K\u00fcresel bir stratejik dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k firmas\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan rapora g\u00f6re, d\u00fcnya genelinde y\u00fckselen enerji krizi, enflasyon ve siyasi sorunlar nedeniyle toplumsal huzursuzluk riski y\u00fckseldi.<\/b><\/p>\n
Ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan bir rapora g\u00f6re, geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin ve geli\u015fmekte olan piyasalar\u0131n sorunlarla bo\u011fu\u015fmas\u0131 toplumsal huzursuzluk riskini art\u0131rd\u0131. Rapora g\u00f6re \u00fclkeler Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 i\u015fgaliyle alevlenen enflasyon ve karga\u015fa ile bo\u011fu\u015ftuk\u00e7a d\u00fcnya genelinde toplumsal huzursuzluk riski y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n
\u0130ngiltere merkezli k\u00fcresel risk ve stratejik dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k firmas\u0131 olan Verisk Maplecroft\u2019un olu\u015fturdu\u011fu Sivil Huzursuzluk Endeksi\u2019nde izlenen 198 \u00fclkeden 101\u2019inde toplumsal huzursuzluk riski 2022\u2019nin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde artt\u0131. B\u00f6ylece; enflasyon, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n \u00fcstesinden gelme mekanizmalar\u0131 ve huzursuzlu\u011fun etkisi gibi fakt\u00f6rleri de\u011ferlendiren bir dizi veriden t\u00fcretilen endeksin hesaplanmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 2016\u2019dan bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen en b\u00fcy\u00fck risk art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n
Ukrayna\u2019daki sava\u015f nedeniyle zorlu bir k\u0131\u015fa haz\u0131rlanan Avrupa\u2019da ve temel g\u0131da maddelerinde sert fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerde huzursuzluk potansiyelinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. Ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar, tehdidin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda artaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n
\u0130SYAN, YA\u011eMA, H\u00dcK\u00dcMET\u0130 DEV\u0130RME G\u0130R\u0130\u015e\u0130MLER\u0130\u2026<\/b><\/p>\n
Rapora g\u00f6re \u00f6zellikle geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde toplumsal huzursuzluk; sokak g\u00f6sterileri ve i\u015f\u00e7i grevleri \u015feklini alabilir. Bloomberg\u2019in aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re, Verisk Maplecroft\u2019un ba\u015f analisti Jimena Blanco konu ile ilgili yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir r\u00f6portajda \u201cBunlar g\u00fcnl\u00fck ya\u015fam\u0131 bozmak a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli olaylar\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu. Blanco\u00a0 geli\u015fmekte olan piyasalarda en k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryolar\u0131n isyan, ya\u011fma, hatta h\u00fck\u00fcmeti devirme giri\u015fimlerine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
Raporda Verisk ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar\u0131 2020\u2019den bu yana karga\u015fa riskinde art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bu art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta tahmin edilenden \u00e7ok daha k\u00f6t\u00fc oldu\u011funu belirtti. Enflasyon seviyeleri, endeksteki \u00fclkelerin neredeyse yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n \u2018y\u00fcksek\u2019 veya \u2018a\u015f\u0131r\u0131\u2019 risk seviyeleri i\u00e7erisinde s\u0131n\u0131fland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na neden oldu.<\/p>\n
BU \u00dcLKELERDE R\u0130SK ARTIYOR<\/b><\/p>\n
Ara\u015ft\u0131rmaya g\u00f6re enerji k\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n daha y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu Almanya gibi zengin \u00fclkelerdeki risk de s\u00fcrekli art\u0131yor. \u00d6te yandan enflasyonun otuz y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesinde oldu\u011fu ve yetkililerin y\u00fcksek fiyatlar\u0131n devam edece\u011fi konusunda uyard\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u0130svi\u00e7re\u2019de de art\u0131\u015f kaydedildi. Rapora g\u00f6re, huzursuzlu\u011fun azalmas\u0131 yaln\u0131zca g\u0131da ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda \u2018\u00f6nemli bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u2019 ile m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeler de s\u0131cak noktalar olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu noktalardan en \u00f6nemlisi bu y\u0131l yayg\u0131n protestolar\u0131n ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 Sri Lanka. Ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar Cezayir\u2019in de \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki alt\u0131 ay i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck risk potansiyelini g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n
T\u00dcRK\u0130YE DE RAPORDA YER ALDI<\/b><\/p>\n
Raporda ayr\u0131ca T\u00fcrkiye ile ilgili de bir de\u011ferlendirme de yer ald\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin siyasi, ekonomik ve sosyal gerilimlerinin 2023 se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde \u015fimdiden y\u00fckselmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. Ankara\u2019n\u0131n para politikas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc heterodoks yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n \u00fclkeyi son makro bask\u0131lara kar\u015f\u0131 daha savunmas\u0131z hale getirdi\u011fi de vurguland\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
K\u00fcresel bir stratejik dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k firmas\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan rapora g\u00f6re, d\u00fcnya genelinde y\u00fckselen enerji krizi, enflasyon ve siyasi sorunlar …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":35208,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[62,60,161,3278,2093],"class_list":["post-35207","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-artis","tag-enflasyon","tag-risk","tag-riski","tag-ulkeler"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35207","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=35207"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35207\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":35209,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35207\/revisions\/35209"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/35208"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=35207"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=35207"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=35207"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}