{"id":55324,"date":"2022-11-13T02:36:04","date_gmt":"2022-11-13T02:36:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=55324"},"modified":"2022-11-13T02:36:04","modified_gmt":"2022-11-13T02:36:04","slug":"yuksek-enflasyon-tercih-dusurmek-icin-tedbir-sart","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=55324","title":{"rendered":"Y\u00fcksek enflasyon tercih d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in tedbir \u015fart"},"content":{"rendered":"

Son 30 y\u0131ld\u0131r g\u00fcndemin ana sorunu olan ve son 1.5 y\u0131lda h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131ran enflasyon i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye b\u00fcy\u00fck bir yol ayr\u0131m\u0131nda. Ekim ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 85.51 ile 24 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesine \u00e7\u0131kan T\u00dcFE i\u00e7in gelecek aydan itibaren baz etkisinin devreye girmesi beklenirken, T\u00fcrkiye’nin 1990’l\u0131 y\u0131llardaki kontrols\u00fcz enflasyon d\u00f6nemi ya da 2001 y\u0131l\u0131 sonras\u0131ndaki dezenflasyonist d\u00f6nemler aras\u0131nda bir yol ayr\u0131m\u0131nda oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekiliyor.<\/p>\n

DI\u015eSAL DE\u011e\u0130L YEREL<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bilkent \u00dcnivesitesi’nden Prof. Dr. Refet G\u00fcrkaynak, Bur\u00e7in K\u0131sac\u0131ko\u011flu, Sang Seok Lee ile Yale \u00dcniversitesi’nden Prof. Alp \u015eim\u015fek, imzal\u0131 \u201cT\u00fcrkiye’nin enflasyon tercihleri\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 makalede T\u00fcrkiye’nin y\u00fcksek enflasyonu \u2018tercih etti\u011fine’ i\u015faret edildi. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde yine \u00f6nemli bir enflasyon tercihiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya olundu\u011fu belirtilen makalede, \u201cT\u00fcrkiye geldi\u011fi yol ayr\u0131m\u0131nda, 1990’lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 40 ile y\u00fczde 100 aras\u0131nda gidip gelen, d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde baz etkisi ile d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcp kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak kontrol edilemeyen enflasyonu ile 2001 sonras\u0131n\u0131n dezenflasyonu istikametlerine bak\u0131yor. Hangi yolda gidilece\u011fi d\u0131\u015fsal de\u011fil, bir iktisat politikas\u0131 tercihi. T\u00fcrkiye’de enflasyon yereldir\u201d tespiti yap\u0131ld\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye’nin y\u00fcksek enflasyona yol a\u00e7an politikalar\u0131 tercih etti\u011fi d\u00f6nemlerde uluslararas\u0131 konjonkt\u00fcr ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z olarak bu durumu ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilirken, enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeyi tercih etti\u011fi d\u00f6nemlerde de yine i\u00e7 dinamikleri ile ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 dezenflasyonu hayata ge\u00e7irdi\u011fi vurguland\u0131.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Politikalar kimin g\u00f6revi?<\/b><\/p>\n

Finansal<\/strong> istikrar ve makroihtiyati politikalar\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye’de hangi kurumun vazifesi oldu\u011funun belli olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131lan makalede, \u201cBankalar\u0131 Bankac\u0131l\u0131k Denetleme ve D\u00fczenleme Kurumu (BDDK) denetlerken likidite gereklerini TCMB kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131ca BDDK bankalara tek tek bakarken sistemik risk olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 sorusunu kimin soraca\u011f\u0131 bir\u00e7ok zaman belli olmuyor\u201d denildi.<\/p>\n

TCMB enflasyonu kontrol edebilir<\/b><\/p>\n

Makalede<\/strong> enflasyonda h\u0131zl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011fu belirtilerek, \u015f\u00f6yle devam edildi: \u201c\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalmadan i\u015fini yapaca\u011f\u0131 bir ortam sa\u011flan\u0131rsa enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015fmesinin gayet m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ilk etapta h\u0131zl\u0131 ve nispeten masrafs\u0131z da olabilir. Enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmenin ilk \u015fart\u0131n\u0131n niyet oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Enflasyonist d\u00f6nemlerin hepsinin TCMB \u00fczerinde fiyat istikrar\u0131ndan ba\u015fka kayg\u0131lar\u0131 g\u00fctme bask\u0131s\u0131 oldu\u011fu zamanlar olduklar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fck.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Son 30 y\u0131ld\u0131r g\u00fcndemin ana sorunu olan ve son 1.5 y\u0131lda h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131ran enflasyon i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye b\u00fcy\u00fck bir yol ayr\u0131m\u0131nda. Ekim ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 85.51 …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":55325,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[60,3648,15,303],"class_list":["post-55324","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-enflasyon","tag-tercih","tag-turkiye","tag-yol"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55324","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=55324"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55324\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":55326,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55324\/revisions\/55326"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/55325"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=55324"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=55324"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=55324"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}