IMF’nin K\u00fcresel Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm raporunda 2022 k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fczde 3,6’dan y\u00fczde 3,2’ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc. Kurum risklerin kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nmamas\u0131 h\u00e2linde k\u00fcresel ekonominin resesyonun e\u015fi\u011fine gelebilece\u011fini belirtti. <\/b><\/p>\n
Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF) bug\u00fcn k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrerek, y\u00fcksek enflasyon ve Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131ndan kaynaklanan risklerin kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nmamas\u0131 h\u00e2linde d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin resesyonun e\u015fi\u011fine gelebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n
IMF, son D\u00fcnya Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc raporunu bug\u00fcn yay\u0131mlad\u0131. Kurum bug\u00fcn yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda k\u00fcresel reel gayri safi yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131la (GSY\u0130H) b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine ili\u015fkin tahminini y\u00fczde 3,6\u2019dan y\u00fczde 3,2\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. IMF\u2019nin 2023 y\u0131l\u0131na ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ise y\u00fczde 3,6\u2019dan y\u00fczde 2,9\u2019a indirildi.<\/p>\n
Corona vir\u00fcs\u00fc salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n 2020\u2019de k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi y\u00fczde 3,1 daraltmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme 2021\u2019de baz etkisiyle y\u00fczde 6,1 olarak kaydedilmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
ENFLASYON TAHM\u0130NLER\u0130 Y\u00dcKSELD\u0130<\/b><\/p>\n
B\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren IMF enflasyon tahminlerini ise y\u00fckseltti. Kurum, geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerde 2022\u2019de 12 ayl\u0131k ortalama enflasyonunun 6,6 olabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc. \u00d6nceki tahmin y\u00fczde 5,7 seviyesindeydi. Geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerde ise enflasyonun 2022\u2019de ortalama y\u00fczde 9,5 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. \u00d6nceki tahmin y\u00fczde 8,7 d\u00fczeyinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
Konu ile ilgili de\u011ferlendirmelerde bulunan IMF Ba\u015f Ekonomisti Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, \u201cG\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Nisan ay\u0131ndan bu yana \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde pusland\u0131. D\u00fcnya, son ya\u015fanandan sadece iki y\u0131l sonra k\u00fcresel bir resesyonun e\u015fi\u011finde olabilir\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
IMF 2020 pandemi durgunlu\u011fu da dahil olmak \u00fczere k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 1970\u2019den bu yana yaln\u0131zca be\u015f kez y\u00fczde 2\u2019nin alt\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
\u2018DO\u011eALGAZ AKI\u015eI KES\u0130L\u0130RSE EKONOM\u0130LER RESESYONA G\u0130RER\u2019<\/b><\/p>\n
IMF ayr\u0131ca Rusya\u2019n\u0131n 2022\u2019te y\u00fczde 6, 2023\u2019te ise y\u00fczde 3,5 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclece\u011fi tahmininde bulunurken Ukrayna ekonomisinin sava\u015f nedeniyle yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 45 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcnde bulundu. Kurum \u00c7in\u2019in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini ise y\u00fczde 4,4\u2019ten y\u00fczde 3,3\u2019e \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n
IMF Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Avrupa\u2019ya y\u00f6nelik do\u011falgaz arz\u0131n\u0131 durdurdu\u011fu alternatif senaryoya ili\u015fkin de tahminlerini payla\u015ft\u0131. B\u00f6yle bir senaryoda k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2022\u2019de y\u00fczde 2 olaca\u011f\u0131, 2023\u2019te ise Avrupa ve ABD\u2019nin y\u00fczde 0\u2019l\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcme kaydedece\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
IMF’nin K\u00fcresel Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm raporunda 2022 k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fczde 3,6’dan y\u00fczde 3,2’ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc. Kurum risklerin kontrol alt\u0131na …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":14515,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[128,645,2240,1107,3924],"class_list":["post-14514","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-128","tag-buyume","tag-imf","tag-tahmin","tag-tahminleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14514","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=14514"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14514\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14516,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14514\/revisions\/14516"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/14515"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=14514"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=14514"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=14514"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}