Uluslararas\u0131 sigorta \u015firketi Allianz Trade, 2023 I. \u00c7eyrek Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu\u2019nu a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Rapora g\u00f6re k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2023\u2019te yava\u015flamas\u0131 ve para politikas\u0131ndaki s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fman\u0131n etkisini art\u0131rmas\u0131 beklenirken i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n dinamikleri de yava\u015flayacak.<\/p>\n
Raporda ayr\u0131ca T\u00fcrkiye de\u011ferlendirmeleri de yer ald\u0131. B\u00fcy\u00fcme ve enflasyon tahminleri k\u0131smen y\u00fckseltilirken se\u00e7imlerin sonucuna dair belirsizlik oldu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n
B\u00dcY\u00dcME VE ENFLASYON TAHM\u0130N\u0130<\/b><\/p>\n
Allianz Trade raporunda, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminleri de yer ald\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 2023\u2019te y\u00fczde 3,1, 2024\u2019te ise 3,8 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklendi\u011fi belirtildi. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi 2022\u2019de y\u00fczde 5,6 b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Kurumun \u00f6nceki tahminleri 2023 ve 2024 i\u00e7in s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 1,9 ve y\u00fczde 3,8\u2019di.<\/p>\n
Raporda enflasyon tahminleri de yer ald\u0131. Kurum, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de 12 ayl\u0131k ortalama enflasyonun 2023\u2019te y\u00fczde 40,9, 2024\u2019te ise 23,9 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011fini tahmin etti. Kurumun \u00f6nceli tahminleri 2023 ve 2024 i\u00e7in s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 36,1 ve y\u00fczde 20,6 d\u00fczeyindeydi.<\/p>\n
SE\u00c7\u0130M DETAYI<\/b><\/p>\n
Raporda ayr\u0131ca yakla\u015fan se\u00e7imlere ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelere yer verildi. Analistler cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imlerinin ikinci tura kalmas\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Se\u00e7imlerle ilgili olarak, \u201c2023\u2019te izlenmesi gereken en kilit olaylar T\u00fcrkiye ve \u0130spanya se\u00e7imleri. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 yeniden se\u00e7ilmek i\u00e7in yar\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Ancak sonu\u00e7 belirsiz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor ve se\u00e7imler ikinci tura kalabilir\u201d ifadeleri yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n
K\u00dcRESEL ENFLASYON VE B\u00dcY\u00dcME TAHM\u0130NLER\u0130<\/b><\/p>\n
\u201c2024\u2019te, \u00f6zellikle finansman ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n daha uzun s\u00fcre daha s\u0131k\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131 Avrupa\u2019da, \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 bir toparlanma bekliyoruz\u201d ifadelerinin kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda 2024\u2019te \u00c7in\u2019deki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin h\u0131zlanaca\u011f\u0131, ABD\u2019de ise s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131 ifadeleri yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Alianz Trade raporunda, 2023\u2019te k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmede yava\u015flama ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011fi belirtildi. B\u00fcy\u00fcmenin y\u00fczde 2,2\u2019ye gerileyece\u011fi ve 2024 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise \u00e7ok s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015fla bu oran\u0131n y\u00fczde 2,3\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Rapora g\u00f6re, ABD, Almanya, \u0130talya ve \u0130ngiltere hari\u00e7, di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomiler resesyondan korunmay\u0131 ba\u015faracak ancak geli\u015fmekte olan piyasalar bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalacak.<\/p>\n
Alianz Trade, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeler \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131lar\u0131n, \u00f6zellikle emtia ithalat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in artan i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f dengesizlikler nedeniyle artmaya devam edece\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
Raporda, k\u00fcresel enflasyonun \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki \u00e7eyreklerde belirgin bir \u015fekilde yava\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 ve bu y\u0131l k\u00fcresel d\u00fczeyde ortalama y\u00fczde 6,6 olaca\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. \u00c7ekirdek enflasyon g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 konusunda daha \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fc bir yakla\u015f\u0131m sergileme ihtimali oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Allianz Trade 2023 Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nda T\u00fcrkiye de\u011ferlendirmeleri de yer ald\u0131. B\u00fcy\u00fcme ve enflasyon tahminleri k\u0131smen y\u00fckseltilirken se\u00e7imlerin sonucuna dair belirsizlik oldu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":81950,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[319,4991,645,60,15],"class_list":["post-81949","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-319","tag-4991","tag-buyume","tag-enflasyon","tag-turkiye"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81949","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=81949"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81949\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":81951,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81949\/revisions\/81951"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/81950"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=81949"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=81949"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=81949"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}