{"id":32009,"date":"2022-08-27T11:21:06","date_gmt":"2022-08-27T11:21:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=32009"},"modified":"2022-08-27T11:21:06","modified_gmt":"2022-08-27T11:21:06","slug":"erdogan-ekonomide-ne-dedi-ne-oldu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=32009","title":{"rendered":"Erdo\u011fan ekonomide ne dedi, ne oldu?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan 2022 ba\u015f\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda enflasyonda, faizde ve dolar kurunda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f vaat etti ama tam tersi ya\u015fand\u0131.<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 ve AKP Genel Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Tayyip Erdo\u011fan sene ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda enflasyon, faiz, cari a\u00e7\u0131k ve dolar kurunun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ge\u00e7ece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi ancak ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan tablo tam tersi oldu.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u015fte Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar ve ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan tablo:<\/p>\n<p><span><strong>D\u00d6V\u0130Z KURU<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>NE DED\u0130:<\/strong> \u201cEnflasyon, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe girmi\u015ftir, girecektir. Bu bir defa kesin. Yava\u015f yava\u015f, kademeli bir \u015fekilde, aceleci olmadan kur da d\u00fc\u015fecek, faiz de ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015fecek ve 2022 bizim en parlak y\u0131l\u0131m\u0131z olacak in\u015fallah.\u201d <em>(18 Ocak 2022)<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>NE OLDU:<\/strong> Enflasyon d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe de\u011fil, y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7ti. T\u00dc\u0130K\u2019in a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 resmi enflasyon y\u00fczde 80\u2019e dayand\u0131. Y\u0131la 13 lira seviyesinden ba\u015flayan dolar kuru, 18 liray\u0131 a\u015ft\u0131. 2022\u2019nin ilk 8 ay\u0131 vatanda\u015f i\u00e7in parlak de\u011fil kapkara ge\u00e7ti. Hayat pahal\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 t\u00fcm toplumu esir ald\u0131.<\/p>\n<p><span><strong>ENFLASYON\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>NE DED\u0130:<\/strong> \u201cGeli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin 6 \u2013 7 kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kan enflasyon ve art\u0131k ipin ucunu ka\u00e7\u0131rd\u0131klar\u0131 para geni\u015flemeleri ile \u015fa\u015fk\u0131n \u015fekilde sa\u011fa sola yalpalad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nemde T\u00fcrkiye kendi ray\u0131nda g\u00fcvenle yoluna devam ediyor. Amerika&#8217;ya bak, enflasyon felaket. Avrupa&#8217;ya gelin ayn\u0131\u201d <em>(15 Ocak 2022)<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>NE OLDU:<\/strong> T\u00fcrkiye, G20 \u00fclkeleri ve Avrupa \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda en y\u00fcksek enflasyona sahip \u00fclke oldu. Y\u00fczde 79,60\u2019l\u0131k enflasyon ile T\u00fcrkiye, d\u00fcnya genelinde en y\u00fcksek enflasyon sahip 6. \u00fclke konumunda. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den y\u00fcksek enflasyona sahip \u00fclkeler ise \u015f\u00f6yle: Suriye, Sudan, Venezuela, L\u00fcbnan, Zimbabve.<\/p>\n<p><span><strong>FA\u0130Z<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>NE DED\u0130:<\/strong> Faizle m\u00fccadelemi biliyorsunuz, faizi indirece\u011fiz ve indiriyoruz. Bilin ki enflasyon da inecek, daha da d\u00fc\u015fecek. D\u00f6viz kuru istikrara kavu\u015fur, enflasyon d\u00fc\u015fer, pahal\u0131l\u0131k ortadan kalkar. Bunlar\u0131n hepsi de gelip ge\u00e7icidir. <em>(29 Ocak 2022)<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>NE OLDU:<\/strong> Merkez Bankas\u0131 politika faizini bu ay y\u00fczde 13\u2019e \u00e7ekerken, i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 bankalarda y\u00fczde 50&#8217;lere varan oranlarda kredi faizleriyle nedeniyle isyanlarda. Zor ekonomik ko\u015fullarda bor\u00e7la hayat\u0131n\u0131 idame ettirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan vatanda\u015flar ise ihtiya\u00e7 kredisi faizleri y\u00fczde 35\u2019i a\u015farak son 4 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Vatanda\u015f\u0131n talebi azal\u0131rken, Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n faizle m\u00fccadelesinin kimseye faydas\u0131 olmad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p><strong><span>CAR\u0130 A\u00c7IK<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>NE DED\u0130:<\/strong> \u201cYat\u0131r\u0131m, istihdam, \u00fcretim, ihracat ve cari fazla yoluyla b\u00fcy\u00fcme esasl\u0131 kendi T\u00fcrkiye Ekonomi Program\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 uygulamaya ba\u015flad\u0131k. Fiyat istikrar\u0131n\u0131 ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z di\u011fer tedbirlerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra i\u015fimize gelen seviyedeki bir d\u00f6viz kuruyla cari fazla art\u0131rarak sa\u011flamay\u0131 planl\u0131yoruz.