{"id":25534,"date":"2022-08-16T08:21:02","date_gmt":"2022-08-16T08:21:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=25534"},"modified":"2022-08-16T08:21:02","modified_gmt":"2022-08-16T08:21:02","slug":"naci-gorur-minimum-7-2-ile-7-6-arasinda-bir-deprem-bekliyoruz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=25534","title":{"rendered":"Naci G\u00f6r\u00fcr: Minimum 7.2 ile 7.6 aras\u0131nda bir deprem bekliyoruz"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>Marmara depreminde Avrupa yakas\u0131n\u0131n daha fazla hasar g\u00f6rece\u011fini belirten Yer Bilimci Prof. Dr. Naci G\u00f6r\u00fcr, Kuzey Anadolu fay\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda en az 7.2 en fazla 7.6 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde deprem olabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Bilim Akademisi Kurucu \u00fcyesi yer bilimci Prof. Dr. Naci G\u00f6r\u00fcr, 17 A\u011fustos 1999 depremini de\u011ferlendirdi.<\/p>\n<p>1999 depreminin daha dikkatli olmam\u0131z gerekti\u011fini \u00f6\u011fretti\u011fini s\u00f6yleyen G\u00f6r\u00fcr, olas\u0131 Marmara depremi i\u00e7in zaman\u0131n azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130stanbul\u2019da beklenen olas\u0131 deprem hakk\u0131nda konu\u015fan Prof. Dr. Naci G\u00f6r\u00fcr, \u0130stanbul\u2019da minimum 7.2, maksimum 7.6 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde bir depremin olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve en \u00e7ok Avrupa yakas\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131y\u0131 kesimlerinin etkilenece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>G\u00f6r\u00fcr, \u0130stanbul B\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehir Belediyesi\u2019nce yap\u0131lan ara\u015ft\u0131rma sonucunda 50 bin binan\u0131n tahribat g\u00f6rece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Acilen depreme kar\u015f\u0131 haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olunmas\u0131 konusunda uyar\u0131da bulundu.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u2018M\u0130N\u0130MUM 7.2, MAKS\u0130MUM 7.6 DEPREM BEKLEN\u0130YOR\u2019<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Prof. Dr. Naci G\u00f6r\u00fcr, \u015f\u00f6yle konu\u015ftu:<\/p>\n<p>*1999 depremleri ger\u00e7ekten yer bilimleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan enteresan. 1999 depremlerinin gelece\u011fi \u00f6nceden s\u00f6ylenilmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>*1967 Adapazar\u0131 depreminden sonra bilim insanlar\u0131 yapt\u0131klar\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rmalarda Kocaeli m\u0131nt\u0131kas\u0131nda 7\u2019den b\u00fcy\u00fck bir deprem olma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n fazlala\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylediler.<\/p>\n<p>*Elbette bir \u015fey yap\u0131lmad\u0131. 1999 depremi, 1997 senesinde uyar\u0131ld\u0131. Bir gecede 20 binden fazla insan \u00f6ld\u00fc. \u0130stanbul\u2019da yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z uyar\u0131 hala devam ediyor, uyard\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z deprem hala gelmedi.<\/p>\n<p>*Marmara\u2019da beklenen depremin 1999 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren her an olmak kayd\u0131yla 30 sene i\u00e7erisinde olma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 64 oldu\u011fu bilimsel olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>*1999\u2019dan bu yana 23 sene ge\u00e7ti, y\u00fczde 64 olas\u0131l\u0131k 2029\u2019a kadar oldu\u011funa g\u00f6re biz i\u015fin son evresine geldik. Yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalarda Marmara\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131ndaki Kuzey Anadolu\u2019nun bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc olan fay hatt\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 takdirde minimum 7.2, maksimum 7.6 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde deprem \u00fcretir.