Almanya merkezli Deutsche Bank\u2019\u0131n ekonomistleri, haz\u0131rlad\u0131klar\u0131 raporda Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisinin y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda \u201cneredeyse kesin olarak\u201d resesyona girece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. <\/b><\/p>\n
Almanya’n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck bankas\u0131 Deutsche Bank’\u0131n ekonomistlerine g\u00f6re Almanya resesyona do\u011fru ilerliyor. Uzmanlar, Avrupa’n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisinin 2023’te yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 1 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclece\u011fini tahmin etti.<\/p>\n
Bloomberg’in haberine g\u00f6re Stefan Schneider liderli\u011findeki analistler bankan\u0131n m\u00fc\u015fterileri i\u00e7in kaleme ald\u0131klar\u0131 raporda azalan do\u011falgaz arz\u0131, ABD’deki gerileme ve ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan tersten esen ba\u015fka r\u00fczgarlar nedeniyle Almanya’n\u0131n bu y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda daralaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Resesyon kavram\u0131 genel olarak reel gayri safi yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131lan\u0131n (GSY\u0130H) y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda 2 veya daha fazla \u00e7eyrekte arka arkaya negatif b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6stermesine deniyor. Ayn\u0131 zamanda ekonomik durgunluk olarak da biliniyor.<\/p>\n
\u2018ENFLASYONDA YEN\u0130 REKORLAR GELECEK’<\/b><\/p>\n
Uzmanlar ayr\u0131ca enflasyonda tarihi rekorlar k\u0131r\u0131lsa da hen\u00fcz zirvenin g\u00f6r\u00fclmedi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
Almanya Federal \u0130statistik Dairesi (Destatis) may\u0131sta enflasyonun y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda 7,9 olarak kaydedildi\u011fini duyurmu\u015ftu. Bu, enflasyon a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan 1974’ten bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen en y\u00fcksek orand\u0131.<\/p>\n
Hazirandaysa rekor enflasyon seviyesi hafif yumu\u015fayarak y\u00fczde 7,6 d\u00fczeyine gelmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
ENERJ\u0130 KR\u0130Z\u0130 NEDEN\u0130YLE ALARM Z\u0130LLER\u0130 \u00c7ALIYOR<\/b><\/p>\n
Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 nedeniyle enerji arz\u0131nda ya\u015fanan daralma hem Avrupa hem de Almanya i\u00e7in alarm zillerinin \u00e7almas\u0131n\u0131 beraberinde getirdi. Rusya’dan gelen do\u011falgaza g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 olan Almanya a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan arz kesintileri hayati d\u00fczeyde sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furabilir.<\/p>\n
Almanya’n\u0131n, Rus do\u011falgaz\u0131n\u0131 ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ana boru hatt\u0131 Kuzey Ak\u0131m-1, 11-21 Temmuz aras\u0131nda bak\u0131m \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 nedeniyle kapat\u0131ld\u0131. Berlin, boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n tadilat\u0131na ili\u015fkin bahanelerle Moskova’n\u0131n do\u011falgaz ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 21 Temmuz’dan sonra b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcyle kesmesinden endi\u015fe duyuyor.<\/p>\n
E\u011fer s\u00f6z konusu endi\u015feler ger\u00e7ekle\u015firse hem Almanya end\u00fcstrisi hem de hane halklar\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck bir darbe alabilir.<\/p>\n
\u2018RUSYA’NIN M\u0130S\u0130LLEMELER\u0130 DEVAM EDECEK’<\/b><\/p>\n
Deutsche Bank ekonomistleri notta, \u201cBat\u0131’n\u0131n yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na ve Ukrayna’ya mali ve askeri deste\u011fine misilleme olarak Rusya’n\u0131n Avrupa’daki ekonomik faaliyeti bozman\u0131n yollar\u0131n\u0131 aramaya devam edece\u011fini varsaymak mant\u0131kl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
Uzmanlara g\u00f6re Rusya’n\u0131n olas\u0131 misillemeleri b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcyle bir kapanma anlam\u0131na gelmese de bu hamlelerin end\u00fcstriyel \u00fcretim ve ekonomik belirsizlik \u00fczerindeki etkisi \u201cneredeyse kesin olarak\u201d Alman ekonomisini 2022’nin ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda resesyona itecek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Almanya merkezli Deutsche Bank\u2019\u0131n ekonomistleri, haz\u0131rlad\u0131klar\u0131 raporda Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisinin y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda \u201cneredeyse kesin …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7937,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[809,2491,69],"class_list":["post-7936","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-almanya","tag-bank","tag-rus"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7936","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7936"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7936\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7938,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7936\/revisions\/7938"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/7937"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7936"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7936"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7936"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}