\u0130ktisat\u00e7\u0131 Korkut Boratav, T\u00fcrkiye’nin bir kez daha d\u00f6viz krizi bask\u0131s\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011funu, mevcut durumun en fazla birka\u00e7 ay daha s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fckten sonra t\u0131kanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/b><\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00f6nde gelen iktisat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131ndan Prof. Dr. Korkut Boratav, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisindeki son durumu ve olas\u0131 geli\u015fmeleri sozcu.com.tr\u2019ye de\u011ferlendirdi.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bir kez daha d\u00f6viz krizi bask\u0131s\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011funu ve h\u00fck\u00fcmetin bunu ge\u00e7i\u015ftirecek g\u00fcc\u00fc olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Boratav, mevcut durumun en fazla birka\u00e7 ay daha s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilece\u011fi, Sri Lanka benzeri bir bunal\u0131m\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de de g\u00fcndeme gelebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n
YAZ SONRASI D\u00d6N\u00dcM NOKTASI OLACAK<\/b><\/p>\n
Yaz mevsiminde turizm gelirleri sayesinde d\u0131\u015f ticaretteki b\u00fcy\u00fck a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n k\u0131smen telafi edilebildi\u011fini ancak yaz mevsiminin ge\u00e7mesiyle bir d\u00f6n\u00fcm noktas\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Boratav, uluslararas\u0131 finans sermayesinin tahminlerinin de bu y\u00f6nde oldu\u011funa i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n
2021\u2019in ilk be\u015f ay\u0131nda 12,4 milyar dolar olan cari a\u00e7\u0131k, 2022\u2019nin ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neminde 28,1 milyar dolara y\u00fckseldi. 1 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde \u00e7evrilmesi gereken d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 miktar\u0131 da may\u0131s itibar\u0131yla 182,3 milyar dolarla tarihi zirvede bulunuyor.<\/p>\n
\u2018IMF PROGRAMI G\u00dcNDEME GELECEK\u2019<\/b><\/p>\n
Cari a\u00e7\u0131k ve k\u0131sa vadeli d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 rakamlar\u0131na i\u015faret eden, d\u00fcnyada artan faizleri hat\u0131rlatan, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin kredi risk priminin 900 puana ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve dolar cinsi y\u00fczde 12\u2019lik faizle d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7lar\u0131n d\u00f6nd\u00fcr\u00fclmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Marksist iktisat\u00e7\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bor\u00e7 y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fckleri finanse etmesinin normal ko\u015fullarda m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, vadesi geldi\u011finde uluslararas\u0131 bankalar\u0131n bug\u00fcnk\u00fc ko\u015fullarda bor\u00e7lar\u0131 d\u00f6nd\u00fcrmeyeceklerini, bir t\u00fcr IMF program\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcndeme gelece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisindeki temel problemlerin \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn ne iktidar\u0131n ne de 6\u2019l\u0131 muhalefetin g\u00fcndeminde oldu\u011funu vurgulayan Boratav, \u201c\u0130ktidar\u0131n se\u00e7imi kaybetmesiyle hukuk devletinin geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n yarat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 ve finans politikalar\u0131nda, \u00f6zellikle de Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faiz politikas\u0131nda, mant\u0131k d\u0131\u015f\u0131 saplant\u0131n\u0131n son bulaca\u011f\u0131, bu sayede de ekonomide rahatlama olaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi var ancak bunlar temel problemi \u00e7\u00f6zmez\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
\u0130ktidar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizle kredi pompalayarak b\u00fcy\u00fcme temposunu g\u00f6reli olarak canl\u0131 tutmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ancak bunun s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bir s\u00fcre sonra t\u0131kanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Boratav, \u201cSe\u00e7im ile t\u0131kanma birle\u015firse IMF program\u0131n\u0131n ve kemer s\u0131kman\u0131n g\u00fcndeme gelmesi ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz, iktidar de\u011fi\u015fse de de\u011fi\u015fmese de\u2026\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
H\u00fck\u00fcmetin se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesinde IMF\u2019ye gitmesini beklemedi\u011fini ancak iktidarda kal\u0131rsa se\u00e7im sonras\u0131 gidebilece\u011fini belirten Boratav, Ali Babacan ve benzeri isimlere i\u015faret ederek muhalefetin de IMF ile anla\u015fmaya yatk\u0131n oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
