Deprem Bilimci Ahmet Ercan, Kuzey Marmara ve son d\u00f6nemde sars\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n s\u0131kla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u0130zmir i\u00e7in deprem uyar\u0131lar\u0131nda bulundu.<\/b><\/p>\n
Jeofizik Y. M\u00fchendisi Deprem Bilimcisi Prof. Dr. \u00d6vg\u00fcn Ahmet Ercan, son g\u00fcnlerde pe\u015f pe\u015fe meydana gelen irili ufakl\u0131 depremlerin ard\u0131ndan S\u00d6ZC\u00dc \u2018ye \u00f6zel a\u00e7\u0131klamalar yapt\u0131\u2026<\/p>\n
Ercan, \u201cBeklenen y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 depremlerin Kuzey Anadolu K\u0131r\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczerinde olma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 52. Bat\u0131 Anadolu’da olmas\u0131 y\u00fczde 33, Do\u011fu Anadolu K\u0131r\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczerinde olma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 13’t\u00fcr. Yeryuvar\u0131nda, depremlerin art\u0131\u015f, azal\u0131\u015f d\u00f6nemselli\u011fine g\u00f6re 2022-2023 y\u0131llar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6receli olarak k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck depremlerle atlat\u0131lmas\u0131 beklenmektedir\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
DEPREMLER NE GEC\u0130KM\u0130\u015eT\u0130R, NE DE \u00c7O\u011eALMI\u015eTIR<\/strong><\/p>\n T\u00fcrkiye, 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda 7,2 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki Van depreminden sonra, en y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 depremlerin Elaz\u0131\u011f-Malatya 6,8, Sisam-Ku\u015fadas\u0131 7,0 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fckteki sars\u0131nt\u0131lar oldu\u011funu belirten Ahmet Ercan, \u201cT\u00fcrkiye’de depremler ne gecikmi\u015ftir, ne de \u00e7o\u011falm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. T\u00fcm sars\u0131nt\u0131lar ola\u011fan olu\u015fumuyla s\u00fcrmektedir. 1999 G\u00f6lc\u00fck depreminden sonra ge\u00e7en 23 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde olumlu \u00e7ok de\u011fi\u015fiklikler oldu\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n KUZEY MARMARA \u0130\u00c7\u0130N TAR\u0130H VERD\u0130<\/strong><\/p>\n Kuzey Marmara’da k\u0131r\u0131lacak kabu\u011fun ortalama kal\u0131nl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n 30 kilometre oldu\u011funu belirten Ercan, s\u00f6zlerini \u015f\u00f6yle s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc:<\/p>\n \u2013 Bunun en yukar\u0131 12 kilometrelik k\u0131sm\u0131 gevrektir. K\u0131r\u0131lma direnci ise yakla\u015f\u0131k 6 milyar gigatondur. B\u00f6yle bir gerginlik birikmedik\u00e7e, k\u0131r\u0131lma, dolay\u0131s\u0131yla deprem olmayacakt\u0131r. Kuzey Marmara i\u00e7in deprem olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 2033’den sonra saymaya ba\u015flayacakt\u0131r. 2045 dolay\u0131 en olas\u0131 deprem d\u00f6nemidir. Gecikirse 2075 dolay\u0131nda olacakt\u0131r. Gecikme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 da vard\u0131r. Deprem de s\u00f6ylentilerdeki gibi \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck, de\u011fil orta b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fckte olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n B\u00dcY\u00dcK DEPREM OLUNCAYA DEK\u2026<\/strong><\/p>\n \u2013 K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck\u00e7ekmece-Sivriada aras\u0131nda 7 kilometre derinli\u011fi dolay\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 6,4 ile 6,7 aras\u0131nda, Marmara Ere\u011flisi \u00f6n\u00fcnde ise 7,0 ile 7,2 aras\u0131nda olacakt\u0131r. Toplam \u00e7\u0131kacak g\u00fcre-enerji 7,3’e denk gelecektir. B\u00fcy\u00fck deprem oluncaya dek, Marmara’da 3, 4, 5, \u00f6tesi 5,5, 5,9 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde \u00f6nc\u00fc depremlerin olmas\u0131 beklenir.<\/p>\n \u0130ZM\u0130R\u2019DE 7 B\u00dcY\u00dcKL\u00dc\u011e\u00dcNDE DEPREM OLAB\u0130L\u0130R<\/strong><\/p>\n \u0130zmir’de beklenen depremin Karaburun-Midilli aras\u0131nda oldu\u011funu, ancak beklenen gerginli\u011fin t\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn bo\u015falmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da s\u00f6zlerine ekleyen Ercan, \u015fu ifadeleri kulland\u0131:<\/p>\n \u2013 \u0130vedi olmasa da ileride 6,8-7,0 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde deprem olu\u015fturabilir. Bayrakl\u0131 tar\u0131m alan\u0131nda y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 olan 2020 Sisam 7,0 depremi, onlarca y\u0131l bu b\u00f6lgede yeniden k\u00fckremeyecektir. Kald\u0131 ki, bu k\u0131r\u0131\u011f\u0131n do\u011fuda s\u00fcre\u011fi olan Ayd\u0131n B\u00fcy\u00fck Menderes \u00e7ukurunda ivedi bir deprem olma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckt\u00fcr.<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Deprem Bilimci Ahmet Ercan, Kuzey Marmara ve son d\u00f6nemde sars\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n s\u0131kla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u0130zmir i\u00e7in deprem uyar\u0131lar\u0131nda bulundu. Jeofizik Y. M\u00fchendisi …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":29340,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[1958,6333,1704,2117,6334],"class_list":["post-29339","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gundem","tag-deprem","tag-ercan","tag-kuzey","tag-marmara","tag-olasiligi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29339","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=29339"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29339\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":29341,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29339\/revisions\/29341"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/29340"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=29339"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=29339"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=29339"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}