T\u00fcrkiye dahil Avrupa\u2019daki kayak merkezlerinin farkl\u0131 \u0131s\u0131nma seviyelerinde nas\u0131l etkilenece\u011fini ve g\u00fcvenilir kar tedarikinin ne kadar s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilece\u011fini inceleyen ilk \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma olma \u00f6zelli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131yan ara\u015ft\u0131rma, Nature Climate Change dergisinde yay\u0131mland\u0131.<\/p>\n
2 B\u0130N 234 MERKEZ \u0130NCELEND\u0130<\/strong><\/p>\n T\u00fcrkiye dahil Avrupa genelindeki 2 bin 234 kayak merkezini inceleyen \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma, mevcut emisyon azaltma politikalar\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde bu y\u00fczy\u0131lda k\u00fcresel s\u0131cakl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n sanayi \u00f6ncesi d\u00f6neme g\u00f6re 3 dereceye ula\u015fmas\u0131 halinde s\u00f6z konusu kayak merkezlerinin kar\u015f\u0131la\u015faca\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek riskleri g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n D\u00fcnyadaki kayak merkezlerinin yar\u0131s\u0131 Avrupa\u2019da bulunuyor ve s\u0131cakl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen \u015fekilde artmas\u0131 durumunda Avrupa\u2019daki kayak merkezlerinin y\u00fczde 91\u2019inin \u00e7ok az kar alma riski alt\u0131nda olaca\u011f\u0131 ve daha \u00f6nce be\u015f y\u0131lda bir kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131lan en k\u00f6t\u00fc ko\u015fullar\u0131n en az iki y\u0131lda bir ortaya \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n T\u00dcRK\u0130YE\u2019DEK\u0130LER\u0130N TAMAMI R\u0130SK ALTINDA<\/strong><\/p>\n Bu \u015fartlarda, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki kayak merkezlerinin tamam\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek risk alt\u0131nda olaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n Emisyonlar\u0131n ve s\u0131cakl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n s\u00f6z konusu seviyeye ula\u015fmas\u0131 halinde, kapsaml\u0131 kar yapma \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131yla bile Avrupa\u2019daki kayak merkezlerinin yakla\u015f\u0131k yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n bu ko\u015fullarla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n Yapay kar yap\u0131m\u0131 olmadan ve k\u00fcresel sera gaz\u0131 emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n sadece mevcut politikalar\u0131n g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi kadar azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 (s\u0131cakl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n 3 dereceye ula\u015fmas\u0131) durumunda, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki kayak merkezlerinin y\u00fczde 100\u2019\u00fc, \u0130svi\u00e7re Alpleri\u2019ndeki kayak merkezlerinin y\u00fczde 87\u2019si, \u0130skandivan Da\u011flar\u0131\u2019ndaki tesislerin y\u00fczde 70\u2019i, Frans\u0131z Alpleri\u2019ndeki kayak merkezlerinin y\u00fczde 93\u2019\u00fc, Avusturya Alpleri\u2019ndeki kayak merkezlerinin y\u00fczde 94\u2019\u00fc, Alman ve \u0130talyan Alpleri\u2019ndeki kayak merkezlerinin tamam\u0131 ve Karpat Da\u011flar\u0131\u2019ndaki kayak merkezlerinin y\u00fczde 91\u2019i, kar tedariki a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek riskle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalacak.<\/p>\n EM\u0130SYON KES\u0130NT\u0130LER\u0130, R\u0130SKLER\u0130 KESK\u0130N \u015eEK\u0130LDE AZALTAB\u0130L\u0130R<\/strong><\/p>\n Buna kar\u015f\u0131n, daha h\u0131zl\u0131 emisyon kesintilerinin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 ve s\u0131cakl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n 1,5 dereceyle s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda, Avrupa\u2019daki kayak merkezlerinin y\u00fczde 32\u2019si ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki tesislerin ise y\u00fczde 19\u2019unun y\u00fcksek risklerle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fma ihtimali bulunuyor.