ile ger\u00e7ek enflasyon aras\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir uyumsuzluk yaratmaktad\u0131r.\u201d denildi.<\/p>\n
AVRUPA \u0130\u00c7\u0130NDE DE FARKLILIK VAR<\/b><\/p>\n
Avrupa Birli\u011fi’ndeki enflasyonun son zamanlarda ortalama y\u00fczde 8\u2019in \u00fczerinde oldu\u011fu hat\u0131rlat\u0131lan ara\u015ft\u0131rmada, \u201cEuro b\u00f6lgesinde may\u0131s ay\u0131nda enflasyon y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 6,1 oldu. Bununla birlikte, enflasyon \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck farkl\u0131l\u0131klar g\u00f6sterdi. May\u0131sta bu aral\u0131k, Yunanistan\u2019da y\u00fczde 2,8\u2019den Polonya\u2019da y\u00fczde 13,0\u2019e ve Macaristan\u2019da y\u00fczde 21,5\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.\u201d bilgisi verildi.<\/p>\n
Ara\u015ft\u0131rmada, birli\u011fin en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisine sahip Almanya\u2019n\u0131n Rusya\u2019dan enerji ithalat\u0131na olan y\u00fcksek ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 hat\u0131rlat\u0131larak Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 sonras\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan enerji krizinin Alman hane halk\u0131n\u0131n enerji faturas\u0131n\u0131n keskin bir \u015fekilde y\u00fckselmesine neden oldu\u011fu, Alman h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin ise buna elektrik ve gaz fiyat freni ile kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verdi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Ara\u015ft\u0131rmada, \u201cBir b\u00fct\u00fcn olarak Avro b\u00f6lgesinde, zay\u0131f avro enflasyonu art\u0131rd\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc zay\u0131f avro ile petrol ve gaz gibi dolarla ticareti yap\u0131lan emtialar daha pahal\u0131 hale geldi.\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulunuldu.<\/p>\n
Son aylarda Almanya\u2019n\u0131n Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n (ECB) faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 Temmuz 2022’den beri 400 baz puan art\u0131rmas\u0131 nedeniyle g\u00fc\u00e7lenen avrodan faydaland\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131lan raporda, bu nedenle \u00fclkede \u00fcretici ve toptan e\u015fya fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n 2022 sonbahar\u0131ndan bu yana d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve bunun da enflasyonu a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131lad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
Allianz Trade k\u0131demli ekonomisti Jasmin Gr\u00f6schl, konuya ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmesinde, alg\u0131lanan ve ger\u00e7ek enflasyon aras\u0131nda tutars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u201c\u00f6nemsiz\u201d olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulayarak, \u201c\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc alg\u0131lanan enflasyonun, \u00f6rne\u011fin sat\u0131n alma davran\u0131\u015f\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu oldu\u011funda, t\u00fcketici davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131 \u00fczerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir etkisi var. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bu farkl\u0131l\u0131k ekonomi ve \u015firketler i\u00e7in oldu\u011fu kadar faiz politikas\u0131 i\u00e7in de \u00f6nemli rol oynuyor.\u201d ifadesini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Gr\u00f6schl, Rusya\u2019ya co\u011frafi yak\u0131nl\u0131k, enerji ve g\u0131da ithalat\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k, fiyatlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in devlet m\u00fcdahalesi ve ilgili para biriminin g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn enflasyondaki temel fakt\u00f6rler oldu\u011funu vurgulad\u0131. (AA)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Allianz Trade’nin ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131na g\u00f6re, Almanya\u2019da t\u00fcketiciler taraf\u0131ndan may\u0131s ay\u0131nda alg\u0131lanan enflasyon y\u00fczde 18 ile resmi olarak belirlenen y\u00fczde 6,1’lik enflasyonun neredeyse \u00fc\u00e7 kat\u0131 d\u00fczeyinde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":101147,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[688,60,815,75,2790],"class_list":["post-101146","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-alman","tag-enflasyon","tag-fark","tag-fiyat","tag-tuketici"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101146","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=101146"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101146\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":101148,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101146\/revisions\/101148"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/101147"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=101146"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=101146"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=101146"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}