\u201d <em>(6 Haziran 2022)<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>NE OLDU:<\/strong> H\u00fck\u00fcmetin yeni ekonomi modelindeki en b\u00fcy\u00fck iddias\u0131, TL\u2019nin de\u011ferinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tutulmas\u0131n\u0131n getirece\u011fi \u2018rekabet\u00e7i kur\u2019 avantaj\u0131 ile cari fazla vermekti. Ancak tablo, emtia fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek seyretmesinin etkisiyle tam tersi oldu. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 son g\u00fcncel \u00f6demeler dengesi verilerine g\u00f6re cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131, haziranda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re 2 milyar 269 milyon dolar artarak 3 milyar 458 milyon dolara y\u00fckseldi. 12 ayl\u0131k cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 32 milyar 667 milyon dolara ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p><strong><span>KRED\u0130 NOTU<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>NE DED\u0130:<\/strong> \u201cSon d\u00f6nemde enflasyonun sembol\u00fc bedeller \u00f6demeye devam ediyoruz. F\u0131rsatlar, \u00f6dedi\u011fimiz bedellerden daha \u00e7ok oldu\u011funu bilerek devam edece\u011fiz. Ekonomi modelinden taviz vermeyece\u011fiz. Birileri ekonomi politikam\u0131z\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6lgelemek istese de uluslararas\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmeler tersini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.\u201d <em>(1 A\u011fustos 2022)<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>NE OLDU:<\/strong> Erdo\u011fan bu s\u00f6zleri s\u00f6ylemeden 15 g\u00fcn \u00f6nce T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin be\u015f y\u0131ll\u0131k kredi iflas riskini \u00f6l\u00e7en (CDS) primleri 900\u2019\u00fc a\u015farak 2003\u2019ten bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeye ula\u015ft\u0131. Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131ndan 11 g\u00fcn sonra ise uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Moody\u2019s, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin kredi notunu B2&#8217;den B3&#8217;e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, not g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc ise negatiften dura\u011fana \u00e7evirdi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Moody&#8217;s, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00f6demeler dengesi \u00fczerinde artan bask\u0131lar\u0131 ve d\u00f6viz rezervlerinin daha fazla d\u00fc\u015fme riskini, kredi notunun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesine neden olarak g\u00f6sterdi. Kurulu\u015f, cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n beklentileri b\u00fcy\u00fck bir farkla a\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 beklediklerini kaydetti. Fitch 8 Temmuz&#8217;da T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin notunu B+&#8217;dan B&#8217;ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm ise negatif. S&#038;P ise son g\u00fcncellemeyi 10 Aral\u0131k 2021&#8217;de yapt\u0131. Kredi notu B+&#8217;da kal\u0131rken g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm dura\u011fandan negatife d\u00f6nd\u00fc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan 2022 ba\u015f\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda enflasyonda, faizde ve dolar kurunda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f vaat etti ama tam tersi ya\u015fand\u0131 &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":32010,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[5404,60,731,972,15],"class_list":["post-32009","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-cari","tag-enflasyon","tag-faiz","tag-kredi","tag-turkiye"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32009","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=32009"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32009\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":32011,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32009\/revisions\/32011"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/32010"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=32009"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=32009"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=32009"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}