<\/p>\n S\u0131cakl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n 1,5 dereceyle s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda \u0130svi\u00e7re Alpleri\u2019ndeki kayak merkezlerinin y\u00fczde 5\u2019i, \u0130skandinav Da\u011flar\u0131\u2019ndaki merkezlerin y\u00fczde 48\u2019i, Frans\u0131z Alpleri\u2019ndeki kayak merkezlerinin y\u00fczde 4\u2019\u00fc, Avusturya Alpleri\u2019ndeki kayak merkezlerinin y\u00fczde 7\u2019si, Alman Alpleri\u2019ndeki kayak merkezlerinin y\u00fczde 20\u2019si, \u0130talyan Alpleri\u2019ndeki tesislerin y\u00fczde 69\u2019u ve Karpat Da\u011flar\u0131ndaki tesislerin y\u00fczde 33\u2019\u00fcn\u00fcn g\u00fcvenilir kar tedariki riski ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n KAR ARZI G\u00d6R\u00dcLECEK<\/strong><\/p>\n Ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar, yapay kar olu\u015fumunun baz\u0131 tesislerin a\u00e7\u0131k kalmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayabilece\u011fini ancak bunun su ve elektrik talebini art\u0131rarak karbon emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n daha fazla y\u00fckselmesine yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fini belirtiyor.<\/p>\n Fransa merkezli Meteo-France ve Fransa Bilimsel Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Ulusal Merkezi ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131s\u0131 Samuel Morin, iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011finin Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n t\u00fcm da\u011fl\u0131k b\u00f6lgelerindeki kayak merkezlerindeki kar ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n son on y\u0131llara g\u00f6re bozulaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ancak sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n da\u011fl\u0131k b\u00f6lgeler aras\u0131nda ve i\u00e7inde farkl\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dile getirdi.<\/p>\n Bu durumun Avrupa\u2019da kayak turizminin hemen sona ermesi anlam\u0131na gelmedi\u011fini fakat t\u00fcm kayak merkezleri i\u00e7in giderek zorla\u015fan ko\u015fullar\u0131n olu\u015ftu\u011funu kaydeden Morin, \u201cBaz\u0131 tesisler, birka\u00e7 on y\u0131l i\u00e7inde \u015fu anda bildi\u011fimiz \u015fekliyle faaliyet g\u00f6stermek i\u00e7in kritik derecede d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kar arz\u0131na ula\u015facak. Emisyonlar\u0131n daha h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde azalt\u0131lmas\u0131, kayak turizmi i\u00e7in kar arz\u0131 riskini ve kar yap\u0131m\u0131na olan talebi ve ilgili d\u0131\u015fsall\u0131klar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayacakt\u0131r. \u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n Fransa merkezli Ulusal Tar\u0131m, G\u0131da ve \u00c7evre Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc bilim insan\u0131 ve \u00e7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ba\u015f yazar\u0131 Hugues Fran\u00e7ois ise kayak turizminin da\u011fl\u0131k b\u00f6lgelerde ya\u015fayan insanlara ge\u00e7im kayna\u011f\u0131 sundu\u011funu kaydetti.<\/p>\n Emisyonlar\u0131n keskin \u015fekilde azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in kalk\u0131nma yollar\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesi gerekti\u011fini aktaran Fran\u00e7ois, kayak turizminin bu b\u00f6lgelerde uzun vadede ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde \u00f6nemli bir rol oynayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131k bir soru olarak kalmaya devam etti\u011fini s\u00f6zlerine ekledi. (AA)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Fosil yak\u0131tlar\u0131n neden oldu\u011fu emisyonlardaki art\u0131\u015f ve buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak s\u0131cakl\u0131klar\u0131n y\u00fckselmeye devam etmesi halinde, Avrupa ve T\u00fcrkiye’deki kayak merkezlerinin ciddi boyutta kar k\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalaca\u011f\u0131 tespit edildi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":120175,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[253,8479,1563,646,161],"class_list":["post-120174","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dunya","tag-avrupa","tag-emisyon","tag-kar","tag-merkez","tag-risk"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120174","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=120174"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120174\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":120176,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120174\/revisions\/120176"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/120175"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=120174"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=120174"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=120174"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}