{"id":81333,"date":"2023-04-26T12:51:04","date_gmt":"2023-04-26T12:51:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=81333"},"modified":"2023-04-26T12:51:04","modified_gmt":"2023-04-26T12:51:04","slug":"arjantin-ekonomisi-cokusun-esiginde","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=81333","title":{"rendered":"Arjantin ekonomisi \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn e\u015fi\u011finde"},"content":{"rendered":"

Arjantin\u2019de 3 haneli enflasyon, siyasi \u00e7alkant\u0131lar ve kurakl\u0131k nedeniyle ya\u015fanan resesyon ile d\u00f6viz k\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131, ekonomiyi \u00e7\u00f6kme noktas\u0131na getirdi. Bunun yan\u0131nda karaborsadaki paralel d\u00f6viz kuru ile resmi d\u00f6viz kuru aras\u0131ndaki makas da iyice a\u00e7\u0131lmaya ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Arjantin\u2019de h\u00fck\u00fcmetin fiyat dondurma, sermaye kontrolleri ve \u00e7oklu d\u00f6viz kuru gibi stratejileri peso \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 yat\u0131\u015ft\u0131ramazken \u00fclkede \u015fubatta y\u0131ll\u0131k 102,2 ile 30 sene sonra ilk kez \u00fc\u00e7 haneli enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Enflasyon, \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 geride b\u0131rak\u0131rken t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 da azaltt\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca tahminlere g\u00f6re, kurakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n Arjantin\u2019in 19 milyar dolarl\u0131k ihracat\u0131na mal olabilece\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n

\n

Tarihi \u015fiddetteki kurakl\u0131k, Arjantin\u2019de soya fasulyesi ve m\u0131s\u0131r gibi kritik mahsullerin hasad\u0131n\u0131 mahvetti. Sert kurakl\u0131k, \u00fclkenin tar\u0131m ihracat\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flat\u0131rken bu durum dolar giri\u015fini kesti ve Arjantin Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n rezerv biriktirme giri\u015fimlerini zorla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n

B\u00dcY\u00dcK D\u00d6V\u0130Z KR\u0130Z\u0130<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan Arjantin\u2019de turistlere, soya \u00fcreticilerine ve borsaya \u00f6zel d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 gibi bir\u00e7ok paralel kur uygulan\u0131yor. Pesonun neredeyse bir y\u0131lda de\u011ferinin yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 kaybetti\u011fi \u00fclkede s\u0131k\u0131 sermaye kontrolleri de s\u00f6z konusu.<\/p>\n

Arjantin\u2019de ayr\u0131ca IMF program\u0131n\u0131 yeniden m\u00fczakere etme planlar\u0131 g\u00fcndeme gelirken merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n d\u00f6viz rezervleri ge\u00e7en hafta yedi ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine geriledi. IMF de Arjantin\u2019e resmi d\u00f6viz kurunu deval\u00fce etmesi i\u00e7in bask\u0131 yap\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Arjantin pesosunun dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki de\u011fer kayb\u0131. Sar\u0131 \u00e7izgi: Karaborsa \u2013 Mavi \u00e7izgi: Resmi peso\/dolar kuru. Grafik: Johns Hopkins \u00dcniversitesi Profes\u00f6r\u00fc Steve Hanke.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Arjantin Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019na g\u00f6re dolar\/peso resmi kuru 220 seviyesinde seyretse de paralel kur bu rakam\u0131n iki kat\u0131na fiyatlan\u0131yor. Arjantin\u2019de yerel halk aras\u0131nda \u201cmavi dolar\u201d olarak bilinen dolar\/peso paralel kuru, finans sitesi Dolarhoy.com verilerine g\u00f6re 500\u2019e yak\u0131n seviyede sat\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

RESESYON BEKLEN\u0130YOR<\/b><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\u00dclkedeki ekonomik aktivite seviyesi de kurakl\u0131k etkisiyle resesyona i\u015faret etti. Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131nlanan verilere g\u00f6re, ekonomik aktivite \u015fubatta \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re yatay seyretti. Bir y\u0131l \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re ise ekonomi y\u00fczde 0,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Arjantin Merkez Bankas\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan mart ay\u0131nda yap\u0131lan bir ankete kat\u0131lan ekonomistler, gayri safi yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131lan\u0131n bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,7 daralaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin etti. Ekonomi ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde de k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Gelecek y\u0131l ekonomi k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fcrse bu, son 10 y\u0131ldaki 6. durgunluk olacak.<\/p>\n

\u0130KT\u0130DAR, SA\u011e MUHALEFET\u0130 SU\u00c7LADI<\/b><\/p>\n

Arjantin Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Alberto Fernandez ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz g\u00fcnlerde ekim ay\u0131nda yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imlerde aday olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klarken ekonomik gidi\u015fatla ilgili sa\u011fc\u0131 muhalefeti ve \u00f6nceki d\u00f6nemi su\u00e7lad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Fernandez, \u201cEkonomi Bakan\u0131 Sergio Massa bu durumu \u00e7\u00f6zmeye kararl\u0131. Ancak, eski Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Mauricio Macri\u2019nin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131 sorunlarla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya\u201d dedi. Arjantin\u2019in 2015\u2019te 240 milyar dolar olan d\u0131\u015f kamu borcu Macri d\u00f6neminin bitti\u011fi 2019\u2019da 323 milyar ABD dolar\u0131na ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ayr\u0131ca Fern\u00e1ndez d\u00fcn sabah d\u00fczenledi\u011fi bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131nda,\u00a0muhalefetle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 ekonomistleri ve finansal i\u015fletmecileri pezoya kar\u015f\u0131 spek\u00fclasyon yapmakla su\u00e7lad\u0131.\u00a0Fernandez, sa\u011f muhalefetin d\u00f6viz piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 etkileyen ve Arjantinlilerin tasarruflar\u0131na zarar veren s\u00f6ylentiler yayd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia etti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Arjantin’de y\u00fczde 100’\u00fcn \u00fczerindeki enflasyon ve \u00fclke ekonomisinde resesyona neden olabilecek problemler nedeniyle ciddi bir ekonomik darbo\u011faz ya\u015fan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":81334,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[772,70,975,516,1329],"class_list":["post-81333","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-arjantin","tag-dolar","tag-doviz","tag-ekonomi","tag-kur"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81333","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=81333"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81333\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":81335,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81333\/revisions\/81335"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/81334"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=81333"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=81333"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=81333"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}