{"id":32732,"date":"2022-08-29T06:51:06","date_gmt":"2022-08-29T06:51:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=32732"},"modified":"2022-08-29T06:51:06","modified_gmt":"2022-08-29T06:51:06","slug":"goldman-ingiltere-dorduncu-ceyrekte-resesyona-girecek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=32732","title":{"rendered":"Goldman: \u0130ngiltere d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte resesyona girecek"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>Goldman Sachs, \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin gayri safi yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131las\u0131n\u0131n 2023 ortas\u0131na kadar yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 1 gerilemesinin beklendi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. <\/b><\/p>\n<p>ABD merkezli yat\u0131r\u0131m bankas\u0131 Goldman Sachs, \u0130ngiltere ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l i\u00e7inde resesyona girmesini bekliyor. Goldman Sachs&#8217;a g\u00f6re y\u00fckselen enerji maliyetleriyle birlikte \u0130ngiltere derin bir daralma riskiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya.<\/p>\n<p>Bloomberg&#8217;in haberine g\u00f6re Goldman bug\u00fcn bir ara\u015ft\u0131rma notunda \u0130ngiltere&#8217;nin gayri safi yurti\u00e7i has\u0131las\u0131n\u0131n 2023 ortas\u0131na kadar yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 1 gerilemesinin beklendi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n<p><b>\u2018\u00dcRET\u0130M Y\u00dcZDE 0,6 K\u00dc\u00c7\u00dcLECEK&#8217;<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\u00d6te yandan gelecek y\u0131l \u00fcretimin y\u00fczde 0,6 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclebilece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu beklenti Goldman&#8217;\u0131n bir \u00f6nceki y\u00fczde 1,1&#8217;lik geni\u015fleme tahmininden epey keskin bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n<p>Sven Jari Stehn liderli\u011findeki ekonomistler, \u0130ngiltere&#8217;de ya\u015fam maliyeti bask\u0131s\u0131na ili\u015fkin endi\u015felerin k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fen enerji kriziyle birlikte yo\u011funla\u015fmaya devam etti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Ekonomistler t\u00fcketimin \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015fmesinin h\u00e2l\u00e2 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>Goldman&#8217;\u0131n tahmini, k\u00fcresel verilerin ABD&#8217;den Avrupa ve Asya&#8217;ya ekonomik aktivitenin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermesinin ard\u0131ndan geldi. Y\u00fckselen faiz oranlar\u0131 ve artan enflasyonun d\u00fcnyay\u0131 resesyona s\u00fcr\u00fckleyebilece\u011fine ili\u015fkin endi\u015feler peki\u015fiyor.<\/p>\n<p><b>\u2018HANE HALKI TASARRUFLARI AZALACAK&#8217;<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\u00d6nceki aylarda \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) 27 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na gitmi\u015f ve \u00fclkenin artan enflasyonun a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 alt\u0131nda bir y\u0131ldan uzun s\u00fcrecek bir durgunlu\u011fa do\u011fru gitti\u011fi konusunda uyarm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Goldman, \u0130ngiltere&#8217;de hane halk\u0131n\u0131n tasarruf oran\u0131n\u0131n 2023&#8217;\u00fcn ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 3,5 gibi rekor d\u00fczeyde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir seviyeye gerilemesini bekliyor. ABD&#8217;li yat\u0131r\u0131m bankas\u0131 \u0130ngiltere&#8217;de 2023&#8217;te reel harcanabilir gelirlerin y\u00fczde 2,9, reel t\u00fcketiminse y\u00fczde 1,4 d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini tahmin ediyor.<\/p>\n<p>Goldman ayr\u0131ca resesyon beklentilerinin \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n para politikas\u0131n\u0131 daha da s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmaktan cayd\u0131rma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n h\u00e2l\u00e2 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n eyl\u00fclde 50 baz puanl\u0131k bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na gitmesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n<p><b>\u2018R\u0130SKLER, \u015e\u0130DDETL\u0130 B\u0130R DURGUNLU\u011eA Y\u00d6NELD\u0130&#8217;<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Ekonomistler risklerin daha \u015fiddetli ve uzun s\u00fcreli bir durgunlu\u011fa do\u011fru y\u00f6neldi\u011fini g\u00f6rd\u00fcklerini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>Goldman b\u00f6yle bir senaryoda \u0130ngiltere ekonomisinin gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3,4 kadar k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclece\u011fini ifade etti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Goldman Sachs, \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin gayri safi yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131las\u0131n\u0131n 2023 ortas\u0131na kadar yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 1 gerilemesinin beklendi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. ABD &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":32733,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[6304,6782,766],"class_list":["post-32732","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-bankasi","tag-goldman","tag-ingiltere"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32732","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=32732"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32732\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":32734,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32732\/revisions\/32734"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/32733"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=32732"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=32732"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=32732"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}