2008 k\u00fcresel finans krizini \u00f6ng\u00f6ren ve kriz k\u00e2hini olarak an\u0131lan Prof. Dr. Nouriel Roubini, ABD ekonomisinin mevcut durumunu de\u011ferlendirdi ve gidi\u015fat\u0131n bu kez \u00f6nceki krizlerden \u00e7ok daha k\u00f6t\u00fc olabilece\u011fini belirtti.<\/b><\/p>\n
2008’de ABD’de ba\u015flayan finansal krizi iki y\u0131l \u00f6nceden \u00f6ng\u00f6ren ve \u201ckriz k\u00e2hini\u201d olarak an\u0131lan Nouriel Roubini, faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi ve ekonominin y\u00fcksek bor\u00e7 y\u00fckleri alt\u0131nda ezilmesi nedeniyle ABD’nin derin bir resesyonla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011funu belirterek, hafif bir gerileme bekleyenlerin hayal d\u00fcnyas\u0131nda ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Bloomberg TV’ye pazartesi kat\u0131lan Roubini Macro Associates’\u0131n CEO’su, \u201c\u015eiddetli bir durgunluk, ciddi bir bor\u00e7 ve mali kriz ya\u015fayacak olmam\u0131z\u0131n bir\u00e7ok nedeni var\u201d dedi. Roubini krizin k\u0131sa ve y\u00fczeysel olaca\u011f\u0131 fikrinin b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcyle hayal \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc oldu\u011funu dile getirdi.<\/p>\n
\u20181970’LERDEN FARKLI B\u0130R NOKTADAYIZ’<\/b><\/p>\n
\u00dcnl\u00fc ekonomistin belirtti\u011fi nedenler aras\u0131nda pandemi sonras\u0131nda olu\u015fan tarihi d\u00fczeydeki bor\u00e7 oranlar\u0131 da yer al\u0131yor. Roubini geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomiler \u00fczerindeki y\u00fck\u00fcn artmaya devam etti\u011fini vurguluyor.<\/p>\n
Amerikal\u0131 ekonomist mevcut durumun 1970’lerden farkl\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirtti ve bor\u00e7 oran\u0131n\u0131n halihaz\u0131rda o d\u00f6neme k\u0131yasla \u00e7ok daha y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. Roubini’ye g\u00f6re 1970’lerde g\u00fcndeme gelen, durgun b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve y\u00fcksek enflasyonun ayn\u0131 anda ya\u015fanmas\u0131yla ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan stagflasyon riski \u015fu anda mevcut olsa da ekonomide 50 y\u0131l \u00f6ncesine k\u0131yasla \u00e7ok daha farkl\u0131 unsurlar \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\u20182008’DEN BER\u0130 BOR\u00c7 Y\u00dcK\u00dc \u015e\u0130\u015eT\u0130’<\/b><\/p>\n
Roubini, 2008 mali krizinden bu yana \u00fclkede bor\u00e7lar\u0131n \u015fi\u015fti\u011fini, bunu kredi s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve talep \u015foku nedeniyle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck enflasyonun izledi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Amerikal\u0131 ekonomist, bu kez stagflasyonist negatif arz \u015foklar\u0131n\u0131n mevzubahis oldu\u011funu ve bor\u00e7 oranlar\u0131n\u0131n tarihi y\u00fckseklikte seyretti\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
Roubini, \u201c\u00d6nceki resesyonlarda, son ikisinde oldu\u011fu gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck parasal ve mali gev\u015feme ya\u015fad\u0131k. Bu sefer para politikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rarak resesyona giriyoruz. Mali alan\u0131m\u0131z yok\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
\u2018\u00c7OK DAHA K\u00d6T\u00dc OLAB\u0130L\u0130R’<\/b><\/p>\n
ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n (Fed) son 40 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek enflasyonunu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in agresif bi\u00e7imde para politikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131yla birlikte y\u00fckselen faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n ekonomiyi resesyona s\u00fcr\u00fckleyece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki endi\u015feler giderek t\u0131rman\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell fiyat istikrar\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayamaman\u0131n ABD’yi resesyona itmekten daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir hata olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dile getiriyor. Powell resesyonun h\u00e2l\u00e2 savu\u015fturulabilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f bildiriyor.<\/p>\n
Fed y\u00f6netiminin haziranda, 1994’ten bu yana ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 en y\u00fcksek faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 karar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan bu hafta 75 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015f\u0131 daha onaylamas\u0131 bekleniyor. Politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n ayr\u0131ca gelecek aylarda faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 niyetlerini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fcklerine y\u00f6nelik sinyal vermeleri de bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
Roubini, \u201cBu sefer stagflasyon ve ciddi bir bor\u00e7 krizinin birle\u015fti\u011fi bir noktaday\u0131z. Yani 1970’lerden ve 2008 ekonomik krizinden daha k\u00f6t\u00fc olabilir\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
2008 k\u00fcresel finans krizini \u00f6ng\u00f6ren ve kriz k\u00e2hini olarak an\u0131lan Prof. Dr. Nouriel Roubini, ABD ekonomisinin mevcut durumunu de\u011ferlendirdi ve …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":14138,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[11,750,2151,3847,877],"class_list":["post-14137","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-abd","tag-borc","tag-kriz","tag-roubini","tag-yuksek"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14137","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=14137"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14137\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14139,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14137\/revisions\/14139"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/14138"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=14137"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=14137"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=14137"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}