{"id":37229,"date":"2022-09-06T08:51:04","date_gmt":"2022-09-06T08:51:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=37229"},"modified":"2022-09-06T08:51:04","modified_gmt":"2022-09-06T08:51:04","slug":"gida-fiyatlarinda-korkutan-tahmin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=37229","title":{"rendered":"G\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131nda korkutan tahmin"},"content":{"rendered":"

Avrupa’da tedarik zincirlerinde b\u00fcy\u00fcyen sorunlar, Ukrayna’da devam eden sava\u015f ve y\u00fckselen enerji ile lojistik maliyetleri nedeniyle g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n endi\u015fe verici boyutlara ula\u015fmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Bu durum a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 kurakl\u0131k nedeniyle daha da artabilir.<\/b><\/p>\n

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Avrupa\u2019da salg\u0131n sonras\u0131 ya\u015fanan talepteki art\u0131\u015f, tedarik zincirlerinde b\u00fcy\u00fcyen sorunlar, Ukrayna’da devam eden sava\u015f ve y\u00fckselen enerji ve lojistik maliyetleri nedeniyle son bir y\u0131lda g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131 endi\u015fe verici boyutlara ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u0130klim krizinin etkileri nedeniyle gelecek d\u00f6nemde fiyatlar\u0131n daha da artmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

GELECEK D\u00d6NEMDE HANE HALKINA YANSIYACAK<\/b><\/p>\n

Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde, a\u011fustosta y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n etkisiyle y\u00fczde 9,1 ile kay\u0131tlardaki en y\u00fcksek seviyeye \u00e7\u0131karken, enflasyonun ana bile\u015fenleri incelendi\u011finde en y\u00fcksek y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyonun y\u00fczde 38,3 ile enerjide, hemen arkas\u0131ndan ise y\u00fczde 10,6 ile g\u0131da, alkol ve t\u00fct\u00fcn \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi dikkati \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n

Her ne kadar Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler G\u0131da ve Tar\u0131m \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (FAO), k\u00fcresel g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n a\u011fustosta bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 1,9 geriledi\u011fini bildirmi\u015f, b\u00f6ylece fiyatlar 5 ay \u00fcst \u00fcste k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte gerilemi\u015f olsa da Avrupa’da hane halk\u0131na g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n yans\u0131mas\u0131n\u0131n gelecek d\u00f6nemde giderek art\u0131\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde olmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130KL\u0130M KO\u015eULLARININ REKOLTEY\u0130 AZALTMASI BEKLEN\u0130YOR<\/b><\/p>\n

Uzmanlara g\u00f6re, \u00f6zellikle son d\u00f6nemde Avrupa’da etkisini giderek art\u0131ran sert iklim ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n ve a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 s\u0131caklar\u0131n gelecek d\u00f6nemde tar\u0131m alanlar\u0131ndan al\u0131nacak toplam mahsul\u00fc ciddi seviyede azaltmas\u0131, bunun da gelecek d\u00f6nemde marketlerdeki g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 daha da art\u0131rarak, yoksul ve dar gelirli kesimi daha da zorlamas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6rne\u011fin, Avrupa Birli\u011fi (AB) Komisyonu taraf\u0131ndan bu y\u0131l\u0131n a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda haz\u0131rlanan \u201cAvrupa’da Kurakl\u0131k 2022\u201d raporunda, AB genelinde hasat tahminleri ya\u015fanan a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 kurakl\u0131k nedeniyle \u015fimdiden son be\u015f y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalamaya k\u0131yasla tah\u0131l ve m\u0131s\u0131r i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 16, soya fasulyesi i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 15, ay\u00e7i\u00e7e\u011fi i\u00e7in ise y\u00fczde 12 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekilmi\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n

