Emlak piyasas\u0131ndaki yeni stres ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc tehdit eden deflasyon nedeniyle \u00c7in ekonomisinde tehlike \u00e7anlar\u0131 \u00e7almaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Uzmanlar, \u00c7in\u2019in ya\u015fanan deflasyon nedeniyle k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin itici g\u00fc\u00e7 olamayabilece\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
Resmi veriler, b\u00fcy\u00fcme oranlar\u0131n\u0131n h\u00e2l\u00e2 pandemi \u00f6ncesi seviyelerin olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131nda oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterirken temmuz ay\u0131nda sanayi \u00fcretimi, perakende sat\u0131\u015flar ve sabit varl\u0131k yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda bir y\u0131l \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re m\u00fctevaz\u0131 art\u0131\u015flar g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n
EMLAK SEKT\u00d6R\u00dcNDEK\u0130 KORKU ALEVLEND\u0130<\/b><\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca emlak sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki devlerden birinin temerr\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015fme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 da g\u00fcvenin sars\u0131lmas\u0131 ve konut sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmeye devam etmesiyle birle\u015fince gayrimenkul sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki endi\u015feleri daha da art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bas\u0131nda \u00e7\u0131kan haberlere g\u00f6re, emlak devi Country Garden’\u0131n ABD\u00a0dolar\u0131 cinsinden iki tahvilin faiz \u00f6demelerini ka\u00e7\u0131rmas\u0131 \u015firketi b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00f6deme krizine soktu. \u015eirketin resmi bir temerr\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015fmemek i\u00e7in 30 g\u00fcnl\u00fck bir s\u00fcresi bulunuyor.<\/p>\n
DEFLASYON KORKUSU<\/b><\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta ayr\u0131ca \u00c7in’de \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131nda devam eden gerileme ve t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131ndaki durgunluk deflasyon riskine dair endi\u015feleri art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u00dcretici fiyatlar\u0131nda 9 ayd\u0131r s\u00fcren d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimi temmuzda da devam ederken t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131 \u015eubat 2021’den bu yana ilk kez azald\u0131. Temmuzda \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (\u00dcFE) ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 4,4, T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE) ise y\u00fczde 0,3 geriledi.<\/p>\n
Pekin bu sorunlar nedeniyle, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi desteklemek i\u00e7in \u00e7e\u015fitli taahh\u00fctlerde bulundu ve \u00f6nlemler a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Ancak \u00f6nceki gerileme d\u00f6nemlerinde uygulanan t\u00fcrden parasal ve finansal te\u015fviklerden ka\u00e7\u0131nd\u0131. Daha zay\u0131f bir yuan ve y\u00fcksek bor\u00e7 seviyeleri Pekin\u2019in daha ihtiyatl\u0131 olmas\u0131na neden oldu.<\/p>\n
K\u00dcRESEL EKONOM\u0130Y\u0130 ETK\u0130LEYECEK<\/b><\/p>\n
\u00c7in ekonomisinde ya\u015fanan bu sorunlar\u0131n k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi de derinden etkilemesi bekleniyor. Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF) son de\u011ferlendirmesinde \u00c7in\u2019i risk dengesinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimler aras\u0131nda sayd\u0131.<\/p>\n
IMF, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ikinci ekonomisinin corona vir\u00fcs\u00fc salg\u0131n\u0131\u00a0sonras\u0131 toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131n yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve daha da yava\u015flamas\u0131 halinde bunun\u00a0s\u0131n\u0131r\u00a0\u00f6tesi\u00a0etkilerinin muhtemel oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
MOODY\u2019S EKONOM\u0130ST\u0130 UYARDI<\/b><\/p>\n
Guardian\u2019\u0131n haberine g\u00f6re, Moody\u2019s Analytics ekonomisti Harry Murphy Cruise, \u00c7in\u2019deki cans\u0131z toparlanman\u0131n orta vadede k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi sekteye u\u011frataca\u011f\u0131 konusunda da uyard\u0131.<\/p>\n
Moody\u2019s ekonomisti, \u201cGe\u00e7mi\u015fteki gerileme d\u00f6nemlerinde b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin itici g\u00fcc\u00fc olarak genellikle \u00c7in\u2019e odakland\u0131k.\u00a0\u00c7in emlak piyasas\u0131ndaki yap\u0131sal kayg\u0131larla ve t\u00fcketici odakl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ge\u00e7i\u015fteki aksamayla m\u00fccadele ederken, bu itici g\u00fc\u00e7 bu kez ayn\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde destek olmayabilir\u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u00c7in ekonomisi, deflasyon, emlak sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki kriz ve iklim sorunlar\u0131n\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 olumsuzluklarla bo\u011fu\u015fuyor. \u00c7in’de ya\u015fanan olumsuz geli\u015fmelerin k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi de etkilemesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":112069,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[645,793,75],"class_list":["post-112068","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-buyume","tag-cin","tag-fiyat"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/112068","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=112068"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/112068\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":112070,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/112068\/revisions\/112070"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/112069"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=112068"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=112068"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=112068"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}