Swiss Re \u015firketinin ba\u015f ekonomisti Jerome Haegeli d\u00fcnyan\u0131n halihaz\u0131rda ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 krizin yar\u0131m as\u0131rdan beri h\u00fck\u00fcm s\u00fcren k\u00fcresel d\u00fczeni alt\u00fcst edece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. <\/b><\/p>\n
D\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck reas\u00fcrans \u015firketlerinden biri olan \u0130svi\u00e7re merkezli Swiss Re’nin ba\u015f ekonomisti Jerome Haegeli, 15 A\u011fustos 1971’den bu yana s\u00fcregelen k\u00fcresel ekonomik modelin yava\u015f\u00e7a \u00f6ld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
S\u00f6z konusu tarihi g\u00fcnde d\u00f6nemin ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Richard Nixon alt\u0131n-d\u00f6viz standard\u0131 sisteminin sonunu ilan etmi\u015f ve bu da k\u00fcreselle\u015fmeyi, a\u00e7\u0131k piyasa ekonomisini, enflasyon \u00fczerindeki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131y\u0131 beraberinde getirmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
Bloomberg’in haberine g\u00f6re Haegeli 51 y\u0131ll\u0131k bu modelin art\u0131k sona ermekte oldu\u011funa i\u015faret etti. Ekonomist bug\u00fcn verdi\u011fi r\u00f6portajda g\u0131da, enerji ve tedarik zinciri \u015foklar\u0131 nedeniyle a\u011f\u0131r \u00e7ekim halinde d\u00fcnyan\u0131n bir krizde oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
\u2018DE\u011e\u0130\u015e\u0130M \u0130\u00c7\u0130N KR\u0130Z ZAMANLARINA \u0130HT\u0130YA\u00c7 VAR’<\/b><\/p>\n
\u00dcst d\u00fczey ekonomist, \u201cMakro ekonomideki de\u011fi\u015fim i\u00e7in kriz zamanlar\u0131na ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131z var\u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n
II. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131 sonras\u0131 dolar standard\u0131n\u0131n temelini atan 44 \u00fclkenin kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 1944 tarihli Bretton Woods Konferans\u0131’na at\u0131fta bulunan Haegeli, ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak yeni sistemin d\u00fcnya genelindeki politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n i\u015fbirli\u011fini ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini belirtti. Bretton Woods sistemi, Nixon’\u0131n bahsi ge\u00e7en a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131yla feshedilmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
Ekonomist ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan herhangi bir yeni d\u00fczenin geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra geli\u015fmekte olan pazarlar\u0131n ihtiya\u00e7 ve yeteneklerini de daha iyi ele almas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
\u2018MERKEZ BANKALARI F\u0130YAT \u0130ST\u0130KRARINI SA\u011eLAMALI’<\/b><\/p>\n
Haegeli, Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131yla enflasyon beklentilerini yeniden ayarlamakta zorlanan merkez bankac\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 noktas\u0131n\u0131n fiyat istikrar\u0131 g\u00f6revlerini yerine getirmek oldu\u011funu vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n uzun vadeli yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 kolayla\u015ft\u0131rmaya yeniden odaklanmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yleyen Haegeli, reel ekonominin canland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n da \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu ifade etti.<\/p>\n
Daha \u00f6nce \u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131’nda da g\u00f6rev yapan Haegeli, yetkililerin bu yeni d\u00f6nemi kucaklayaca\u011f\u0131na ve g\u00f6revlerini daha iyi yerine getirece\u011fine ili\u015fkin tahminlerinde iyimser olsa da k\u0131sa vadeli tahminlerinde \u00e7ok daha k\u00f6t\u00fcmser.<\/p>\n
\u2018Y\u00dcKSEK ENFLASYON UZUN S\u00dcREL\u0130 OLACAK’<\/b><\/p>\n
Haegeli ve ekibi, y\u00fcksek enflasyonun uzun s\u00fcre g\u00fcndemde olmas\u0131n\u0131 ve ABD t\u00fcketici enflasyonunun gelecek on y\u0131lda yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 3 d\u00fczeyine yerle\u015fmesini bekliyor. Ekonomist, 1971’de ya\u015fanan stagflasyon bi\u00e7iminde olmasa bile s\u00f6z konusu verilerin d\u00fcnya genelinde enflasyonist bir durgunluk anlam\u0131na gelece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Bununla birlikte do\u011falgaz fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n normalin yakla\u015f\u0131k 10 kat \u00fcst\u00fcnde seyretti\u011fi Avrupa’da, ABD’ye k\u0131yasla \u00e7ok daha ciddi bir gerileme bekleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Swiss Re \u015firketinin ba\u015f ekonomisti Jerome Haegeli d\u00fcnyan\u0131n halihaz\u0131rda ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 krizin yar\u0131m as\u0131rdan beri h\u00fck\u00fcm s\u00fcren k\u00fcresel d\u00fczeni alt\u00fcst …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":33292,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[188,141,5758,60],"class_list":["post-33291","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-bas","tag-dunya","tag-ekonomist","tag-enflasyon"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33291","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=33291"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33291\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":33293,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33291\/revisions\/33293"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/33292"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=33291"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=33291"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=33291"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}