{"id":46420,"date":"2022-10-29T02:51:07","date_gmt":"2022-10-29T02:51:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=46420"},"modified":"2022-10-29T02:51:07","modified_gmt":"2022-10-29T02:51:07","slug":"sarayla-merkez-enflasyonda-anlasamadi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=46420","title":{"rendered":"Sarayla Merkez enflasyonda anla\u015famad\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 2022 ve 2023 y\u0131l sonu enflasyon tahminleri birbirini tutmad\u0131. \u0130ki g\u00fcn arayla yay\u0131mlanan tahminlerdeki \u00e7eli\u015fki ileti\u015fimsizli\u011fi i\u015faret ediyor.<\/b><\/p>\n

\u0130ktidar\u0131n kurumlar\u0131 aras\u0131nda da enflasyon anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131 patlak verdi. \u0130ki g\u00fcn arayla enflasyon tahminlerini yay\u0131mlayan Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Strateji ve B\u00fct\u00e7e Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile Merkez Bankas\u0131 aras\u0131nda hem 2022 y\u0131l sonu hem de 2023 y\u0131l sonu enflasyon (T\u00dcFE) rakamlar\u0131 birbiriyle \u00e7eli\u015fti. Strateji ve B\u00fct\u00e7e Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131’n\u0131n kendi belgelerinde de farkl\u0131 tahmin rakamlar\u0131 yay\u0131mland\u0131. Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n eski y\u00f6neticileri, \u201c\u0130ki g\u00fcnde hesap de\u011fi\u015fmez. Ya aralar\u0131nda ileti\u015fim yok ya da enflasyon tahminlerini kendileri de ciddiye alm\u0131yor. Kald\u0131 ki tahminlere art\u0131k halk da inanm\u0131yor\u201d dediler.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Y\u00dcZDE 22.3 M\u00dc, Y\u00dcZDE 24.0 M\u00dc?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Strateji ve B\u00fct\u00e7e Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, 25 Ekim Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 Y\u0131ll\u0131k Program\u0131’nda T\u00dcFE’nin bu y\u0131l sonunda y\u00fczde 65.0, 2023 sonunda ise y\u00fczde 24.0 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 resmen ilan etti.\u00a0 Meclis’te g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fclen 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fct\u00e7esi de bu tahminler dikkate al\u0131narak ba\u011fland\u0131. Sadece 2 g\u00fcn sonra, 27 Ekim Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc enflasyon raporunu a\u00e7\u0131klayan Merkez Bankas\u0131, T\u00dcFE’nin bu y\u0131l\u0131n sonunda y\u00fczde 65.2, gelecek y\u0131l\u0131n sonunda y\u00fczde 22.3 olaca\u011f\u0131 tahmininde bulundu. Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Strateji ve B\u00fct\u00e7e Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 4 Eyl\u00fcl’de a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 2023-2025 Orta Vadeli Program\u0131’nda (OVP) bu y\u0131l\u0131n sonu i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 65, 2023 sonu i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 24.9 T\u00dcFE tahmininde bulunmu\u015ftu. Ba\u015fkanl\u0131k, ekim ay\u0131nda yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 2023 Y\u0131l\u0131 Program\u0131 Genel Ekonomik Hedefler ve Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar belgesinde ise y\u0131ll\u0131k programdan farkl\u0131 olarak 2023 sonu i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 24.9’luk T\u00dcFE\u00a0 tahminine yer verdi.<\/p>\n

B\u00fct\u00e7ede vergi geliri azal\u0131r, a\u00e7\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcr bor\u00e7lanma artar<\/b><\/p>\n

Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n eski y\u00f6neticileri, \u00e7eli\u015fkili enflasyon tahminlerinin ileti\u015fimsizli\u011fi ve ciddiyetsizli\u011fi i\u015faret etti\u011fini ifade ettiler. Eski y\u00f6netici, \u201cMerkez Bankas\u0131 2023 enflasyonunun y\u00fczde 24 ya da y\u00fczde 24.9 de\u011fil, y\u00fczde 22.3 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. E\u011fer b\u00fct\u00e7edeki vergi gelirleri Programa ya da OVP’ye g\u00f6re yap\u0131ld\u0131ysa ve Merkez’in tahmini daha ger\u00e7ek\u00e7iyse b\u00fct\u00e7ede vergi geliri azal\u0131r, a\u00e7\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcr, bor\u00e7lanma artar\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 2022 ve 2023 y\u0131l sonu enflasyon tahminleri birbirini tutmad\u0131. \u0130ki g\u00fcn arayla yay\u0131mlanan tahminlerdeki …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":46421,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[2736,60,82,1050,1107],"class_list":["post-46420","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-butce","tag-enflasyon","tag-gun","tag-sonu","tag-tahmin"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46420","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=46420"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46420\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":46422,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46420\/revisions\/46422"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/46421"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=46420"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=46420"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=46420"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}