Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 7 ay\u0131nda 29,5 milyar TL fazla veren b\u00fct\u00e7enin y\u0131l\u0131n geride kalan 5 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6neminde OVP’ye g\u00f6re 490,7 milyar TL a\u00e7\u0131k vermesi bekleniyor.\u00a0A\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n daha y\u00fcksek olaca\u011f\u0131 uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulunan vergi uzman\u0131 Dr. Ozan Bing\u00f6l, KKM \u00f6demeleri ve do\u011falgaz faturalar\u0131na i\u015faret etti.<\/b><\/p>\n
Orta Vadeli Program (OVP) d\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klan\u0131rken, dikkat \u00e7eken noktalardan biri 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 beklentisi oldu.<\/p>\n
Hazine ve Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile Strateji ve B\u00fct\u00e7e Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131nca haz\u0131rlanan OVP\u2019de, 2022 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk 7 ay\u0131nda 29,5 milyar TL fazla veren merkezi y\u00f6netim b\u00fct\u00e7esinin y\u0131l\u0131n geride kalan 5 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6neminde 490,7 milyar TL a\u00e7\u0131k vermesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en sene 201,5 milyar TL olan b\u00fct\u00e7edeki y\u0131l sonu toplam a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n da 2022\u2019de 461,2 milyar TL olmas\u0131 bekleniyor. B\u00f6ylece ge\u00e7en sene milli gelire k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 2,8 olan b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131, 2022\u2019de y\u00fczde 3,4\u2019e y\u00fckselecek.<\/p>\n
HARCAMALARDA HIZLI ARTI\u015e BEKLENT\u0130S\u0130<\/b><\/p>\n
Kalan d\u00f6nemde b\u00fct\u00e7e harcamalar\u0131nda h\u0131zl\u0131 art\u0131\u015f beklentisi dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 7 ay\u0131nda toplam 1 trilyon 483 milyar TL olan b\u00fct\u00e7e harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l\u0131n tamam\u0131nda 3 trilyon 134 milyar TL\u2019ye y\u00fckselmesi bekleniyor. Bu da a\u011fustos-aral\u0131k d\u00f6neminde 1 trilyon 651 milyar TL\u2019lik harcama beklentisine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 7 ay\u0131nda 151,3 milyar TL olan b\u00fct\u00e7edeki faiz harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n OVP\u2019ye g\u00f6re y\u0131l genelinde toplam 329,8 milyar TL\u2019ye y\u00fckselmesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
7 ayda 617,4 milyar TL olan cari transferler de OVP\u2019ye g\u00f6re y\u0131l genelinde 1 trilyon 224 milyar TL\u2019ye ula\u015facak. 7 ayda 96 milyar TL olan b\u00fct\u00e7edeki mal ve hizmet al\u0131mlar\u0131 giderleri de OVP\u2019ye g\u00f6re y\u0131l genelinde 258,3 milyar TL\u2019ye y\u00fckselecek.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 7 ay\u0131nda 1462 milyar TL olan b\u00fct\u00e7e gelirlerinin de y\u0131l\u0131n tamam\u0131nda 2 trilyon 673 milyar TL\u2019ye y\u00fckselmesi bekleniyor. Bu da a\u011fustos-aral\u0131k d\u00f6neminde 1 trilyon 211 milyar TL\u2019lik gelir beklentisine i\u015faret ediyor. \u00d6zetle, harcamalar\u0131n gelirden daha h\u0131zl\u0131 artmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
\u2018A\u00c7IK BEKLENT\u0130Y\u0130 A\u015eAB\u0130L\u0130R\u2019<\/b><\/p>\n
Vergi uzman\u0131 Dr. Ozan Bing\u00f6l, OVP\u2019deki b\u00fct\u00e7e beklentilerini sozcu.com.tr\u2019ye de\u011ferlendirdi.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 7 ay\u0131nda b\u00fct\u00e7e fazlas\u0131 verilmesinde y\u00fcksek enflasyon etkisine i\u015faret eden Bing\u00f6l, \u201cBankalar ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere \u015firketler enflasyon kaynakl\u0131 y\u00fcksek fiktif k\u00e2rlar elde etti, bu da kurumlar vergisi gelirlerini art\u0131rd\u0131. Enflasyon etkisiyle ayr\u0131ca harcamalar \u00f6ne \u00e7ekildi\u011fi i\u00e7in dolayl\u0131 vergi gelirleri artt\u0131\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 7 ayl\u0131k b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde motorlu ta\u015f\u0131tlar vergisinin (MTV) tahsilat\u0131 ve Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan (TCMB) k\u00e2r transferlerinin yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rlatan Bing\u00f6l, y\u0131l\u0131n kalan\u0131nda bu iki kalemin olmayaca\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131l\u0131n kalan b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde harcamalar\u0131 ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131racak 7 fakt\u00f6re i\u015faret