Tayyip Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imlerini kazanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan TCMB\u2019nin de rezervlerini daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kur i\u00e7in kullanmay\u0131 b\u0131rakmas\u0131yla TL b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc se\u00e7imlerin ard\u0131ndan olmak \u00fczere y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan beri %28\u2019ten fazla de\u011fer kaybetti. Ekonomistler, bu de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra akaryak\u0131t, otomobil, t\u00fct\u00fcn, hizmetler, alt\u0131n ve m\u00fccevherat fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n da Haziran\u2019da enflasyon \u00fczerinde etkili oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde. Enflasyon, devletin May\u0131s\u2019ta hanehalk\u0131n\u0131n do\u011fal gaz kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan T\u00dc\u0130K\u2019in s\u0131f\u0131r fiyat uygulamas\u0131yla sadece %0.04 artm\u0131\u015f, bu da y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyonun d\u00f6rt puandan fazla bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle %39.59 seviyesine gerilemesine sebep olmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
ENFLASYON ORANI NE ZAMAN, SAAT KA\u00c7TA A\u00c7IKLANACAK?<\/strong><\/p>\n Enflasyon oran\u0131 5 Temmuz \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc saat 10.00’da a\u00e7\u0131klanacak.<\/p>\n ENFLASYON ORANI BEKLENT\u0130S\u0130 NE KADAR?<\/strong><\/p>\n Reuters\u2019\u0131n anketine kat\u0131lan 11 ekonomistin ayl\u0131k T\u00dcFE tahminleri %2.50 ila %5.50 art\u0131\u015f band\u0131nda yer al\u0131rken, y\u0131ll\u0131k tahminler ise %36.30 ila %40.30 aras\u0131nda \u015fekillendi.<\/p>\n T\u00dcFE\u2019nin Haziran\u2019da ayl\u0131k %4.84 artmas\u0131, y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda ise s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle %39.5\u2019e gerilemesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n Enflasyon, devletin May\u0131s\u2019ta hanehalk\u0131n\u0131n do\u011fal gaz kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan T\u00dc\u0130K\u2019in s\u0131f\u0131r fiyat uygulamas\u0131yla sadece %0.04 artm\u0131\u015f, bu da y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyonun d\u00f6rt puandan fazla bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle %39.59 seviyesine gerilemesine sebep olmu\u015ftu. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n dahil edilmedi\u011fi \u00e7ekirdek \u201cC\u201d enflasyon ise May\u0131s\u2019ta ayl\u0131k %4.25 artm\u0131\u015f, y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda ise 46.62% seviyesine y\u00fckselmi\u015fti. Ekonomistler, ekonomi yetkililerinin Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n yeniden se\u00e7ilmesinin ard\u0131ndan att\u0131klar\u0131 ad\u0131mlar\u0131, Ankara\u2019n\u0131n tekrardan ortodoks ekonomi politikalar\u0131na d\u00f6nmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015feklinde yorumluyor. Bunun en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sinyali ise Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ge\u00e7en hafta politika faizini 650 baz puan art\u0131rarak %15\u2019e \u00e7ekmesi olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. TCMB ayr\u0131ca g\u00f6stergelerin, enflasyonun ana e\u011filiminde bir art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret etti\u011fini kaydederken, s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131n\u0131n kademeli olarak g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Ancak s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fman\u0131n piyasa beklentisinin alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 sebebiyle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar tam olarak ikna olmu\u015f de\u011fil. Baz\u0131 analistler, Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda son y\u0131llarda ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yitiren TCMB\u2019nin hala manevra alan\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131 oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde. TCMB\u2019nin son y\u0131llardaki m\u00fcdahalelerine ra\u011fmen 2018\u2019den beri %80\u2019den fazla de\u011fer kaybeden TL\u2019nin, bu y\u0131l da de\u011fer kaybetmeye devam etmesi bekleniyor. Ekonomistler, TL\u2019deki de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7i\u015fkenlik etkisiyle fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fckselterek enflasyonu y\u00fckseltici etki yapmaya devam ede\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Reuters anketinde y\u0131lsonu enflasyon tahmin medyan\u0131 %51.50 seviyesinde bulunurken, tahminler %38.60 ila %55.30 band\u0131nda yer al\u0131yor. Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n y\u00fckselen enflasyona ra\u011fmen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan TCMB\u2019nin 2021 sonunda indirimlere ba\u015flamas\u0131 kur krizine yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bunun sonucunda ise enflasyon, Ekim ay\u0131nda 24 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesi olan %85.51\u2019e y\u00fckseldikten sonra azalmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Reuters<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Se\u00e7imlerin ard\u0131ndan TL’de ya\u015fanan sert de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n da etkisiyle enflasyonun Haziran’da ayl\u0131k y\u00fczde 4.84 artmas\u0131, y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda ise s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle y\u00fczde 39.5’e gerilemesi bekleniyor. Haziran ay\u0131 enflasyon oran\u0131 5 Temmuz’da saat 10.00’da a\u00e7\u0131klanacak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":107068,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[516,60,75,1422,629],"class_list":["post-107067","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-ekonomi","tag-enflasyon","tag-fiyat","tag-tcmb","tag-yillik"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107067","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=107067"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107067\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":107069,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107067\/revisions\/107069"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/107068"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=107067"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=107067"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=107067"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}