Avrupa \u00fclkelerinde s\u00f6z konusu tar\u0131msal \u00fcretim d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn domino etkisi ile di\u011fer g\u0131da \u00fcr\u00fcnlerine yay\u0131lmas\u0131 (et ve s\u00fct \u00fcr\u00fcnleri) market raflar\u0131nda fiyatlar\u0131n ciddi seviyede artm\u0131\u015f olan g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerindeki enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

GIDA F\u0130YATLARINDA BEKLENT\u0130 Y\u00dcKSEL\u0130\u015e Y\u00d6N\u00dcNDE<\/b><\/p>\n

Avrupa Birli\u011fi’nin 27 \u00fcyesinin bu y\u0131l\u0131n temmuz ay\u0131nda g\u0131da emtia fiyatlar\u0131 g\u00f6sterge cetveline bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, AB genelinde baz\u0131 temel g\u0131da \u00fcr\u00fcnlerindeki y\u0131ll\u0131k fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile k\u0131yasland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda olduk\u00e7a \u00fczerinde olmas\u0131 dikkati \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6rne\u011fin, bu y\u0131l\u0131n temmuz ay\u0131 itibar\u0131yla bu\u011fdayda y\u0131ll\u0131k fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 23,7 ile AB’de y\u00fczde 68,5’e kadar y\u00fckseldi. Makarnal\u0131k bu\u011fday ise yine ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte 31,5 artarken, birlik i\u00e7erisinde ortalama y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 87,7 art\u0131\u015f kaydetti. M\u0131s\u0131r ise d\u00fcnya genelinde temmuz itibar\u0131yla y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 9,8 artarken, AB’de ise y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 24,6 y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

Y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda incelendi\u011finde Avrupa’n\u0131n \u00f6zellikle baz\u0131 temel g\u0131da \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinde gelecek d\u00f6neme ili\u015fkin ciddi endi\u015fe verici i\u015faretler verdi\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Yine d\u00fcnya genelinde bu y\u0131l\u0131n temmuz ay\u0131nda s\u0131\u011f\u0131r eti k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda art\u0131\u015fla y\u00fczde 4,6’da kal\u0131rken, AB genelinde 27,8’e kadar y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte kat\u0131 ya\u011f fiyat\u0131 ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 24,9 artarken, AB genelinde y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 81,3, peynir fiyat\u0131 ise d\u00fcnyada y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 23,2 y\u00fckselirken AB genelinde y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 43,6 art\u0131\u015f kaydetti.<\/p>\n

Yine AB genelinde bu y\u0131l\u0131n temmuz ay\u0131 i\u00e7in a\u00e7\u0131klanan g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131 endeksi y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda ekmek ve m\u0131s\u0131r gevre\u011fi i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 15,3, et \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinde 13,5, s\u00fct, peynir ve yumurtada ortalama y\u00fczde 17,3, kat\u0131 ve s\u0131v\u0131 ya\u011flarda y\u00fczde 31,6 ve \u015fekerde y\u00fczde 7,7 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n

GIDADA F\u0130NANSAL KR\u0130ZDEN BU YANA EN SERT ARTI\u015e<\/b><\/p>\n

AB’den ayr\u0131lan \u0130ngiltere’de ise giderek b\u00fcy\u00fcyen ve ekonominin gelece\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131nda risklerin ba\u015f\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n daha da artmas\u0131na neden olan bir di\u011fer \u00f6nemli temel unsur.<\/p>\n

\u00dcstelik gelecek d\u00f6nemde ekonominin t\u00fcm sekt\u00f6rlerinde yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3 milyon seviyesinde olan kalifiye i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n tar\u0131m ve hayvanc\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6rlerindeki yans\u0131mas\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcretim ve fiyatlar \u00fczerindeki etkisinin ciddi boyutlarda olmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130ngiliz Perakende Konsorsiyumu (BRC) verilerine g\u00f6re, \u00fclkede marketlerdeki g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131 bu y\u0131l\u0131n a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki ayda kaydedilen y\u00fczde 4,4’l\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fi de geride b\u0131rakarak y\u00fczde 5,1 artt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u00dclkede taze g\u0131da \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde 2008 finans krizinden bu yana en sert art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 kaydederek y\u00fczde 10,5 y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

