{"id":75370,"date":"2023-03-05T03:05:05","date_gmt":"2023-03-05T03:05:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=75370"},"modified":"2023-03-05T03:05:05","modified_gmt":"2023-03-05T03:05:05","slug":"ekonomide-illuzyon-bitti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=75370","title":{"rendered":"Ekonomide ill\u00fczyon bitti"},"content":{"rendered":"

Vatanda\u015flar\u0131n <\/strong>temel ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 dahi kar\u015f\u0131layamaz hale d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc dile getiren iktisat\u00e7\u0131 Prof. Dr. Burak Arzova, \u201cAniden fakirle\u015ftik. Koca koca \u015firketlerimiz de\u011fersizle\u015fti. Vaat edilenlerin hi\u00e7biri olmad\u0131. \u015eimdi t\u00fcm bu olmayanlar, bize olmu\u015f gibi sat\u0131l\u0131yor. \u0130\u015fte \u0130ll\u00fczyon bu\u201d dedi. \u0130nsanlar\u0131n\u00a0 temel ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131layabilir hale gelmeleri ile daha \u2018\u00fcst ihtiya\u00e7lar’ i\u00e7in harekete ge\u00e7ti\u011fini ileri s\u00fcren ABD’li psikolog Abraham Maslow’un teorisine at\u0131fta bulunan Arzova, \u201cMaslow’un ihtiya\u00e7lar hiyerar\u015fisinde en alt basama\u011fa d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fck. Bar\u0131nma, beslenme ve g\u00fcvenlik ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n oldu\u011fu bu basamaktan bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc yukar\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kam\u0131yoruz\u201d diye konu\u015ftu.\u00a0 Arzova, \u201cT\u00fcrkiye Modeli olarak adland\u0131r\u0131lan bu garip yap\u0131ya ge\u00e7ilirken mevcutta olan t\u00fcm olumsuzluklar inkar edildi ve muhte\u015fem bir gelecek vaat edildi. Sonu\u00e7ta, ancak sava\u015f durumunda g\u00f6r\u00fclebilecek bir h\u0131zla artan \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek bir enflasyonla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131k\u201d dedi.\u00a0 Arzova, T\u00fcrkiye’de uygulanan politikalar\u0131, son kitab\u0131na ad\u0131n\u0131 verdi\u011fi \u201c\u0130ll\u00fczyon Ekonomisi\u201d ad\u0131yla tan\u0131ml\u0131yor\u2026<\/p>\n

\u25a0 Bize anlat\u0131lanlarla ya\u015fad\u0131klar\u0131m\u0131z aras\u0131ndaki farklar \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck. Buna ra\u011fmen bu \u2018ill\u00fczyon’ nas\u0131l s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebiliyor?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Asl\u0131nda ill\u00fczyon s\u00fcrm\u00fcyor. Bir y\u0131l \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re bulundu\u011fu gelir seviyesinin alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f, oturdu\u011fu ev kirada ise bir daha mevcut geliri ile ayn\u0131 mahallede oturamayacak insanlar\u0131 nas\u0131l ikna edebilirsiniz? Sekt\u00f6rler aras\u0131ndaki maa\u015f u\u00e7urumlar\u0131 inan\u0131lmaz b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Profes\u00f6r maa\u015flar\u0131 T\u00fcrk-\u0130\u015f’in a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 yoksulluk s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131nda. 5-6 y\u0131l \u00f6nce araba alabildi\u011finiz fiyatlara araban\u0131z\u0131 kasko ettirebilir hale gelmi\u015fseniz hangi ill\u00fczyon buna engelleyebilir?<\/p>\n

\u00c7al\u0131\u015fan\u0131n pay\u0131 azald\u0131, sermaye kesimi b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc<\/b><\/p>\n

