{"id":6145,"date":"2022-07-11T12:51:05","date_gmt":"2022-07-11T12:51:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=6145"},"modified":"2022-07-11T12:51:05","modified_gmt":"2022-07-11T12:51:05","slug":"rusya-dogalgazi-kesti-avrupada-kriz-korkusu-buyuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=6145","title":{"rendered":"Rusya do\u011falgaz\u0131 kesti, Avrupa\u2019da kriz korkusu b\u00fcy\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>Rusya bak\u0131m \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 nedeniyle Kuzey Ak\u0131m-1 \u00fczerinden do\u011falgaz ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 bug\u00fcn durdurdu. Bat\u0131\u2019da kesintinin planlanan tarihinin \u00f6tesine sarkabilece\u011fi endi\u015fesi mevcut. Kesinti uzarsa ekonomik darbo\u011faz derinle\u015febilecek.<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Rus do\u011falgaz\u0131n\u0131 Almanya&#8217;ya ta\u015f\u0131yan en b\u00fcy\u00fck boru hatt\u0131 Kuzey Ak\u0131m-1&#8217;in y\u0131ll\u0131k bak\u0131ma girmesi nedeniyle bug\u00fcn gaz ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 durduruldu. Bak\u0131m \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 21 Temmuz&#8217;a kadar devam edecek ancak h\u00fck\u00fcmetler, piyasalar ve \u015firketler Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 nedeniyle arz kesintisinin uzamas\u0131ndan endi\u015fe ediyor.<\/p>\n<p>Kuzey Ak\u0131m-1, Balt\u0131k Denizi&#8217;nin alt\u0131ndan Rusya&#8217;dan Almanya&#8217;ya y\u0131lda 55 milyar metrek\u00fcp do\u011falgaz ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Reuters&#8217;\u0131n haberine g\u00f6re boru hatt\u0131n\u0131 i\u015fleten Kuzey Ak\u0131m AG \u015firketi kesintinin planland\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi T\u00fcrkiye saatiyle pazartesi sabah 07.00&#8217;de ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve gaz ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n birka\u00e7 saat sonra s\u0131f\u0131ra d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc do\u011frulad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p><b>ENERJ\u0130 KR\u0130Z\u0130 DER\u0130NLE\u015eEB\u0130L\u0130R<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Rusya ge\u00e7en ay boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n bak\u0131m\u0131 i\u00e7in gereken ve Siemens Energy&#8217;nin sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 t\u00fcrbinin Kanada&#8217;n\u0131n uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 yapt\u0131r\u0131mlara tak\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 gerek\u00e7e g\u00f6stererek Kuzey Ak\u0131m-1&#8217;in toplam kapasitesinin yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 40&#8217;\u0131 oran\u0131nda kesintiye gitmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>Kanada tamir edilmi\u015f ekipman\u0131 iade edece\u011fini hafta sonu a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131 ancak Rusya&#8217;n\u0131n enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne y\u00f6nelik yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 geni\u015fletece\u011fini de ifade etti.<\/p>\n<p>Avrupa, gaz arz\u0131n\u0131 daha da k\u0131s\u0131tlamak i\u00e7in Rusya&#8217;n\u0131n bak\u0131m \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131 uzatabilece\u011finden endi\u015fe ediyor. E\u011fer bu endi\u015feler ger\u00e7e\u011fe d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrse k\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in gerekli enerji depolar\u0131n\u0131 doldurma planlar\u0131 sekteye u\u011frayacak ve t\u00fcketiciler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan halihaz\u0131rda zaten y\u00fcksek olan faturalar artmaya devam edecek.<\/p>\n<p><b>UZUN VADEL\u0130 KES\u0130NT\u0130 M\u00dcMK\u00dcN M\u00dc?