<\/p>\n<p>*Bu baya\u011f\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck bir deprem demektir. Bu deprem oldu\u011fu takdirde \u0130stanbul\u2019un Marmara k\u0131y\u0131lar\u0131na yak\u0131n olan yerleri en az 9 \u015fiddetinde, k\u0131y\u0131lardan uzakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a da 8 \u015fiddetinde depreme maruz kal\u0131r\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u2018\u0130STANBUL\u2019UN HIZLA DEPREME HAZIRLANMASI LAZIM\u2019<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Prof. Dr. G\u00f6r\u00fcr, beklenen deprem \u00f6ncesinde acil olarak m\u00fcdahale edilmesi gereken yerlerin \u00f6zellikle Avrupa yakas\u0131nda bulunan k\u0131y\u0131 il\u00e7eler oldu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6zellikle B\u00fcy\u00fck\u00e7ekmece ve K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck\u00e7ekmece b\u00f6lgesine dikkat \u00e7eken Prof. Dr. G\u00f6r\u00fcr, \u015fu ifadeleri kulland\u0131:<\/p>\n<p>*\u00d6zellikle Avrupa yakas\u0131 Asya\u2019ya g\u00f6re, zemini g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131rsak daha fazla hasar g\u00f6r\u00fcr. Avrupa yakas\u0131nda Hali\u00e7\u2019ten Marmara k\u0131y\u0131lar\u0131ndan Silivri\u2019ye kadar, Avc\u0131lar, Zeytinburnu, Tarihi Yar\u0131mada\u2019da dahil, B\u00fcy\u00fck\u00e7ekmece, K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck\u00e7ekmece \u00f6nemli hasar al\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>*Anadolu yakas\u0131 g\u00f6receli olarak zemin a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan biraz daha sa\u011flam. T\u00fcrk h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin alel acele, e\u011fer \u0130stanbul\u2019u konu\u015fuyorsak, \u0130stanbul B\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehir Belediyesi ile i\u015fbirli\u011fi yaparak, halk\u0131 da i\u015fin i\u00e7ine alarak gerekli finans kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturarak, ba\u015fka hi\u00e7bir ciddi projeye para sarf etmeyerek, sadece \u0130stanbul\u2019un h\u0131zla depreme haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131 laz\u0131m, aksi halde \u00e7ok \u00fcz\u00fclece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u2018320 B\u0130N \u0130NSAN DO\u011eRUDAN DO\u011eRUYA \u00d6L\u00dcMLE BURUN BURUNA\u2026\u2019<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Prof. Dr. G\u00f6r\u00fcr, \u0130stanbul B\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehir Belediyesi taraf\u0131ndan tahribat g\u00f6recek binalar\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131 ile ilgili yap\u0131lan ara\u015ft\u0131rmaya ili\u015fkin, \u015f\u00f6yle konu\u015ftu:<\/p>\n<p>*Minimum 7.2 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde bir deprem olursa, can hasar\u0131 da b\u00fcy\u00fck olabilir. \u0130stanbul B\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehir Belediyesi\u2019nin yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rmalarda, \u0130stanbul\u2019da \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck tahribat g\u00f6recek bina say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n 50 bin civar\u0131nda oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylediler.<\/p>\n<p>*Bu \u00e7ok a\u011f\u0131r hasar demektir. 50 bin binadan vazge\u00e7elim, 10 bin binada sadece \u00f6l\u00fcml\u00fc vakan\u0131n oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnelim.<\/p>\n<p>*Geriye kalan 40 bin binada hi\u00e7 insan\u0131n \u00f6lmedi\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnelim. 10 bin bina i\u00e7in her binay\u0131 4 katl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnelim, 40 bin kat eder. Her kata 2 daire koyarsak 80 bin daire yapar.<\/p>\n<p>*Her daire 4 ki\u015fi koyarsak 320 bin insan do\u011frudan do\u011fruya \u00f6l\u00fcmle burun buruna demektir. Bu kadar minimize etti\u011fimiz halde durum bu. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla olabilecek can kayb\u0131n\u0131 siz hesaplay\u0131n. Bu i\u015fin \u015fakas\u0131 yok. (DHA)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Marmara depreminde Avrupa yakas\u0131n\u0131n daha fazla hasar g\u00f6rece\u011fini belirten Yer Bilimci Prof. Dr. Naci G\u00f6r\u00fcr, Kuzey Anadolu fay\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":25535,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[5762,1958,4988,96,3081],"class_list":["post-25534","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gundem","tag-5762","tag-deprem","tag-gorur","tag-istanbul","tag-prof-dr"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25534","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=25534"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25534\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25536,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25534\/revisions\/25536"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/25535"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=25534"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=25534"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=25534"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}