eden Bing\u00f6l, bunlar\u0131 kur korumal\u0131 mevduat, in\u015faatlar i\u00e7in maliyet fark\u0131 \u00f6demesi, yap i\u015flet devret projelerindeki d\u00f6viz cinsi garanti \u00f6demeleri, Sosyal G\u00fcvenlik Kurumu ve kamu bankalar\u0131 ile Tar\u0131m Kredi Kooperatifi\u2019nin g\u00f6rev zararlar\u0131 ve Bota\u015f\u2019a bor\u00e7 olarak aktar\u0131lacak y\u00fcksek kayna\u011f\u0131 s\u0131ralad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bing\u00f6l, OVP\u2019deki 461 milyar TL\u2019lik 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 beklentisinin iyimser oldu\u011funu, mevcut tabloda a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n daha y\u00fcksek olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, gelecek sene artacak se\u00e7im merkezli harcamalarla a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n daha da b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fini vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n
KKM \u00d6DEMELER\u0130 ARTACAK<\/b><\/p>\n
2021 y\u0131l\u0131 Aral\u0131k sonunda devreye al\u0131nan kur korumal\u0131 mevduatta (KKM) Hazine\u2019nin mart-temmuz d\u00f6nemindeki kur fark\u0131 kaynakl\u0131 toplam \u00f6demesi 60,6 milyar TL olmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
KKM i\u00e7in \u201csaatli bomba\u201d benzetmesini kullanan Bing\u00f6l, kur art\u0131\u015f\u0131na paralel olarak Hazine\u2019nin KKM giderlerinin ve yap i\u015flet devret \u00f6demelerinin de katlanaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda KKM\u2019de \u00f6demelerin b\u00fct\u00e7e hakk\u0131na ayk\u0131r\u0131 olarak yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, ek b\u00fct\u00e7ede ise 40 milyar TL\u2019lik \u00f6denek kondu\u011funu ancak temmuz ay\u0131nda bu rakam\u0131n a\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rlatan Bing\u00f6l, \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fczl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n
BOTA\u015e\u2019A BOR\u00c7 AKTARIMI ARTACAK<\/b><\/p>\n
Ba\u015fta do\u011falgaz olmak \u00fczere enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin enerji faturas\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131na neden olurken, kur art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ve s\u00fcbvansiyonlu fiyatlar\u0131n etkisiyle b\u00fcy\u00fck zarar eden Bota\u015f\u2019a b\u00fct\u00e7eden para aktar\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 7 ay\u0131nda Bota\u015f\u2019a \u201cbor\u00e7\u201d ad\u0131 alt\u0131nda merkezi b\u00fct\u00e7eden 70,9 milyar TL aktar\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. K\u0131\u015f aylar\u0131yla birlikte bu rakam\u0131n katlanmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
Nitekim, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 7 ay\u0131nda 98,7 milyar TL olan b\u00fct\u00e7edeki \u2018bor\u00e7 verme\u2019 kaleminin OVP\u2019ye g\u00f6re y\u0131l genelinde 292,2 milyar TL\u2019ye y\u00fckselmesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
2022 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n Ocak-A\u011fustos d\u00f6neminde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin enerji ithalat\u0131 ge\u00e7en senenin ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 138 art\u0131\u015fla 64,3 milyar dolara y\u00fckselmi\u015fti. OVP\u2019de 2022\u2019de toplam enerji faturas\u0131n\u0131n 103,5 milyar dolar olmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 7 ay\u0131nda 29,5 milyar TL fazla veren b\u00fct\u00e7enin y\u0131l\u0131n geride kalan 5 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6neminde OVP’ye g\u00f6re 490,7 milyar TL a\u00e7\u0131k vermesi bekleniyor …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":36874,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[2788,2302,2736,2486,1329],"class_list":["post-36873","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-acigi","tag-bingol","tag-butce","tag-harcama","tag-kur"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36873","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=36873"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36873\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":36875,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36873\/revisions\/36875"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/36874"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=36873"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=36873"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=36873"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}