{"id":114908,"date":"2023-08-18T11:21:04","date_gmt":"2023-08-18T11:21:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=114908"},"modified":"2023-08-18T11:21:04","modified_gmt":"2023-08-18T11:21:04","slug":"enflasyonda-21-yilin-en-kotu-gorunumu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=114908","title":{"rendered":"Enflasyonda 21 y\u0131l\u0131n en k\u00f6t\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Se\u00e7im sonras\u0131ndaki kur ve vergi art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 sonras\u0131nda fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 h\u0131zlan\u0131rken, enflasyon beklentileri de sert \u015fekilde y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (TCMB) bug\u00fcn yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u011fustos ay\u0131 piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 anketinde 12 ay sonras\u0131 i\u00e7in t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (T\u00dcFE) beklentisi y\u00fczde 42,01\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. Bloomberg\u2019den U\u011fur Y\u0131lmaz, bu oran\u0131n, \u015eubat 2002 sonras\u0131ndaki 21 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesine ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n<p>Temmuz anketinde bu kalem i\u00e7in beklenti y\u00fczde 33,21 idi. 12 ay sonras\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k T\u00dcFE beklentisinde bir ayda kaydedilen 8,8 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f, anket tarihinin rekoru olarak kay\u0131tlara ge\u00e7ti.<\/p>\n<p>Ankette kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n cari y\u0131l sonu t\u00fcketici enflasyonu beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 43,82 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 59,46 oldu. 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi ise ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6nemlerinde s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 19,04 ve y\u00fczde 22,54 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 2023 y\u0131l sonu dolar\/TL beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 28,46 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 29,82 TL oldu.<\/p>\n<p>12 ay sonras\u0131 d\u00f6viz kuru beklentisi ise ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6nemlerinde s\u0131ras\u0131yla 31,44 TL ve 34,58 TL olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p><b>MERKEZ DE KEND\u0130 TAHM\u0130NLER\u0130N\u0130 Y\u00dcKSELTM\u0130\u015eT\u0130<\/b><\/p>\n<p>TCMB, 27 Temmuz\u2019da a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 enflasyon raporunda, enflasyon tahminini bu y\u0131l sonu i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 22,3\u2019ten y\u00fczde 58\u2019e, 2024 sonu i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 8,8\u2019den y\u00fczde 33\u2019e y\u00fckseltmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>Resmi enflasyon temmuzda y\u00fczde 47,83\u2019e y\u00fckselirken, TCMB bu oran\u0131n 2024\u2019\u00fcn ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 70\u2019e yakla\u015farak zirveyi g\u00f6rmesini ve sonra d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ge\u00e7mesini bekliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Enflasyon h\u0131zla artarken TCMB\u2019nin politika faizi y\u00fczde 17,5 ile derin negatif reel faiz b\u00f6lgesinde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n piyasa anketinde 12 ay sonras\u0131n\u0131n enflasyon beklentisi y\u00fczde 42,01 ile \u015eubat 2002&#8217;den bu yana ge\u00e7en 21 y\u0131l\u0131 a\u015fan d\u00f6nemin zirvesine ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":114909,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[272,10358,60],"class_list":["post-114908","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-anket","tag-beklentisi","tag-enflasyon"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/114908","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=114908"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/114908\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":114910,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/114908\/revisions\/114910"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/114909"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=114908"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=114908"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=114908"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}