{"id":110198,"date":"2023-08-09T10:05:03","date_gmt":"2023-08-09T10:05:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=110198"},"modified":"2023-08-09T10:05:03","modified_gmt":"2023-08-09T10:05:03","slug":"ingiltere-ekonomisi-2024-sonunda-yuzde-60-riskle-resesyona-girebilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=110198","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ngiltere ekonomisi 2024 sonunda y\u00fczde 60 riskle resesyona girebilir"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130ngiliz ekonomisinin 2024 sonunda resesyona girme riskinin y\u00fczde 60 oldu\u011fu ve \u00fclkede genel se\u00e7imlerin planland\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu d\u00f6nemde gelir e\u015fitsizliklerinin artabilece\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n<p>Britanya\u2019n\u0131n en eski ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z ekonomik ara\u015ft\u0131rma enstit\u00fcs\u00fc olarak bilinen Ulusal Ekonomik ve Sosyal Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn analizine g\u00f6re, Brexit, Kovid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 ve Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n tetikledi\u011fi enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in para politikas\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma, \u0130ngiliz ekonomisini olumsuz y\u00f6nde etkiledi.<\/p>\n<p>Bu geli\u015fmelerin etkisiyle, \u0130ngiliz ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,4 ve 2024\u2019te y\u00fczde 0,3 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi beklenmesine ra\u011fmen, ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme ili\u015fkin belirsizlikler y\u00fcksek kalmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n<p><b>DARALMA \u0130HT\u0130MAL\u0130 Y\u00dcKSEK<\/b><\/p>\n<p>S\u00f6z konusu belirsizliklere ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak ekonominin bu y\u0131l sonunda daralma ihtimali ortaya \u00e7\u0131karken, 2024 sonunda y\u00fczde 60 riskle resesyona girebilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>\u00dclkede enflasyonun bu y\u0131l sonunda y\u00fczde 5,2 ve 2024 sonunda y\u00fczde 3,9\u2019a gerileyebilece\u011fi ancak 2025\u2019e kadar hedeflenen y\u00fczde 2 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kalaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor. Hali haz\u0131rda y\u00fczde 6,9 olan \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun y\u00fcksek seyretmeye devam etme riski ise man\u015fet enflasyonun beklenenden y\u00fcksek kalma ihtimalini art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p><b>FA\u0130Z ARTI\u015eI R\u0130SKLER\u0130 B\u00dcY\u00dcT\u00dcYOR<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n politika faizini mevcut y\u00fczde 5,25 seviyesinden 5,50\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kararak faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n pike ula\u015fmas\u0131 beklenirken, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve durgun \u00fcretim nedeniyle hane halk\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n artabilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Genel se\u00e7imlerin planland\u0131\u011f\u0131 2024 sonuna kadar \u00fclkedeki maa\u015f seviyelerinin Kovid-19 \u00f6ncesinin alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 ve sand\u0131klara gelir e\u015fitsizliklerinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nemde gidilmesi bekleniyor. (AA)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130ngiltere Ulusal Ekonomik ve Sosyal Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc&#8217;n\u00fcn analizinde, \u0130ngiliz ekonomisinin 2024 sonunda resesyona girme riskinin y\u00fczde 60 oldu\u011fu ve bu d\u00f6nemde gelir e\u015fitsizliklerinin artabilece\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":110199,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[4991,12160],"class_list":["post-110198","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-4991","tag-sonunda"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110198","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=110198"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110198\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":110200,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110198\/revisions\/110200"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/110199"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=110198"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=110198"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=110198"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}