Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler (BM), bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini 0,4 puan art\u0131rarak y\u00fczde 2,3’e \u00e7\u0131karmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen k\u00fcresel ekonomide uzun s\u00fcreli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme riski \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
BM, ocak ay\u0131nda yay\u0131nlanan \u201cD\u00fcnya Ekonomik Durumu ve Beklentiler 2023\u201d raporunu g\u00fcncelledi.<\/p>\n
Rapora g\u00f6re, k\u00fcresel ekonomi artan finansman a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131, durgun yat\u0131r\u0131mlar ve geni\u015fleyen bor\u00e7 k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar\u0131 ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya bulunuyor. Bu da s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir kalk\u0131nmay\u0131 tehdit ediyor.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca, d\u00fcnya ekonomisi Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131n etkileri, Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131, iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi ve de\u011fi\u015fen makroekonomik ko\u015fullar\u0131n etkisiyle uzun s\u00fcreli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme riskiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya bulunuyor.<\/p>\n
ENFLASYONU KONTROL ETMEK ZORLA\u015eTI<\/b><\/p>\n
BM raporuna g\u00f6re, Covid-19 sonras\u0131nda hem geli\u015fmi\u015f hem de geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerde y\u00fcksek seyreden enflasyon, son 10 y\u0131l\u0131n en agresif faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na yol a\u00e7arken, artan faiz oranlara ra\u011fmen, \u00f6zellikle geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerde merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n hane halk\u0131 harcamalar\u0131 ve istihdam dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 koruyarak enflasyonu kontrol alt\u0131na almas\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Bu nedenle k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmedeki yava\u015flama h\u0131z\u0131 \u00f6zellikle ABD ve Avrupa Birli\u011fi ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomilerdeki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hanehalk\u0131 harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra \u00c7in ekonomisindeki toparlanma nedeniyle muhtemelen \u00f6nceki tahminlerden daha a\u011f\u0131r olacak.<\/p>\n
Bu kapsamda, ocak ay\u0131nda 2023 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,9 olan k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini 0,4 puan art\u0131\u015fla y\u00fczde 2,3’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131. 2024 tahminini ise 0,2 puan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrerek y\u00fczde 2,5\u2019e \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n
K\u00dcRESEL EKONOM\u0130DEK\u0130 B\u00dcY\u00dcME TOPARLANAMADI<\/b><\/p>\n
Raporda, \u201cBu art\u0131\u015fa ra\u011fmen, k\u00fcresel ekonomideki b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131, Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131ndan \u00f6nceki yirmi y\u0131ldaki ortalama y\u00fczde 3,1\u2019lik b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131n hala \u00e7ok alt\u0131nda.\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesine de yer verildi.<\/p>\n
Bu arada, ABD i\u00e7in ocakta y\u00fczde 0,4 olan b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hane halk\u0131 harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n etkisiyle y\u00fczde 1,1’e y\u00fckseltilen raporda, AB i\u00e7in de y\u00fczde 0,2 olan b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fczde 0,9’a \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n ikinci b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisine sahip \u00c7in\u2019in ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini ise y\u00fczde 4,8’den y\u00fczde 5,3’e revize edildi.<\/p>\n
GEL\u0130\u015eMEKTE OLAN \u00dcLKELERE \u0130L\u0130\u015eK\u0130N BEKLENT\u0130 K\u00d6T\u00dc<\/b><\/p>\n
Raporda, pek \u00e7ok geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeye ili\u015fkin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentilerinin, s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fan kredi ko\u015fullar\u0131 ve artan d\u0131\u015f finansman maliyetleri nedeniyle k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fti\u011fi vurguland\u0131.<\/p>\n
En az geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin ise 2023\u2019te ortalama y\u00fczde 4,1 ve 2024\u2019te y\u00fczde 5,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi tahmin edildi. Bu da BM’in BM 2030 S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir Kalk\u0131nma Hedefleri’nde belirlenen y\u00fczde 7\u2019lik b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefinin \u00e7ok alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor. (AA)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
BM\u2019nin g\u00fcncellenen D\u00fcnya Ekonomik Durumu ve Beklentiler Raporu’nda, k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in 0,4 puan art\u0131\u015fla y\u00fczde 2,3\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131l\u0131rken, gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in 0,2 puan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclerek y\u00fczde 2,5’e \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":91509,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[645,516,11943,2176,2415],"class_list":["post-91508","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-buyume","tag-ekonomi","tag-ekonomik-buyume","tag-kuresel","tag-tahmini"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91508","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=91508"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91508\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":91510,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91508\/revisions\/91510"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/91509"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=91508"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=91508"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/haberulus.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=91508"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}