Rusya’n\u0131n AB petrol ithalat\u0131ndaki pay\u0131 sava\u015f \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 40’tan y\u00fczde 25’e geriledi. Afrika’dan AB’ye ham petrol ithalat\u0131 bu d\u00f6nemde 200 bin varil art\u0131\u015fla g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama 2,6 milyon varile, Orta Do\u011fu’dan ithalat 600 bin varil art\u0131\u015fla g\u00fcnl\u00fck 1,4 milyon varile \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/b><\/p>\n
Avrupa Birli\u011fi (AB) yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar kapsam\u0131nda Rusya\u2019dan petrol ithalat\u0131n\u0131 sonland\u0131rmak i\u00e7in Orta Do\u011fu ve Afrika ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere farkl\u0131 piyasalara y\u00f6nelirken, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n AB\u2019nin ham petrol ithalat\u0131nda sava\u015f \u00f6ncesinde y\u00fczde 40 olan pay\u0131 y\u00fczde 25\u2019e kadar geriledi.<\/p>\n
AB, haziranda onaylad\u0131\u011f\u0131 6. yapt\u0131r\u0131m paketi kapsam\u0131nda Rusya\u2019dan deniz yoluyla ham petrol ithalat\u0131n\u0131 y\u0131l sonuna kadar, petrol \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ithalat\u0131n\u0131 ise 2023\u2019\u00fcn ilk 2 ay\u0131 itibar\u0131yla sonland\u0131rma karar\u0131 ald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bu karar, AB\u2019nin Rusya\u2019dan mevcut petrol ithalat\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 90\u2019\u0131n\u0131 kaps\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
GE\u00c7EN YIL 48 M\u0130LYAR EURO\u2019LUK \u0130THALAT YAPILMI\u015eTI<\/b><\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l Rusya\u2019dan 48 milyar Euro de\u011ferinde ham petrol ve 23 milyar Euro\u2019luk rafine petrol \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ithal eden AB\u2019de, boru hatt\u0131yla ithalat yapan \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in ambargo karar\u0131nda ge\u00e7ici s\u00fcreyle istisna uygulanacak.<\/p>\n
Bu \u00fclkeler, ald\u0131klar\u0131 petrol\u00fc di\u011fer \u00fcye \u00fclkelere veya \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc taraflara satamayacak.<\/p>\n
Co\u011frafi konumundan kaynakl\u0131 zorluk sebebiyle Bulgaristan 2024\u2019\u00fcn sonuna kadar Rusya\u2019dan ham petrol ve petrol \u00fcr\u00fcnlerini deniz yoluyla ithal edebilecek. H\u0131rvatistan ise rafinerisinin \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 i\u00e7in gerekli olan vakum gaz\u0131 ithalat\u0131na 2023\u2019\u00fcn sonuna kadar izin verecek.<\/p>\n
Rusya-Ukrayna Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Rusya\u2019dan fosil yak\u0131t ithalat\u0131n\u0131 azaltmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan AB\u2019nin, ham petrol ithalat\u0131n\u0131 ambargo kapsam\u0131nda y\u0131l sonuna kadar sonland\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n daha kolay oldu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Uzmanlar, AB\u2019nin as\u0131l zorlu\u011fu Rusya\u2019dan dizel ithalat\u0131n\u0131 bitirme konusunda ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
ORTA DO\u011eU\u2019DAN \u0130THALAT G\u00dcNL\u00dcK 600 B\u0130N VAR\u0130L ARTTI<\/b><\/p>\n
Ger\u00e7ek zamanl\u0131 veri takip \u015firketi Vortexa\u2019n\u0131n Ba\u015fekonomisti David Wech\u2019in AA muhabiriyle payla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 verilere g\u00f6re, Avrupa 1-21 A\u011fustos d\u00f6neminde Rusya\u2019dan deniz yoluyla g\u00fcnl\u00fck 1,1 milyon varil ham petrol ithal etti.<\/p>\n
Bu ithalat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131 Hollanda ve \u0130talya\u2019ya giderken, Bulgaristan, Romanya ve Polonya da Rusya\u2019dan g\u00fcnl\u00fck ham petrol ithalat\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer Avrupa \u00fclkeleri ise Rusya\u2019dan deniz yoluyla ham petrol al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 neredeyse tamamen durdurdu. S\u00f6z konusu \u00fclkelerin sava\u015f ba\u015flamadan \u00f6nce deniz yoluyla ithal etti\u011fi ham petrol miktar\u0131 g\u00fcnl\u00fck 700 bin varil seviyesindeydi.<\/p>\n
RUSYA\u2019NIN PAYI Y\u00dcZDE 25\u2019E GER\u0130LED\u0130<\/b><\/p>\n
Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n deniz yoluyla ham petrol ithalat\u0131nda Rusya\u2019n\u0131n pay\u0131 sava\u015f \u00f6ncesine k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 20\u2019den y\u00fczde 10\u2019a, toplam petrol ithalat\u0131nda ise y\u00fczde 40\u2019tan y\u00fczde 25\u2019e geriledi.<\/p>\n
AB Rusya\u2019ya ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltmak i\u00e7in alternatif kaynak aray\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Afrika ve Orta Do\u011fu ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere d\u00fcnyan\u0131n farkl\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerine y\u00f6neldi.<\/p>\n
Afrika\u2019dan AB\u2019ye ham petrol ithalat\u0131 sava\u015f \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re 200 bin varil art\u0131\u015fla g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama 2,6 milyon varile, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019dan ithalat 600 bin varil art\u0131\u015fla g\u00fcnl\u00fck 1,4 milyon varile \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n
AB\u2019nin ABD\u2019den ham petrol ithalat\u0131 140 bin varil artarak g\u00fcnl\u00fck 1,5 milyon varile, G\u00fcney Amerika\u2019dan ithalat\u0131 240 bin varil art\u0131\u015fla g\u00fcnl\u00fck 600 bin varile y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n
Rusya\u2019dan ham petrol ithalat\u0131 ise mevcut durumda sava\u015f \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re yakla\u015f\u0131k 550 bin varil d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle g\u00fcnl\u00fck 1,1 milyon seviyesine geriledi. \u00d6te yandan, AB\u2019nin Kazakistan\u2019dan ham petrol ithalat\u0131 da yakla\u015f\u0131k 140 bin varil d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 800 bin varile indi.<\/p>\n
AB\u2019N\u0130N \u0130THAL ETT\u0130\u011e\u0130 D\u0130ZELDE RUSYA\u2019NIN PAYI Y\u00dcZDE 50<\/b><\/p>\n
Vortexa Ba\u015fekonomisti Wech, AB\u2019nin Rusya\u2019dan petrol ithalat\u0131 d\u00fc\u015ferken, Rus dizeline ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ise art\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funa dikkati \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n
Alternatif tedarik\u00e7iler g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda AB\u2019nin ham petrolde Rusya\u2019ya ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltmas\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6rece daha kolay oldu\u011funu belirten Wech, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmede bulundu:<\/p>\n
\u201cDizel ithalat\u0131nda ise durum farkl\u0131. AB\u2019nin ithal etti\u011fi dizelde Rusya\u2019n\u0131n pay\u0131 y\u00fczde 50. ABD, Orta Do\u011fu ve Hindistan gibi di\u011fer tedarik\u00e7ilerden ithalat\u0131 art\u0131rmak da zor. T\u00fcm bu piyasalar zaten rekor seviyede dizel \u00fcretiyor ve ihra\u00e7 ediyor.<\/p>\n
Bu b\u00f6lgelerdeki talep de Avrupa\u2019ya g\u00f6nderilecek hacimleri s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n Rusya\u2019da dizel ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltmas\u0131n\u0131n tek yolu, Rus dizelinin Latin Amerika, Afrika ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019ya gitmesi ve b\u00f6ylece di\u011fer pazarlarda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak dizel arz\u0131n\u0131n Avrupa\u2019ya y\u00f6nelmesi olabilir.\u201d<\/p>\n
AB\u2019nin Rusya\u2019dan dizel ithalat\u0131 sava\u015f \u00f6ncesindeki y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama seviyesine g\u00f6re 200 bin varil art\u0131\u015fla 700 bin varile yakla\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u200b\u200b\u200b\u200b\u200bBu art\u0131\u015f, AB\u2019nin yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar kapsam\u0131nda Rusya\u2019dan dizel ithalat\u0131n\u0131 sonland\u0131r\u0131p sonland\u0131ramayaca\u011f\u0131 konusundaki soru i\u015faretlerini art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Rekor seviyeye ula\u015fan dizel fiyatlar\u0131, dizelin do\u011fal gaz\u0131 ikame i\u00e7in kullan\u0131lmas\u0131yla artan talep ve k\u00fcresel rafineri sistemindeki k\u0131s\u0131tlar\u0131n Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n Rusya\u2019dan dizel ithalat\u0131n\u0131 sonland\u0131rma y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 nas\u0131l etkileyece\u011fi merak ediliyor.<\/p>\n
