\u0130ngiltere merkezli k\u00fcresel dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k \u015firketi Ekonomi ve \u0130\u015f Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Merkezi\u2019ne (CEBR) g\u00f6re, d\u00fcnya 2023\u2019te bir durgunluk riskiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. Enflasyonla m\u00fccadele nedeniyle artan y\u00fcksek bor\u00e7lanma maliyetleri baz\u0131 ekonomilerin daralmas\u0131na neden olabilir.<\/p>\n
CEBR y\u0131ll\u0131k D\u00fcnya Ekonomik Ligi Tablosunda, k\u00fcresel ekonominin 2022\u2019de ilk kez 100 trilyon dolar\u0131 a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Merkez, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n enflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 m\u00fccadelelerini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmeleri nedeniyle 2023\u2019te ekonominin frene basaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Raporda, \u201cEnflasyonla m\u00fccadele hen\u00fcz kazan\u0131lm\u0131\u015f de\u011fil. Ekonomik maliyetlere ra\u011fmen merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n 2023\u2019te de silahlar\u0131na sar\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. Enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmenin maliyeti, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 y\u0131l i\u00e7in daha zay\u0131f bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcd\u00fcr\u201d ifadelerine yer verildi.<\/p>\n
IMF\u2019DEN DAHA KARAMSAR<\/b><\/p>\n
CBDR bulgular\u0131 Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu\u2019nun (IMF) son tahmininden daha karamsar oldu. IMF, ekim ay\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada d\u00fcnya \u00fclkelerinin \u00fc\u00e7te birinden fazlas\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclece\u011fi tahmininde bulunmu\u015ftu. IMF, k\u00fcresel durgunluk y\u0131l\u0131 olarak tan\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 2023\u2019te k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin y\u00fczde 2\u2019den daha az olmas\u0131n\u0131n da muhtemel oldu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
CEBR Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Kay Daniel Neufeld, \u201cY\u00fcksek enflasyona yan\u0131t olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n bir sonucu olarak d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin gelecek y\u0131l durgunlukla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalmas\u0131 muhtemeldir\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
\u00c7\u0130N\u2019DE YAVA\u015eLAMA \u0130\u015eARETLER\u0130<\/b><\/p>\n
Raporda ayr\u0131ca \u00c7in ekonomisine dair de \u00e7e\u015fitli de\u011ferlendirmelere yer verildi. Bat\u0131 ile \u00c7in aras\u0131ndaki ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 ile Covid s\u0131f\u0131r politikas\u0131n\u0131n \u00c7in ekonomisini yava\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Kurum, \u00c7in\u2019in 2036\u2019da d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisi olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve ABD\u2019yi ge\u00e7ece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc. \u00d6nceki tahmin 2030 olarak belirtilmi\u015fti. Ancak \u00c7in\u2019in s\u0131f\u0131r Covid politikas\u0131 ve bat\u0131 ile artan ticaret gerilimi \u00c7in\u2019in b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini yava\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in bu tahmin de ertelendi.<\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan raporda Hindistan\u2019\u0131n 2032\u2019de d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisi olaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Ayr\u0131ca Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 15 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck alt\u0131nc\u0131 ekonomisi, Fransa\u2019n\u0131n ise yedinci b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisi olmaya devam edece\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalara g\u00f6re d\u00fcnya ekonomisi 2023’te resesyon tehdidi ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. Enflasyonun 2023’te bir tehdit olmaya devam edece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu da y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n ekonomilere zarar vermesine neden olabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":66887,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[793,141,516],"class_list":["post-66886","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-cin","tag-dunya","tag-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66886","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=66886"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66886\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":66888,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66886\/revisions\/66888"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/66887"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=66886"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=66886"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=66886"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}