\u25a0 G\u00fcvenli bar\u0131nman\u0131n \u00f6nemi \u00e7ok ac\u0131 deneyimlerle g\u00fcndemimizde ilk s\u0131rada. Konut piyasas\u0131 i\u00e7in genel yorumunuz nedir?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Burada da bir ill\u00fczyon yarat\u0131ld\u0131. Deprem sonras\u0131nda ihtiya\u00e7 duyulan kal\u0131c\u0131 konutlar sanki bir y\u0131lda yap\u0131lacakm\u0131\u015f gibi s\u00f6ylemlere rastl\u0131yoruz. En iyi ihtimalle 15-20 y\u0131ll\u0131k bir s\u00fcreden bahsediyoruz. Maslow’un ihtiya\u00e7lar hiyerar\u015fisinde en alt basama\u011fa d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fck. Bar\u0131nma, beslenme ve g\u00fcvenlik ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n oldu\u011fu bu basamaktan bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc yukar\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kam\u0131yoruz. \u00dclke b\u00fcy\u00fcyor ama kimse b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi hissedemiyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00fclke b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n aleyhine oldu. \u00dccretli \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7erisindeki pay\u0131 azald\u0131. Sermaye kesimi b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

B\u0131rak\u0131n faizlerin d\u00fc\u015fmesini kredi bulunam\u0131yor<\/b><\/p>\n

\u25a0 Bu ill\u00fczyonun i\u00e7inde resmi veriler de sorgulan\u0131yor\u2026<\/strong><\/p>\n

Rakamlar ve ya\u015fad\u0131klar\u0131m\u0131z bize ger\u00e7ekleri g\u00f6steriyor. \u00d6rne\u011fin cari a\u00e7\u0131k azalacak denilmi\u015fti ama cari a\u00e7\u0131kta tarihi rekorlar\u0131 ay be ay k\u0131r\u0131yoruz. T\u00dc\u0130K eskiden her bir maddenin o zaman yakla\u015f\u0131k 409 kalem vard\u0131, her birinin ayl\u0131k fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klard\u0131. O kalemler art\u0131k g\u00f6z\u00fckm\u00fcyor. Bir uyumla\u015ft\u0131rma gerek\u00e7esi ile kald\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. \u015eeffaf olmaktan \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u015eimdi bize tek bir rakam veriliyor ve bunun b\u00f6yle oldu\u011fu s\u00f6yleniyor. Biz halk olarak bu fiyatlar\u0131 \u00e7ar\u015f\u0131da, pazarda ya da gitti\u011fimiz herhangi bir yerde g\u00f6remiyoruz. Kredi faizlerinin d\u00fc\u015fece\u011finin s\u00f6ylenmesine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k b\u0131rak\u0131n faizlerin d\u00fc\u015fmesini krediler bulunamaz oldu.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Bu \u2018model’ \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmad\u0131, kabul edilmeli<\/b><\/p>\n

\u25a0 Ekonomi y\u00f6netimi deprem sonras\u0131 ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir dizi \u00f6nlemle d\u00f6viz talebini s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131rmaya odakland\u0131. Bu anlamda nas\u0131l bir durumla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z?<\/strong><\/p>\n

En ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri tek korku dolar\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fi. Para dolara gitmesin de nereye giderse gitsin diye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor san\u0131r\u0131m. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc dolardaki y\u00fckseli\u015fin herkesin genlerine i\u015flemi\u015f bir ekonomik ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131k g\u00f6stergesi oldu\u011fu iyi biliniyor. Kurdaki yeniden y\u00fckseli\u015fin yeni bir enflasyon dalgas\u0131na sebep olaca\u011f\u0131 biliniyor. Ortada bir para politikas\u0131 da olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, kur y\u00fckselmesin diye mikro \u00f6nlemlerle g\u00fcn\u00fc kurtarmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yoruz. T\u00fcrkiye Ekonomi Modeli \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmad\u0131. Bunun kabul edilmesi gerekiyor. Ancak se\u00e7ime kadar bu ekonomik yap\u0131yla devam edilece\u011fi \u00e7ok a\u00e7\u0131k.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0130ktisat\u00e7\u0131 Prof. Dr. Arzova, bar\u0131nma, beslenme ve g\u00fcvenlik gibi temel ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n dahi kar\u015f\u0131lanamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde \u2018ill\u00fczyon\u2019un sona erdi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":75371,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[516,10847],"class_list":["post-75370","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-ekonomi","tag-illuzyon"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75370","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=75370"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75370\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":75372,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75370\/revisions\/75372"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/75371"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=75370"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=75370"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=75370"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}