Piyasalar ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) 3 May\u0131s ak\u015fam\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klanacak kritik faiz karar\u0131na kilitlendi. Ayr\u0131ca, Avrupa ve Norve\u00e7 merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n faiz kararlar\u0131 da bu hafta takip edilecek \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmeler olacak.<\/p>\n
Fed y\u00f6neticileri, ABD ekonomisine y\u00f6nelik riskler artarken inat\u00e7\u0131 enflasyonu yenmek i\u00e7in bir y\u0131ld\u0131r s\u00fcren faiz art\u0131rma politikas\u0131na bu ay da devam etmeye haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Ancak uzmanlara g\u00f6re bu art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Fed d\u00f6ng\u00fcye ara verebilir.<\/p>\n
Piyasalar, Fed\u2019in toplant\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fczde 85 olas\u0131l\u0131kla 25 baz puan faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na gidece\u011fini fiyatl\u0131yor. \u0130\u015flemciler may\u0131sta ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n 1980\u2019lerden bu yana uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 en h\u0131zl\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmay\u0131 d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc kapsam\u0131ndaki son faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyor. Beklentiler haziranda faizin sabit b\u0131rak\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n
BANKACILIK KR\u0130Z\u0130 YEN\u0130DEN G\u00dcNDEMDE<\/b><\/p>\n
First Republic Bank\u2019\u0131n ge\u00e7en hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fine ili\u015fkin bilan\u00e7osu, bankan\u0131n mevduatlar\u0131n\u0131n, ABD\u2019li b\u00fcy\u00fck bankalardan gelen 30 milyar dolarl\u0131k deste\u011fe ra\u011fmen, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l sonuna k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 40,8 azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koymu\u015f, bilan\u00e7o sonras\u0131 hisseler \u00e7\u00f6km\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmeler, Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda frene basma ihtimalini art\u0131ran geli\u015fmeler aras\u0131nda yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
SON ARTI\u015e OLAB\u0130L\u0130R<\/b><\/p>\n
Bloomberg ekonomistleri Anna Wong, Stuart Paul, Eliza Winger ve Jonathan Church yay\u0131mlad\u0131klar\u0131 notta, gelecek haftaki toplant\u0131da son faiz art\u0131\u015f olma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu belirtildi. Notta \u015fu ifadelere yer verildi:<\/p>\n
\u201cBankac\u0131l\u0131k sisteminde s\u00fcregelen \u00e7alkant\u0131ya ra\u011fmen Fed\u2019in 3 May\u0131s karar\u0131nda faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 25 baz puan art\u0131rarak y\u00fczde 5,25\u2019e y\u00fckseltme ihtimali kuvvetli. Ayr\u0131ca i\u015faretler bunun bir s\u00fcreli\u011fine son art\u0131\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n sinyallerini veriyor.<\/p>\n
S\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn bir sonraki a\u015famas\u0131, oranlar\u0131 bu y\u00fcksek seviyede tutarken enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterip g\u00f6stermedi\u011fini izlemek olacak.\u201d<\/p>\n
A\u00c7IKLAMALAR TAK\u0130P ED\u0130LECEK<\/b><\/p>\n
Fed\u2019in faiz karar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell\u2019\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 da olduk\u00e7a \u00f6nemli olacak. Gelecek d\u00f6nem para politikas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ipu\u00e7lar\u0131, piyasalar\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fc \u00fczerinde etkili olaca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in yak\u0131ndan izlenecek.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019de ekonomik aktivitenin g\u00fc\u00e7 kaybetmesine kar\u015f\u0131n enflasyon riski diri kal\u0131rken, Fed\u2019in enflasyonla m\u00fccadele kapsam\u0131nda ataca\u011f\u0131 ad\u0131mlar\u0131n resesyon riskini art\u0131rabilece\u011fi endi\u015feleri de b\u00fcy\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Fed yetkilileri, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l d\u00f6rt kez 75 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Banka faiz art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 aral\u0131kta 50 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015fa ve \u015fubatta 25 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015fa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Silikon Vadisi Bankas\u0131 ve di\u011fer iki ABD bankas\u0131n\u0131n iflas etmesinin ard\u0131ndan ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen mart toplant\u0131s\u0131nda da 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n
AVRUPA\u2019DA ECB \u0130ZLENECEK<\/b><\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan Avrupa\u2019da a\u00e7\u0131klanan enflasyon verileri kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k sinyaller verdi. Gelecek hafta Fed\u2019in faiz karar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc de Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) para politikas\u0131 kararlar\u0131 ve ECB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Christine Lagarde\u2019\u0131n s\u00f6zle y\u00f6nlendirmeleri yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131na yerle\u015fti.<\/p>\n
ECB\u2019nin eyl\u00fcle kadar toplamda 75 baz puan daha faiz art\u0131rmas\u0131 ve faiz art\u0131r\u0131m d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc sonland\u0131rmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcler g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken, ad\u0131mlar\u0131n hangi b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fckte at\u0131laca\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik belirsizliklerin bir s\u00fcre devam edebilece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Piyasalar Fed’in para politikas\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 25 baz puan faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na gitmesini bekliyor. Ancak uzmanlar bu art\u0131\u015f\u0131n bir s\u00fcre i\u00e7in yap\u0131lacak son art\u0131\u015f olabilece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":83675,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[62,936,4063,731,3717],"class_list":["post-83674","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-artis","tag-banka","tag-baz-puan","tag-faiz","tag-fed"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83674","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=83674"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83674\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":83676,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83674\/revisions\/83676"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/83675"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=83674"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=83674"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=83674"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}