Merkezi Almanya\u2019n\u0131n Mannheim kentinde bulunan Avrupa Ekonomik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Merkezi (ZEW), kurumsal yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 ve analistlerin gelecek 6 aya ili\u015fkin beklentilerini \u00f6l\u00e7en ZEW Ekonomik G\u00fcven Endeksi\u2019nin may\u0131s ay\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Buna g\u00f6re, endeks may\u0131sta \u00f6nceki aya k\u0131yasla 14,8 puan d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n
B\u00f6ylece nisanda 4,1 puan olan endeks, bu ay eksi 10,7 puan seviyesine indi. Piyasa beklentisi, endeksin nisanda eksi 5,3 puana gerilemesi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi.<\/p>\n
B\u00f6ylece endeks, Aral\u0131k 2022\u2019den bu yana ilk kez s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n alt\u0131na indi.<\/p>\n
\u20186 AY DAHA K\u00d6T\u00dcLE\u015eECEK\u2019<\/b><\/p>\n
Endeks martta, Credit Suisse\u2019i \u00e7evreleyen \u00e7alkant\u0131 ve Silicon Valley Bank\u2019\u0131n iflas\u0131n\u0131n yeni bir k\u00fcresel finansal krize y\u00f6nelik endi\u015feleri ivmelemesinin ard\u0131ndan enflasyon ve para politikas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik belirsizlikle nisanda art arda be\u015f ayd\u0131r ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131\u015fa son vererek y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisine kar\u015f\u0131n sert bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6stermi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
Almanya\u2019da Mevcut Durum Endeksi ise may\u0131sta \u00f6nceki aya k\u0131yasla 2,3 puan azalarak eksi 34,8 puana geriledi.<\/p>\n
ZEW Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Prof. Dr. Achim Wambach, konuya ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmesinde, finans piyasas\u0131 uzmanlar\u0131n\u0131n zaten olumsuz olan ekonomik durumun \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 6 ayda daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fece\u011fini tahmin ettiklerini belirterek, \u201cSonu\u00e7 olarak, Alman ekonomisi hafif de olsa bir resesyona girebilir. Ekonomik G\u00fcven Endeksi\u2019ndeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, ECB taraf\u0131ndan daha fazla faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentisinden kaynaklan\u0131yor. Ek olarak, ABD\u2019nin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda olas\u0131 temerr\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015fmesi, k\u00fcresel ekonomik beklentilere belirsizlik kat\u0131yor\u201d ifadesini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n
EKONOM\u0130 \u0130LK \u00c7EYREKTE RESESYONDAN KIL PAYI KURTULDU<\/b><\/p>\n
Almanya\u2019da sanayi \u00fcretimi, otomobil imalat\u0131ndaki keskin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f nedeniyle martta y\u00fczde 3,4 ile beklentilerin \u00fczerinde azal\u0131\u015f kaydederek, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisinin resesyon endi\u015felerini ivmelendirdi.<\/p>\n
Almanya Federal \u0130statistik Ofisi’nin (Destatis) \u00f6nc\u00fc verilerine g\u00f6re, Alman ekonomisi, bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde, al\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki y\u00fcksek enflasyon ve artan faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131lamas\u0131 nedeniyle b\u00fcy\u00fcme kaydetmedi.<\/p>\n
B\u00f6ylece ilk \u00e7eyrekteki s\u0131f\u0131r b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ard\u0131ndan Alman ekonomisi, \u201c\u00fcst \u00fcste iki \u00e7eyrek GSYH\u2019de k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme ya\u015fanmas\u0131\u201d olarak ifade edilen teknik resesyona \u201ck\u0131l pay\u0131\u201d girmemi\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n
Alman ekonomisi, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 0,5 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Alman ekonomisi, Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrecinde ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan dar bo\u011fazlar hafiflese de faizlerin y\u00fckselmesi, ekonomiye g\u00fcvenin azalmas\u0131 ve al\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki y\u00fcksek enflasyon ortam\u0131nda t\u00fcketicilerin sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn d\u00fc\u015fmesi sonucu talepte ya\u015fanan durgunluktan olumsuz etkileniyor.<\/p>\n
Alman h\u00fck\u00fcmeti, ekonomide bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,4 b\u00fcy\u00fcme bekliyor. \u00d6nde gelen Alman ekonomi enstit\u00fcleri ise \u00fclke ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,3 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Destatis, ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fe ili\u015fkin GSYH nihai verilerini 25 May\u0131s\u2019ta a\u00e7\u0131klayacak.<\/p>\n
AVRUPA\u2019DA EKONOM\u0130K GEL\u0130\u015e\u0130M DE\u011eERLEND\u0130RMELER\u0130 OLUMSUZLA\u015eTI<\/b><\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan, Finansal piyasa uzmanlar\u0131n\u0131n Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin ekonomik geli\u015fimi hakk\u0131ndaki de\u011ferlendirmeleri de may\u0131sta \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde olumsuzla\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
S\u00f6z konusu g\u00f6sterge, may\u0131sta nisan g\u00f6re 15,8 puan azalarak eksi 9,4 puana geriledi. (AA)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Almanya’da yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 g\u00fcveni, enflasyon ve para politikas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik belirsizliklerin ard\u0131ndan resesyona y\u00f6nelik endi\u015felerin artmas\u0131yla may\u0131sta 14,8 puan geriledi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":91011,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[688,516,666,1054,511],"class_list":["post-91010","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-alman","tag-ekonomi","tag-ekonomik","tag-endeks","tag-mayis"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91010","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=91010"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91010\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":91012,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91010\/revisions\/91012"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/91011"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=91010"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=91010"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=91010"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}