{"id":55432,"date":"2022-11-13T08:21:03","date_gmt":"2022-11-13T08:21:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=55432"},"modified":"2022-11-13T08:21:03","modified_gmt":"2022-11-13T08:21:03","slug":"cin-ekonomisi-alarm-veriyor-toparlanma-zor-olacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=55432","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7in ekonomisi alarm veriyor: Toparlanma zor olacak"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u00c7in ekonomisinde zay\u0131flama i\u015faretleri artt\u0131. \u0130hracat d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, enflasyon yava\u015flad\u0131 ve yeni banka kredilerinin miktar\u0131 azald\u0131. T\u00fcm bunlar, yetkililerin bu y\u0131lki k\u00fcresel trendi alt \u00fcst ederek parasal ve mali gev\u015feme uygulamas\u0131na ra\u011fmen ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>Bu ay beklenmedik \u015fekilde zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclen \u00c7in\u2019de politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar ekonomiyi \u0131s\u0131tmak i\u00e7in te\u015fviklerini art\u0131rmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. \u00d6te yandan ekonominin alarm vermesinin ard\u0131ndan \u00c7in\u2019in corona vir\u00fcs\u00fc \u00f6nlemlerini gev\u015fetmesi de dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n<p><b>EKONOM\u0130K G\u00d6STERGELER ZAYIF SEYRED\u0130YOR<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\u00c7in\u2019de ekonomik aktivitenin be\u015fte birini olu\u015fturan dev emlak piyasas\u0131n\u0131n krize girmesi de hem ev al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 hem de bankalar\u0131 yeniden i\u015flem yapmaya isteksiz k\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Ekonomik g\u00f6stergeler toparlanman\u0131n dalgal\u0131 seyrini g\u00f6sterirken, h\u00fck\u00fcmetin bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 5,5 civar\u0131nda olmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefine ula\u015fmas\u0131 zor g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. \u00c7in ekonomisi, ilk \u00fc\u00e7 \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 3 b\u00fcy\u00fcme kaydetmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF) ve D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, \u00c7in i\u00e7in 2022 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerini y\u00fczde 3,2 ve 2,8&#8217;e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcrken bu y\u0131lki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin, Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 hari\u00e7 son 40 y\u0131ldaki en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 olmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6te yandan Yuan bu y\u0131l dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 12 d\u00fc\u015fse de bu durum ihracat\u0131n daralmas\u0131n\u0131 engelleyemedi.<\/p>\n<p><b>FA\u0130Z \u0130ND\u0130R\u0130M\u0130 BEKLEN\u0130YOR<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Analistler, zay\u0131f verilerin politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rarak te\u015fviklerin \u00e7o\u011falmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. JPMorgan ve Goldman Sachs analistleri cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rma notlar\u0131nda \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 25 baz puanl\u0131k bir faiz indirimi beklediklerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Ancak son rakamlar \u00c7in\u2019in s\u0131f\u0131r Covid politikas\u0131 izlemesi ve i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f talep bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n devam etmesi nedeniyle te\u015fviklerin istenen etkiye sahip olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n<p>Capital Economics Asya Ekonomisti Mark Williams, \u201cS\u0131f\u0131r covid politikas\u0131 devam ederken beklenenden \u00e7ok daha zay\u0131f gelen kredi b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi te\u015fvik etmede kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131klar\u0131 zorluklar\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izdi\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n<p><b>VER\u0130LER A\u00c7IKLANMADI<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\u00c7in\u2019de t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n ve \u00fclke ekonomisinin genel durumunun barometresi olarak de\u011ferlendirilen Bekarlar G\u00fcn\u00fc al\u0131\u015fveri\u015f festivalindeki sat\u0131\u015flar da \u00c7inli e-ticaret devleri taraf\u0131ndan bu y\u0131l a\u00e7\u0131klanmad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Ancak \u00c7inli dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k \u015firketi Syntun, Alibaba\u2019n\u0131n da aralar\u0131nda bulundu\u011fu \u00c7inli e-ticaret firmalar\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 4,7\u2019lik bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kaydetti\u011fini tahmin etti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00c7in ekonomisinde zay\u0131flama i\u015faretleri artt\u0131. \u0130hracat d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, enflasyon yava\u015flad\u0131 ve yeni banka kredilerinin miktar\u0131 azald\u0131. T\u00fcm bunlar &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":55433,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[645,793,2121,1139],"class_list":["post-55432","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-buyume","tag-cin","tag-politika","tag-zayif"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55432","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=55432"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55432\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":55434,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55432\/revisions\/55434"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/55433"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=55432"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=55432"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=55432"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}