Citigroup, k\u00fcresel ekonomide talebi felce u\u011fratacak d\u00fczeyde bir durgunluk ya\u015fan\u0131rsa ham petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 2022\u2019nin sonunda 65 dolara, 2023\u2019\u00fcn sonundaysa 45 dolara gerileyebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/b><\/p>\n
ABD merkezli finans devi Citigroup, talebi felce u\u011fratacak bir durgunluk ya\u015fan\u0131rsa ham petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l sonunda 65 dolara, 2023’\u00fcn sonunda da 45 dolara kadar d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fi tahmininde bulundu.<\/p>\n
Bloomberg’in haberine g\u00f6re, Citigroup’un senaryosu Petrol \u0130hra\u00e7 Eden \u00dclkeler \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc’n\u00fcn (OPEC) herhangi bir m\u00fcdahalesinin olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve k\u0131sa d\u00f6nemli petrol yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fanmaca\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131m\u0131na dayan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
RESESYON PETROL F\u0130YATLARINI ETK\u0130LEYEB\u0130L\u0130R<\/b><\/p>\n
Ham petrol i\u00e7in g\u00f6sterge fiyat i\u015flevi g\u00f6ren brent tipi ham petrol halihaz\u0131rda 113 dolar seviyesinden i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda bu y\u0131l ciddi bir art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fanmas\u0131na neden olmu\u015f ancak ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere bir\u00e7ok merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na gitmesi durgunluk beklentisinin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Resesyon beklentisi, uzun vadede petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fanabilece\u011fi tahminlerini beraberinde getirdi.<\/p>\n
F\u0130NANS DEV\u0130 HAZ\u0130RANDA ARTI\u015e \u00d6NG\u00d6RM\u00dc\u015eT\u00dc<\/b><\/p>\n
Citigroup analistlerinin 5 Temmuz’da kaleme ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 notta, \u201cTarihsel kan\u0131tlar petrol a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan talebin yaln\u0131zca en k\u00f6t\u00fc k\u00fcresel durgunluklarda negatife gitti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Ancak petrol fiyatlar\u0131 t\u00fcm resesyonlarda kabaca marjinal maliyetin seviyesine d\u00fc\u015fer\u201d ifadeleri yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Reuters’\u0131n 6 Haziran’da bildirdi\u011fine g\u00f6re finans devi, 2022’nin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde brent tipi ham petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 99 dolar olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, 4. \u00e7eyrekteyse 85 dolara gerileyece\u011fini belirtmi\u015fti. Citigroup genel olarak brent tipi ham petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 2023’te ortalama 75 dolar olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n
ABD merkezli finans devi, yeni tahmininin aksine hazirandaki ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131nda \u0130ran petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn sevkiyat\u0131n\u0131n gecikmesi ve s\u0131k\u0131 piyasa dengelerini g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurarak hem 2022 hem de 2023 i\u00e7in petrol fiyatlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik tahminlerini y\u00fckseltmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
JPMORGAN FELAKET SENARYOSUNU DUYURMU\u015eTU<\/b><\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan, bir di\u011fer ABD\u2019li banka JP Morgan\u2019\u0131n analistleri, petrolde felaket senaryosunu \u00f6nceki g\u00fcn duyurmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
Banka, ABD ve Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na misilleme amac\u0131yla Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ham petrol \u00fcretiminde kesinti yapabilece\u011fini ve bu durumda petrol\u00fcn varil ba\u015f\u0131na fiyat\u0131n\u0131n muazzam d\u00fczeyde artarak 380 dolara ula\u015fabilece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemi\u015fti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Citigroup, k\u00fcresel ekonomide talebi felce u\u011fratacak d\u00fczeyde bir durgunluk ya\u015fan\u0131rsa ham petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 2022\u2019nin sonunda 65 dolara, 2023 …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2926,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[11,1002,1001,1000,57],"class_list":["post-2925","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-abd","tag-citigroup","tag-dolara","tag-ham","tag-petrol"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2925","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2925"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2925\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2927,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2925\/revisions\/2927"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2926"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2925"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2925"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2925"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}