Piyasalarda g\u00f6zler TCMB’nin bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131 faiz karar\u0131nda. TCMB ilerideki faiz kararlar\u0131na dair herhangi bir sinyal vermiyor. Ekonomistler ise bug\u00fcnk\u00fc kararda herhangi bir faiz de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi beklemiyor.<\/b><\/p>\n
Piyasalarda g\u00f6zler Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB) Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu\u2019nun (PPK) faiz karar\u0131na \u00e7evrildi. K\u00fcresel faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ve temmuzda y\u00fczde 80\u2019e dayanan resmi enflasyona ra\u011fmen Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (TCMB) bug\u00fcn politika faizini art arda sekizinci kez sabit tutarak y\u00fczde 14 seviyesinde b\u0131rakmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
Faizin enflasyona sebep oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc savunan Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n talepleri do\u011frultusunda ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n sonunda politika faizini kademeli olarak 500 baz puan indirerek y\u00fczde 14\u2019e \u00e7eken TCMB, son yedi toplant\u0131s\u0131nda enflasyondaki y\u00fckseli\u015fe ra\u011fmen politika faizini de\u011fi\u015ftirmedi.<\/p>\n
ENFLASYONDA ARTI\u015e S\u00dcR\u00dcYOR<\/b><\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l kas\u0131m ay\u0131 itibar\u0131yla h\u0131zla y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7en enflasyon, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Tayyip Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n talebi do\u011frultusundaki faiz indirimlerinin ard\u0131ndan TL\u2019nin keskin de\u011fer kaybetmesiyle rekor seviyelere t\u0131rmand\u0131. TL dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda bu y\u0131l yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 27 de\u011fer kaybederken artan enerji maliyetleri de fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 k\u00f6r\u00fckledi.<\/p>\n
Bu geli\u015fmeler \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda TCMB, faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 bug\u00fcn saat 14.00\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klayacak. Ancak bug\u00fcnk\u00fc toplant\u0131da TCMB\u2019den politika faizi ad\u0131m\u0131 beklenmiyor. TCMB, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemdeki faiz kararlar\u0131na dair bir sinyal de vermiyor. \u00d6te yandan likidite y\u00f6netimi gibi ad\u0131mlar\u0131n at\u0131l\u0131p at\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131 ise PPK metninden izlenecek.<\/p>\n
AA F\u0130NANS ANKET\u0130<\/b><\/p>\n
\u0130\u015fte ekonomistlerin TCMB toplant\u0131s\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentileri:<\/p>\n
Anadolu Ajans\u0131 (AA) Finans\u2019\u0131n 18 A\u011fustos Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilecek PPK toplant\u0131s\u0131na y\u00f6nelik piyasa beklenti anketi, 16 ekonomistin kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131yla ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n
TCMB toplant\u0131s\u0131na ili\u015fkin AA Finans\u2019\u0131n beklenti anketine kat\u0131lan ekonomistlerin tamam\u0131 politika faizinin y\u00fczde 14\u2019te sabit b\u0131rak\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin etti.<\/p>\n
Anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re, ekonomistlerin tamam\u0131 politika faizinin y\u00fczde 14\u2019te sabit tutulaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Ekonomistlerin y\u0131l sonu politika faiz oran\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentilerinin medyan\u0131 da y\u00fczde 14 oldu.<\/p>\n
REUTERS<\/b><\/p>\n
Reuters anketine kat\u0131lan 14 ekonomistin tamam\u0131 A\u011fustos ay\u0131 Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu (PPK) toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faizlerin sabit b\u0131rak\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n
Anketteki kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n \u00fcretim ve ihracat\u0131 \u00f6nceleyen ekonomi program\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 nedeniyle faiz tepkisi verilmeyece\u011fi beklentisini koruyor.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131lsonu i\u00e7in tahmin veren dokuz kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131dan yedisi politika faizinin y\u00fczde 14\u2019te kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcrken, bir kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131 y\u00fczde 12\u2019ye indirilmesini, bir di\u011feri ise y\u00fczde 20\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n
FOREX ANKET\u0130<\/b><\/p>\n
ForeksHaber anketine kat\u0131lan 13 ekonomistin tamam\u0131 faizin de\u011fi\u015ftirilmeyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
2022 y\u0131l sonuna ili\u015fkin 7 ekonomist g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f belirtti ve medyan tahmin y\u00fczde 14,00 oldu. Ekonomistlerin tamam\u0131 y\u0131l sonu i\u00e7in politika faizi tahminini y\u00fczde 14,00 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Ge\u00e7en ay d\u00fczenlenen ForeksHaber anketinde, 2022 sonu faiz beklentisi y\u00fczde 14,00 seviyesinde bulunurken, ekonomistlerden 1\u2019i faizin y\u00fczde 24\u2019e y\u00fckseltilece\u011fini beklentisini dile getirmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
BLOOMBERG ANKET\u0130<\/b><\/p>\n
Bloomberg a\u011fustos ay\u0131 TCMB faiz karar\u0131na ili\u015fkin anketine g\u00f6re, piyasa akt\u00f6rleri TCMB\u2019nin bu toplant\u0131da da politika faizini de\u011fi\u015ftirmesini beklemiyor. Sadece bir kurum faizde 100 baz puanl\u0131k indirime gidilmesini bekliyor.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131l sonu tahminini payla\u015fan 15 kurumun medyan beklentisi faizlerin y\u0131l sonuna kadar de\u011fi\u015ftirilmeyerek y\u00fczde 14 seviyesinde tutulaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde oldu.<\/p>\n
En d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck y\u0131l sonu tahmini veren kurum politika faizinin y\u00fczde 9 seviyesine kadar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesini, en y\u00fcksek tahmini payla\u015fan kurum ise y\u0131l sonuna kadar politika faizinin y\u00fczde 40 seviyesine kadar y\u00fckseltilmesini beklediklerini payla\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Piyasalarda g\u00f6zler TCMB’nin bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131 faiz karar\u0131nda. TCMB ilerideki faiz kararlar\u0131na dair herhangi bir sinyal vermiyor. Ekonomistler …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":26750,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[5964,2260,5965,731,1422],"class_list":["post-26749","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-anketi","tag-beklenti","tag-ekonomistler","tag-faiz","tag-tcmb"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26749","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=26749"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26749\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26751,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26749\/revisions\/26751"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/26750"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=26749"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=26749"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=26749"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}