D\u00fcnya Ekonomik Forumu\u2019nun (WEF) ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131na kat\u0131lan ba\u015fekonomistler, bu y\u0131l k\u00fcresel bir resesyon ihtimali \u00fczerinde ikiye b\u00f6l\u00fcn\u00fcrken, \u00e7o\u011fu hayat pahal\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u201ckriz\u201d seviyesinde ve y\u00fcksek enflasyonun devam etmesini bekliyor.<\/p>\n
WEF\u2019in \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r ve kamudan ekonomistlerin kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131yla haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Ba\u015fekonomistler G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc 2023 raporuna g\u00f6re, k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve enflasyona ili\u015fkin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcler b\u00f6lgelere g\u00f6re b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7apl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fkenlik g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
Ekonomistlerin y\u00fczde 45\u2019i bu y\u0131l k\u00fcresel resesyon beklerken, y\u00fczde 45\u2019i bunu ihtimal d\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
\u00c7in\u2019de Covid-19 \u00f6nlemlerinin kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak en canl\u0131 ekonomik aktivitenin Asya b\u00f6lgesinde g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi bekleniyor. Ekonomistlerin yar\u0131s\u0131, bu y\u0131l \u00c7in\u2019de ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131, y\u00fczde 43\u2019\u00fc ise g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Ekonomistlerin y\u00fczde 93\u2019\u00fc, Do\u011fu Asya ve Pasifik b\u00f6lgesinde ekonominin en az\u0131ndan \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 d\u00fczeyde b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcrken, y\u00fczde 50 ve 75\u2019i s\u0131ras\u0131yla ABD ve Avrupa\u2019da zay\u0131f veya \u00e7ok zay\u0131f ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme bekliyor.<\/p>\n
EN Y\u00dcKSEK ENFLASYON BEKLENT\u0130S\u0130 AVRUPA\u2019DA<\/b><\/p>\n
Ekonomistlerin y\u00fczde 90\u2019\u0131 Avrupa\u2019da, y\u00fczde 68\u2019i ise ABD\u2019de bu y\u0131l enflasyonun y\u00fcksek veya \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek seviyede kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Ba\u015fekonomistlerin \u00fc\u00e7te ikisine g\u00f6re, Sahra Alt\u0131 Afrika, Latin Amerika ve Karayipler\u2019de de enflasyon y\u00fcksek kalacak.<\/p>\n
Ara\u015ft\u0131rmaya kat\u0131lan ekonomistlerin yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n Orta Do\u011fu ve Kuzey Afrika i\u00e7in de rekor enflasyon beklemesine kar\u015f\u0131n sadece y\u00fczde 14\u2019\u00fc \u00c7in\u2019de bu seviyelerin g\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Bu kapsamda, ekonomistlerin y\u00fczde 79\u2019una g\u00f6re merkez bankalar\u0131 enflasyonu y\u00f6netmek ve bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde istikrar\u0131 sa\u011flamak aras\u0131nda bir denge kurmakla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kal\u0131rken, y\u00fczde 82\u2019si, finansal istikrar endi\u015feleri nedeniyle faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n yava\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer yandan, ekonomistlerin y\u00fczde 76\u2019s\u0131, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonu hedeflenen seviyelere indirme konusunda zorlanaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n
Enflasyonun y\u00fcksek kalmaya devam etmesi nedeniyle ekonomistlerin y\u00fczde 76\u2019s\u0131, hayat pahal\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkede \u201ckriz\u201d seviyesinde s\u00fcrece\u011fini, \u00f6zellikle geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerde bu durumun \u201cakut\u201d bir sorun olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyor.<\/p>\n
YEN\u0130 BANKA \u0130FLASLARI G\u00d6R\u00dcLME \u0130HT\u0130MAL\u0130 Y\u00dcKSEK<\/b><\/p>\n
K\u00fcresel finans sisteminde son d\u00f6nemde ya\u015fanan banka iflaslar\u0131 ve t\u00fcrb\u00fclansa ra\u011fmen ekonomistlerin y\u00fczde 69\u2019u bu geli\u015fmelerin k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131 etki yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Ancak ekonomistlerin y\u00fczde 67\u2019si, bu y\u0131l yeni banka iflaslar\u0131 ve \u201cciddi finansal sorunlar\u0131n\u201d ya\u015fanma ihtimalini olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Ekonomistlerin y\u00fczde 80\u2019ine g\u00f6re ise i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 finansman bulmakta zorlanacak ve yat\u0131r\u0131mlarda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fanacak.<\/p>\n
WEF Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Saadia Zahidi, rapora ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmesinde, raporun mevcut ekonomik geli\u015fmelerin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirsizli\u011fi ortaya koydu\u011funu belirterek, \u201c\u0130\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasalar\u0131 \u015fimdilik diren\u00e7li g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor ancak b\u00fcy\u00fcme durgun kalmaya devam ediyor. K\u00fcresel gerilimlerin derinle\u015fti\u011fi ve bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkede hayat pahal\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek seyretti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu bulgular, k\u0131sa vadeli k\u00fcresel politika koordinasyonuna, uzun vadede ise s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirlik ve dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 sa\u011flamla\u015ft\u0131racak yeni bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme plan\u0131 i\u00e7in acil i\u015f birli\u011fi ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 teyit ediyor.\u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131. (AA)E<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
D\u00fcnya Ekonomik Forumu’nun (WEF) ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131na kat\u0131lan ba\u015fekonomistler, hayat pahal\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve y\u00fcksek enflasyonun bu y\u0131l s\u00fcrece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":84587,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[936,666,60,2176,877],"class_list":["post-84586","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-banka","tag-ekonomik","tag-enflasyon","tag-kuresel","tag-yuksek"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84586","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=84586"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84586\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":84588,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84586\/revisions\/84588"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/84587"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=84586"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=84586"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=84586"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}