\u2018A\u011eIR B\u0130R B\u00d6L\u00dc\u015e\u00dcM \u015eOKU YA\u015eANIYOR\u2019<\/b><\/p>\n
\u0130ktidar\u0131n uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 mevcut modelde emek\u00e7ilerin b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011funun net kay\u0131plara s\u00fcr\u00fcklendi\u011fini, \u015firketlerin ve bankalar\u0131n ise\u00a0kazan\u00e7l\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, milli gelir b\u00fcy\u00fcrken T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin emek\u00e7i s\u0131n\u0131flar\u0131n\u0131n gelir d\u00fczeyinin d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, alt katmanlar\u0131n sefalete s\u00fcr\u00fcklendi\u011fini, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin a\u011f\u0131r bir b\u00f6l\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm \u015foku ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Boratav, IMF program\u0131 ile birlikte bu duruma bir de ekonomik k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme eklenirse ve istihdam\u0131n azaltmas\u0131yla i\u015fsizlik bir nebze daha y\u00fckselirse bunun yeni iktidar i\u00e7in a\u011f\u0131r sonu\u00e7lar getirece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n
\u0130ktidar\u0131n t\u0131kanma sinyalleri geldi\u011fi an erken se\u00e7ime gidebilece\u011fini belirten Boratav, d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7lar\u0131n \u00e7evriminin bu a\u00e7\u0131dan \u00f6nemli sinyaller verece\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n
Sri Lanka\u2019daki gibi bir bunal\u0131m\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck hayata yans\u0131mas\u0131n\u0131n ila\u00e7 ve petrol k\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131, elektrik kesintileri olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyen Boratav, \u201cH\u00fck\u00fcmet o noktaya gelinmekte oldu\u011funun sinyallerini al\u0131rsa erken se\u00e7ime gider\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
\u2018KAPSAMLI POL\u0130T\u0130KALARA \u0130HT\u0130YA\u00c7 VAR\u2019<\/b><\/p>\n
Kemer s\u0131kma i\u00e7eren IMF program\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131 se\u00e7eneklerin tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, iktidar\u0131n IMF kurallar\u0131n\u0131n baz\u0131 unsurlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7i\u011fneyerek durumu idare etti\u011fimi, TCMB\u2019nin faiz politikalar\u0131 ve \u015firketlerin d\u00f6viz varl\u0131klar\u0131na bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n TL\u2019ye \u00e7evrilmesinin istenmesinin bunun \u00f6rnekleri ve neoliberal politikan\u0131n ka\u00e7amaklar\u0131 oldu\u011funu dile getiren Boratav, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin neoliberalizmden kapsaml\u0131 ka\u00e7amaklar i\u00e7eren politikalara ihtiyac\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirtti ve \u015fu maddeleri s\u0131ralad\u0131:<\/p>\n
1- Sermaye hareketleri s\u0131k\u0131 ve sistematik bir \u015fekilde denetlenmeli.
2- Son 5-6 y\u0131lda ola\u011fan d\u0131\u015f\u0131 gelir elde etmi\u015f kesimlere d\u00f6n\u00fck, servet vergisi dahil, vergilendirme g\u00fcndeme al\u0131nmal\u0131.
3- Buradan elde edilecek kayna\u011f\u0131n bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc b\u00fct\u00e7e \u00fczerinden emek\u00e7ilere transfer edilmeli.
4- Yeni bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme perspektifine ge\u00e7ilmeli.<\/p>\n
Boratav, \u015fu anda b\u00fcy\u00fck siyasetteki akt\u00f6rlerin, AKP ve muhalefetin bu t\u00fcr bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcme a\u00e7\u0131k olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u0130ktisat\u00e7\u0131 Korkut Boratav, T\u00fcrkiye’nin bir kez daha d\u00f6viz krizi bask\u0131s\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011funu, mevcut durumun en fazla birka\u00e7 ay daha …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13839,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[2667,692,2240,320,47],"class_list":["post-13838","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-dis","tag-iktidarin","tag-imf","tag-secim","tag-turkiyenin"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13838","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13838"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13838\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13840,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13838\/revisions\/13840"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/13839"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13838"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13838"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13838"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}