{"id":2733,"date":"2022-07-05T07:06:09","date_gmt":"2022-07-05T07:06:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=2733"},"modified":"2022-07-05T07:06:09","modified_gmt":"2022-07-05T07:06:09","slug":"uluslararasi-finans-kuruluslari-turkiye-icin-enflasyon-tahminlerini-yukseltti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=2733","title":{"rendered":"Uluslararas\u0131 finans kurulu\u015flar\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in enflasyon tahminlerini y\u00fckseltti"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de enflasyon son 24 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015f\u0131rken uluslararas\u0131 bankalar tahminlerini g\u00fcncelledi. Barclays, enflasyonun ekimde zirve yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc, JP Morgan y\u0131l sonu tahminini art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/b><\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (T\u00dcFE) t\u0131rmanmaya devam ederken d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen finans kurulu\u015flar\u0131 da enflasyona dair uyar\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu (T\u00dc\u0130K) taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klanan haziran ay\u0131 enflasyon verilerine g\u00f6re T\u00dcFE haziranda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 4,95, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 78,62 artarak son 24 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n politika faizini y\u00fczde 80\u2019e yakla\u015fan enflasyona ra\u011fmen y\u00fczde 14\u2019te tutuyor olmas\u0131 d\u00f6vize talebi art\u0131r\u0131rken k\u00fcresel bankalar\u0131n enflasyon raporlar\u0131nda da tahminler y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen bankalar\u0131ndan \u0130ngiltere merkezli Barclays, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de enflasyonun y\u00fczde 88 ile zirve yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n<p><b>EK\u0130MDE Y\u00dcZDE 88 Z\u0130RVE OLAB\u0130L\u0130R<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Barclays ekonomisti Ercan Erg\u00fczel taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131mlanan ve Bloomberg taraf\u0131ndan aktar\u0131lan raporda, \u201cY\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda d\u00f6vizde \u00f6nemli bir de\u011fer kayb\u0131 olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 varsayarsak\u201d y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyonun ekim ay\u0131nda y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 88 ile zirveye ula\u015fabilece\u011fi ve enflasyonun y\u0131l\u0131 y\u00fczde 67 ile kapatabilece\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p>Erg\u00fczel ayr\u0131ca, \u201c\u00dcretici Fiyatlar\u0131 Endeksi (\u00dcFE) bozulmaya devam etti\u011fi i\u00e7in en k\u00f6t\u00fcn\u00fcn geride kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemekte zorlan\u0131yoruz. Di\u011fer g\u00f6stergeler de k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fen bir enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor\u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131. Bankan\u0131n raporunda son olarak, \u201c\u00dccretlerdeki geriye d\u00f6n\u00fck d\u00fczenlemenin enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc olumsuz etkilemesi muhtemel\u201d ifadeleri yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n<p><b>JP MORGAN TAHM\u0130NLER\u0130N\u0130 Y\u00dcKSELTT\u0130<\/b><\/p>\n<p>ABD merkezli yat\u0131r\u0131m bankas\u0131 JPMorgan da T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de enflasyona neden olan fakt\u00f6rlerde bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek 2022 y\u0131l sonu enflasyon tahminini y\u00fczde 49,5&#8217;ten y\u00fczde 63,1&#8217;e y\u00fckseltti.<\/p>\n<p>Banka ekonomistleri, \u201cTalep ve maliyet kaynakl\u0131 enflasyonist bask\u0131lar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olmaya ve merkez bankas\u0131 kredibilitesi zay\u0131flamaya devam ederken Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n politika duru\u015funu normalle\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in acelesi yok\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n<p><b>\u2018KKM VE TUR\u0130ZM KISA VADEDE BASKIYI AZALTIR\u2019<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Raporda ayr\u0131ca kur korumal\u0131 mevduat (KKM) program\u0131 ile k\u0131smen g\u00fcvence alt\u0131na al\u0131nan ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc turizm gelirleriyle desteklenecek olan lira istikrar\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede enflasyonist bask\u0131lar\u0131 dizginleyebilece\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p>Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu\u2019nun (IMF) tahminlerine g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de bu y\u0131l Venezuela, Sudan ve Zimbabve\u2019den sonra d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en y\u00fcksek d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc enflasyonu olacak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de enflasyon son 24 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015f\u0131rken uluslararas\u0131 bankalar tahminlerini g\u00fcncelledi. Barclays, enflasyonun ekimde &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2734,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[936,60,646,15],"class_list":["post-2733","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-banka","tag-enflasyon","tag-merkez","tag-turkiye"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2733","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2733"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2733\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2735,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2733\/revisions\/2735"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2734"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2733"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2733"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2733"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}