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Almanya Ekonomi Bakan\u0131 Robert Habeck, \u00fclkesinin gaz ak\u0131\u015f\u0131nda planlanan s\u00fcrenin \u00f6tesinde bir kesinti ya\u015fanma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla y\u00fczle\u015fmesi gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>Haziran sonunda kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir etkinlikte konu\u015fan Habeck, Rusya&#8217;n\u0131n k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck ve teknik bir detay\u0131 gerek\u00e7e g\u00f6stererek hatt\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemesinin \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6te yandan Kremlin S\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fc Dimitri Peskov, Moskova&#8217;n\u0131n petrol ve do\u011falgaz\u0131 siyasi bask\u0131 uygulamak amac\u0131yla kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki iddialar\u0131 reddetmi\u015fti. Peskov bak\u0131m \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nceden planland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bahane olarak \u00fcretilmedi\u011fini s\u00f6ylemi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>Rusya&#8217;dan Avrupa&#8217;ya uzanan ba\u015fka boru hatlar\u0131 olsa da ak\u0131\u015flar giderek azal\u0131yor. Kiev, Rusya&#8217;dan Avrupa&#8217;ya Ukrayna \u00fczerinden yak\u0131t ta\u015f\u0131yan Sokhranovka ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131ndaki ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 durduraca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 duyurmu\u015ftu. Ukrayna ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131n\u0131n Rus kuvvetlerinin kontrol\u00fcne ge\u00e7mesini gerek\u00e7e g\u00f6stermi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>Bununla birlikte Rusya ruble cinsinden \u00f6deme talebine uymayan bir\u00e7ok Avrupa \u00fclkesine gaz tedarikini kesti.<\/p>\n<p>Alman do\u011falgaz \u015firketlerini temsil eden dernek olan Zukunft Gas&#8217;\u0131n Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Timm Kehler, Kuzey Ak\u0131m-1 \u00fczerinden gaz arz\u0131n\u0131n tamamen durdurulmas\u0131 ihtimalinin g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilemeyece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p><b>T\u00dcRB\u0130N SORUNU<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Almanya, Kuzey Ak\u0131m-1 i\u00e7in gerekli t\u00fcrbine y\u00f6nelik Kanada&#8217;n\u0131n hafta sonu \u201cs\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ve iptal edilebilir\u201d bir izin verme karar\u0131n\u0131 memnuniyetle kar\u015f\u0131lad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Ancak Ukrayna&#8217;n\u0131n enerji ve d\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri bakanl\u0131klar\u0131 karardan \u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fc derin hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131na u\u011frad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Ukraynal\u0131 yetkililer bu hamlenin Kanada&#8217;n\u0131n yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 \u201cRusya&#8217;n\u0131n kaprislerine g\u00f6re ayarlad\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201d anlam\u0131na geldi\u011fini belirtti ve karar\u0131n geri al\u0131nmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131 yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6te yandan Siemens Energy t\u00fcrbinin en k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede devreye al\u0131nmas\u0131 i\u00e7in resmi onaylar ve lojistik \u00fczerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>Norve\u00e7 merkezli enerji ara\u015ft\u0131rma \u015firketi Rystad Energy&#8217;de gaz analisti Zongqiang Luo, Gazprom&#8217;un herhangi bir gecikmeyi bak\u0131m s\u00fcresini uzatmak i\u00e7in bir gerek\u00e7e olarak kullanabilece\u011finin \u201cimkans\u0131z olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6nceki y\u0131llarda Kuzey Ak\u0131m-1&#8217;in bak\u0131m s\u00fcreci yakla\u015f\u0131k 10-12 g\u00fcn s\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015f ve zaman\u0131nda tamamlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bununla birlikte boru hatlar\u0131nda veya gaz altyap\u0131s\u0131nda rutin bak\u0131m s\u0131ras\u0131nda ek ar\u0131zalar\u0131n tespit edilmesi s\u0131k ya\u015fan\u0131yor ve operat\u00f6rler gerekirse kesintileri uzatabiliyor.<\/p>\n<p>ABD&#8217;li yat\u0131r\u0131m bankas\u0131 Goldman Sachs&#8217;\u0131n analistlerine g\u00f6re gaz arz\u0131n\u0131n tamamen durdurulmas\u0131 olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnmemekle birlikte Gazprom ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131 di\u011fer hatlara y\u00f6nlendirmedi\u011fi i\u00e7in uzun vadede ak\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131 muhtemel.