{"id":30337,"date":"2022-08-24T14:06:05","date_gmt":"2022-08-24T14:06:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=30337"},"modified":"2022-08-24T14:06:05","modified_gmt":"2022-08-24T14:06:05","slug":"wsj-turkiye-yuksek-doviz-ve-borc-krizi-riski-bulunan-ulkeler-arasinda","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=30337","title":{"rendered":"WSJ: T\u00fcrkiye y\u00fcksek d\u00f6viz ve bor\u00e7 krizi riski bulunan \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>Wall Street Journal, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin d\u00f6viz rezervlerinin h\u0131zla eridi\u011fini, Pakistan, M\u0131s\u0131r, T\u00fcrkiye ve Gana&#8217;n\u0131n y\u00fcksek d\u00f6viz ve bor\u00e7 krizi riski i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011funu belirtti.<\/b><\/p>\n<p>ABD Merkezli finans gazetesi Wall Street Journal, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin d\u00f6viz rezervlerinin h\u0131zla eridi\u011fini, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de aralar\u0131nda bulundu\u011fu kimi \u00fclkelerin d\u00f6viz ve bor\u00e7 krizi riski i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011funu yazd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>ABD dolar\u0131 ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftalarda 20 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131karken bu durum merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131 para birimlerindeki de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 durdurmak i\u00e7in rezervlerini bo\u015faltmaya zorlad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Habere g\u00f6re geli\u015fmekte olan piyasalar ABD dolar\u0131 ve di\u011fer d\u00f6viz stoklar\u0131n\u0131 t\u00fcketirken bu durum d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en k\u0131r\u0131lgan ekonomilerinde bir temerr\u00fct dalgas\u0131 riskini art\u0131r\u0131yor. D\u00f6viz rezervlerindeki erimenin h\u0131z\u0131 ise 2008\u2019den bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen en h\u0131zl\u0131 oran.<\/p>\n<p><b>2008\u2019DEN SONRA \u0130LK<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu\u2019ndan (IMF) al\u0131nan verilere g\u00f6re, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin rezervleri bu y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan haziran ay\u0131na kadar 379 milyar dolar azald\u0131. JPMorgan\u2019a g\u00f6re \u00c7in ve K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkelerinin b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u00f6viz varl\u0131klar\u0131 hari\u00e7 tutuldu\u011funda geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin rezervleri 2008\u2019den bu yana en b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri ya\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00fcnyan\u0131n d\u00f6rt bir yan\u0131ndaki merkez bankalar\u0131, para birimlerini y\u00fckselen ABD dolar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 savunmak, g\u0131da ve yak\u0131t ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamak i\u00e7in d\u00f6viz rezervlerini kullan\u0131yor. \u00c7in, Hindistan ve Brezilya gibi geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeler b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u00f6viz stoklar\u0131yla f\u0131rt\u0131naya kar\u015f\u0131 daha avantajl\u0131 bir m\u00fccadele verirken aralar\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de oldu\u011fu kimi \u00fclkelerde ise risk daha da b\u00fcy\u00fck.<\/p>\n<p><b>PAK\u0130STAN, MISIR, T\u00dcRK\u0130YE VE GANA R\u0130SK ALTINDA<\/b><\/p>\n<p>WSJ\u2019nin analizine g\u00f6re, may\u0131s ay\u0131nda temerr\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015fen Sri Lanka yak\u0131t ve di\u011fer temel ithalatlar i\u00e7in \u00f6demesi gereken dolar rezervinden yoksun. \u00d6te yandan Nijerya\u2019da da akut bir d\u00f6viz s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Ekonomistler, Pakistan, M\u0131s\u0131r, T\u00fcrkiye ve Gana\u2019n\u0131n benzer \u015fekilde bir d\u00f6viz krizi riski alt\u0131nda olduklar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n<p>ABD Ticaret Temsilcisi\u2019nin eski dan\u0131\u015fman\u0131 Brad Setser konu ile ilgili de\u011ferlendirmesinde, \u201cBirka\u00e7 \u00f6nemli \u00fclkede acil bir risk var. Bunlar yeterli rezervi olmayan \u00fclkeler. Finansmana eri\u015fimlerini kaybettikleri i\u00e7in ve g\u0131da ile enerji ithalatlar\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamak amac\u0131yla rezervlerini kullan\u0131yorlar. Bu durum biraz daha uzun s\u00fcrerse d\u00f6viz veya bor\u00e7 krizi riskiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kal\u0131rlar\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130ngiliz varl\u0131k y\u00f6netim \u015firketi Jupiter Asset Management\u2019\u0131n geli\u015fen piyasalar b\u00f6l\u00fcmde ba\u015fkanl\u0131k g\u00f6revini y\u00fcr\u00fcten Alejandro Arevalo, bu y\u0131l\u0131n bir\u00e7ok geli\u015fen piyasa \u00fclkesi i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck bir f\u0131rt\u0131na getirdi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Arevalo, \u201cSahra alt\u0131 Afrika \u00fclkeleri en b\u00fcy\u00fck risk alt\u0131nda bulunan \u00fclkeler \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu \u00fclkelerin \u00e7o\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizlere g\u00fcveniyordu\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n<p><b>KISA VADEL\u0130 DI\u015e BOR\u00c7 REKOR KIRMI\u015eTI<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Son olarak TCMB&#8217;nin net uluslararas\u0131 rezervleri 12 A\u011fustos ile sona eren haftada 15,68 milyar dolar olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bankan\u0131n br\u00fct d\u00f6viz rezervleri ise 72 milyar 560 milyon dolar seviyesinde. Net rezervler Temmuz ay\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flar\u0131nda 6,1 milyar dolar ile 2002&#8217;den bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeyi g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB) Haziran 2022 d\u00f6nemine ait K\u0131sa Vadeli D\u0131\u015f Bor\u00e7 \u0130statistikleri&#8217;ne g\u00f6re ise 2022 Haziran sonu itibar\u0131yla, orijinal vadesine bak\u0131lmaks\u0131z\u0131n vadesine 1 y\u0131l veya daha az kalm\u0131\u015f d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 verisi kullan\u0131larak hesaplanan kalan vadeye g\u00f6re k\u0131sa vadeli d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 stoku 182,5 milyar dolarla rekor k\u0131rd\u0131. Bu rakam may\u0131sta 182,3 milyar dolar d\u00fczeyinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Wall Street Journal, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin d\u00f6viz rezervlerinin h\u0131zla eridi\u011fini, Pakistan, M\u0131s\u0131r, T\u00fcrkiye ve Gana&#8217;n\u0131n y\u00fcksek d\u00f6viz ve bor\u00e7 &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":30338,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[11,750,70,975,2093],"class_list":["post-30337","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-abd","tag-borc","tag-dolar","tag-doviz","tag-ulkeler"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30337","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=30337"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30337\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":30339,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30337\/revisions\/30339"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/30338"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=30337"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=30337"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=30337"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}