{"id":87233,"date":"2023-05-08T11:51:03","date_gmt":"2023-05-08T11:51:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=87233"},"modified":"2023-05-08T11:51:03","modified_gmt":"2023-05-08T11:51:03","slug":"secim-oncesi-liranin-dolar-karsisindaki-oynaklik-beklentisi-artti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/?p=87233","title":{"rendered":"Se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesi liran\u0131n dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki oynakl\u0131k beklentisi artt\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>14 May\u0131s se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde liraya y\u00f6nelik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ve oynakl\u0131k beklentisi artmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bloomberg&#8217;in haberine g\u00f6re, TL&#8217;nin dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Liran\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fczde 8,4\u2019ten y\u00fczde 64\u2019e \u00e7\u0131karak di\u011fer t\u00fcm para birimlerini geride b\u0131rakt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k kavram\u0131, bir varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n gelecekteki oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 hakk\u0131nda piyasan\u0131n beklentisini hesaplamak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Di\u011fer bir yandan, piyasa se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131ndan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z olarak h\u00fck\u00fcmetin TL \u00fczerinde uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kontrollerin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirli\u011fi konusunda endi\u015feli oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in liran\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir zay\u0131flama ya\u015famas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bloomberg\u2019in al\u0131m sat\u0131m opsiyon fiyatlamalar\u0131ndan yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 hesaplamalara g\u00f6re, t\u00fcrev i\u015flemciler dolar\/TL\u2019nin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek sonunda 26 seviyesine y\u00fckselmesini muhtemel g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p><b>D\u00d6V\u0130ZDE SUN\u0130 DESTEK VURGUSU<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Commerzbank stratejisti Ulrich Leuchtman, pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir notta, T\u00fcrk liras\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fanabilece\u011fini belirtti. \u201cResmi d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131n\u0131n suni deste\u011fi giderek daha zay\u0131f hale gelecek ve muhtemelen daha uzun s\u00fcre s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi imkans\u0131z olacak\u201d diyen Leuchtman, h\u00fck\u00fcmetin se\u00e7menlere lira istikrar\u0131 iddias\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in art\u0131k siyasi motivasyonun olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>Lira, son bir y\u0131lda y\u00fczde 23 d\u00fc\u015ferek tarihi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelere gerilerken, Commerzbank lirada ya\u015fan\u0131lan geli\u015fmeleri \u00fclkenin kendi k\u00f6t\u00fc y\u00f6netiminin bir yans\u0131mas\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu sebeple lirada ya\u015fanacak bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn di\u011fer geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeler \u00fczerinde bir domino etkisi yaratmas\u0131 beklenmiyor.<\/p>\n<p>Leuchtman, T\u00fcrk para politikas\u0131n\u0131n hatalar\u0131n\u0131n di\u011fer \u00fclkelerde tekrarlanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek \u201cBu \u00e7ok \u00f6zel para politikas\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok farkl\u0131 davrand\u0131\u011f\u0131 di\u011fer para birimlerine nas\u0131l bula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hayal etmekte zorlan\u0131yorum\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>14 May\u0131s se\u00e7imlerine 6 g\u00fcn kala T\u00fcrk liras\u0131n\u0131n dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 8,4&#8217;ten y\u00fczde 64&#8217;e \u00e7\u0131karak t\u00fcm para birimlerini geride b\u0131rakt\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":87234,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[78],"class_list":["post-87233","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-lira"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87233","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=87233"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87233\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":87235,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87233\/revisions\/87235"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/87234"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=87233"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=87233"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=87233"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}