<\/p>\n<p><b>EKONOM\u0130K DARBE<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Almanya enerji krizine y\u00f6nelik \u00fc\u00e7 a\u015famal\u0131 acil eylem plan\u0131 haz\u0131rlad\u0131. Halihaz\u0131rda plan\u0131n ikinci a\u015famas\u0131n\u0131 uygulayan Berlin, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ad\u0131mda yak\u0131t t\u00fcketimine y\u00f6nelik karne uygulamas\u0131 getirebilir. Avrupa&#8217;n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisi olan Almanya ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n durmas\u0131 halinde resesyon ya\u015fanabilece\u011fi konusunda da uyard\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Bavyera Ekonomik Birli\u011fi&#8217;nin (vbw) ge\u00e7en ay yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 verilere g\u00f6re, ekonomi bu y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda 193 milyar euro&#8217;luk bir darbe alabilir. Birli\u011fin y\u00f6neticilerinden Bertram Brossardt, gaz ithalat\u0131n\u0131n durmas\u0131n\u0131n i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131nda da yank\u0131lanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve yakla\u015f\u0131k 5,6 milyon i\u015fin olas\u0131 durumdan etkilenece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6te yandan ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n durmas\u0131 halinde end\u00fcstriyi ve hane halklar\u0131n\u0131 halihaz\u0131rda rahats\u0131z eden y\u00fcksek faturalar uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeylerde kalabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Avrupa gaz\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00f6sterge i\u015flevi g\u00f6re Hollanda gaz\u0131n\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 ge\u00e7en temmuzdan bu yana y\u00fczde 400&#8217;den fazla artt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Hollanda Enerji Bakan\u0131 Rob Jetten, \u201cKuzey Ak\u0131m kesilirse veya Almanya t\u00fcm Rus ithalat\u0131n\u0131 kaybederse bunun etkisi Avrupa&#8217;n\u0131n kuzeybat\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n tamam\u0131nda hissedilecek\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n<p>Reuters&#8217;a konu\u015fan Jetten, Hollanda&#8217;daki Groningen do\u011falgaz sahas\u0131n\u0131n Rus arz\u0131n\u0131n tamamen kesilmesi durumunda kom\u015fu \u00fclkelere yard\u0131m amac\u0131yla kullan\u0131labilece\u011fini ancak \u00fcretimi h\u0131zland\u0131rman\u0131n depremlere neden olabilece\u011fini ifade etti.<\/p>\n<p><b>RUSYA EKONOM\u0130S\u0130 DE ZARAR G\u00d6REB\u0130L\u0130R<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Bununla birlikte Kuzey Ak\u0131m-1 arz\u0131n\u0131n kesilmesi Avrupa&#8217;ya oldu\u011fu kadar Rusya&#8217;ya da zarar verebilir.<\/p>\n<p>Rusya Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 haziranda b\u00fct\u00e7e planlamas\u0131nda tahmin edilenden 393 milyar ruble (6,4 milyar dolar) daha fazla petrol ve gaz geliri elde etmeyi bekledi\u011fini s\u00f6ylemi\u015fti. Bakanl\u0131k temmuz i\u00e7inse \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen b\u00fct\u00e7e plan\u0131ndan 259 milyar ruble (4,15 milyar dolar) daha fazlas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Goldman Sachs bak\u0131m\u0131n uzamas\u0131n\u0131n Rusya&#8217;da gaz \u00fcretimini sekteye u\u011frataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve Gazprom&#8217;un \u00fcretiminde bu y\u0131l \u015fimdiye kadar g\u00f6r\u00fclen y\u00fczde 9&#8217;luk d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn \u00f6tesine ge\u00e7ilebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rusya bak\u0131m \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 nedeniyle Kuzey Ak\u0131m-1 \u00fczerinden do\u011falgaz ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 bug\u00fcn durdurdu. Bat\u0131\u2019da kesintinin planlanan tarihinin \u00f6tesine &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6146,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[253,2036,661,172,42],"class_list":["post-6145","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-avrupa","tag-bakim","tag-gaz","tag-kesinti","tag-rusya"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6145","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6145"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6145\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6147,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6145\/revisions\/6147"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/6146"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6145"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6145"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6145"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}