\u0130NG\u0130LTERE\u2019DE 20 YILIN EN Y\u00dcKSEK ARTI\u015eI<\/b><\/p>\n

\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n (BoE) projeksiyonlar\u0131na g\u00f6re bu y\u0131l\u0131n temmuz ay\u0131 itibar\u0131yla y\u00fczde 10,1’e y\u00fckselerek 40 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesinde olan enflasyonun gelecek d\u00f6nemde daha da artmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Yine temmuz verilerine g\u00f6re, \u0130ngiltere’de g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131 12,7 artarak son 20 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 kaydetti.<\/p>\n

Banka \u00fclkede enflasyonun bu y\u0131l\u0131n sonuna do\u011fru y\u00fczde 13\u2019e ula\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 beklerken, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fu Resolution Foundation enflasyonun gelecek y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda y\u00fczde 15\u2019e ula\u015fabilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcnde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130ngiltere’de artan g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda, \u00fclkenin \u00f6nde gelen s\u00fcpermarketleri nisan ay\u0131ndan bu yana baz\u0131 temel g\u0131da \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinde fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 ya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrerek ya da y\u0131l sonuna kadar sabitleyerek talebi canl\u0131 tutmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u0130ngiliz perakende zinciri Morissons, yakla\u015f\u0131k 500 temel g\u0131da \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcnde fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 ortalama y\u00fczde 13 azaltaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, Asda ise baz\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnlerde fiyatlar\u0131n y\u0131l sonuna kadar sabitlenece\u011fini duyurmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

GIDA BANKALARINDAK\u0130 KUYRUKLARIN ARTMASI BEKLEN\u0130YOR<\/b><\/p>\n

Uzmanlar son d\u00f6nemde enerji faturalar\u0131nda ve g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan art\u0131\u015f nedeniyle Avrupa genelinde giderek daha fazla yoksul ve dar gelirlinin g\u0131da bankalar\u0131ndan beslenmek zorunda kalaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcnde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

Avrupa G\u0131da Bankalar\u0131 Federasyonu verilerine g\u00f6re (FEBA), sadece 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda 29 \u00fclkede 335 g\u0131da bankas\u0131 yoluyla yakla\u015f\u0131k 12,8 milyon ki\u015fiye 860 bin ton g\u0131da yard\u0131m\u0131 yap\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u0130ngiliz Parlamentosu’nun verilerine g\u00f6re d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomileri aras\u0131nda ilk s\u0131ralarda yer alan \u00fclkede 2021 itibar\u0131yla 4,2 milyon hane g\u0131da g\u00fcvenli\u011finden yoksun olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u00dclkede bu tan\u0131m n\u00fcfusun yeterli geliri olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in d\u00fczenli \u00f6\u011f\u00fcnlerini yiyemeyen, yeterli beslenemeyen kesim i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131yor. 1.400 g\u0131da bankas\u0131n\u0131n ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011fu yard\u0131m kurulu\u015fu Trussell ise, 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda 2,1 milyon ki\u015fiye g\u0131da yard\u0131m\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n

\u00dclkede g\u0131da bankalar\u0131na ba\u015fvurmak zorunda kalanlar\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131 ise 5 y\u0131l \u00f6ncesine k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 81 artm\u0131\u015f durumda. (AA)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Avrupa’da tedarik zincirlerinde b\u00fcy\u00fcyen sorunlar, Ukrayna’da devam eden sava\u015f ve y\u00fckselen enerji ile lojistik maliyetleri nedeniyle g\u0131da …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":37230,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[62,253,374,1209,1609],"class_list":["post-37229","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-artis","tag-avrupa","tag-fiyatlari","tag-gida","tag-gida-fiyatlari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37229","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=37229"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37229\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":37231,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37229\/revisions\/37231"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/37230"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=37229"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=37229"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=37229"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}