\u2018F\u0130YATLARI KA\u00c7INILMAZ \u015eEK\u0130LDE ETK\u0130LEYECEK\u2019<\/b><\/p>\n
Londra merkezli petrol veri \u015firketi OilX\u2019in K\u0131demli Analisti Neil Crosby, a\u011fustosta Rusya\u2019dan OECD Avrupa \u00fclkelerine ihracat\u0131n ayl\u0131k bazda artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 fakat bu miktar\u0131n ocak ay\u0131ndaki seviyeye g\u00f6re 500 bin varil d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Bu durumun Avrupa \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131ndaki b\u00f6lgesel farkl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 \u201cmaskeledi\u011fini\u201d aktaran Crosby, \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti:<\/p>\n
\u201cKuzeybat\u0131 Avrupa \u00fclkeleri yava\u015f bir \u015fekilde Rus petrol\u00fcn\u00fc devreden \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131rken, baz\u0131 Akdeniz \u00fclkelerinin ithalat\u0131nda \u015fu anda art\u0131\u015f var. OECD Avrupa\u2019ya ve \u00f6zellikle kuzeybat\u0131 Avrupa \u00fclkelerine deniz yoluyla giden ham petrol\u00fcn b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131, yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar kapsam\u0131nda anla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere devreden \u00e7\u0131kacak.<\/p>\n
Drujba hatt\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6zellikle kuzey k\u0131sm\u0131nda da ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Petrol \u00fcr\u00fcnlerindeki ambargo tarihi ise ham petrolden birka\u00e7 ay sonra geliyor ama \u015fu an i\u00e7in Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik yok. Bu da ticaretin giderek daha fazla azalmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n
Rus ham petrol\u00fcn\u00fc devreden \u00e7\u0131karma s\u00fcreci ilerledik\u00e7e ve ambargo tarihi yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a, 2022 sonu ve 2023 ba\u015flar\u0131nda, petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda oynakl\u0131k g\u00f6rebiliriz. Sonu\u00e7 olarak belli miktarda Rus petrol\u00fc piyasadan \u00e7\u0131kacak ve bunun da fiyatlara ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz \u015fekilde etkisi olacakt\u0131r.\u201d<\/p>\n
Crosby, \u00f6te yandan, AB\u2019nin Avrupal\u0131 \u015firketlerin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00fclkelere petrol ta\u015f\u0131mak amac\u0131yla Rus kurulu\u015flarla ticaret yapmas\u0131na izin vermek i\u00e7in son yapt\u0131r\u0131m paketinde baz\u0131 ifadeleri de\u011fi\u015ftirdi\u011fini belirterek, bu durumun daha \u00f6nce tahmin edilenden fazla Rus petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn k\u00fcresel piyasada kalmas\u0131na izin verebilece\u011fini s\u00f6zlerine ekledi. (AA)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Rusya’n\u0131n AB petrol ithalat\u0131ndaki pay\u0131 sava\u015f \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 40’tan y\u00fczde 25’e geriledi. Afrika’dan AB’ye ham petrol ithalat\u0131 bu d\u00f6nemde 200 …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":32808,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[6790,253,57,69,58],"class_list":["post-32807","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-abnin","tag-avrupa","tag-petrol","tag-rus","tag-rusyadan"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32807","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=32807"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32807\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":32809,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32807\/revisions\/32809"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/32808"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=32807"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=32807"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=32807"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}